Birmingham City vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 December

Betiball's prediction for Birmingham City vs Derby County on 26 December 2025 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Birmingham City vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Birmingham City vs Derby County: Starting Lineups Time : 26/12/2025 12:30

Birmingham City
1 - 1
Finished
Derby County
90+1' event Christoph Klarer
78' event Willum Thor Willumsson / Marc Leonard
78' event Lyndon Dykes / Louie Koumas
74' event Paik Seung Ho
71' event Jay Stansfield
64' event Jack Robinson
58' event Alfons Sampsted / Cashin
58' event Kyogo Furuhashi / Marvin Ducksch
49' event Christoph Klarer
16' event Louie Koumas / Demarai Gray
event 90+5' Craig Forsyth / Sondre Klingen Langas
event 85' Kayden Jackson / Patrick Agyemang
event 71' Sondre Klingen Langas
event 46' Adams Ebrima / Ben Brereton
event 46' Curtis Nelson / Rhian Brewster
event 39' Joe Ward
event 29' Joe Ward
event 27' Patrick Agyemang
90+1' event Christoph Klarer
event 90+5' Craig Forsyth / Sondre Klingen Langas
78' event Willum Thor Willumsson / Marc Leonard
event 85' Kayden Jackson / Patrick Agyemang
78' event Lyndon Dykes / Louie Koumas
event 71' Sondre Klingen Langas
74' event Paik Seung Ho
event 46' Adams Ebrima / Ben Brereton
71' event Jay Stansfield
event 46' Curtis Nelson / Rhian Brewster
64' event Jack Robinson
event 39' Joe Ward
58' event Alfons Sampsted / Cashin
event 29' Joe Ward
58' event Kyogo Furuhashi / Marvin Ducksch
event 27' Patrick Agyemang
49' event Christoph Klarer
16' event Louie Koumas / Demarai Gray
Birmingham City Birmingham City
Substitutions
#23 Alfons Sampsted
#18 Willum Thor Willumsson
#9 Kyogo Furuhashi
#17 Lyndon Dykes
#30 Louie Koumas
#5 Phil Neumann
#27 Kanya Fujimoto
#21 Ryan Allsopp
#47 George Wynne
Birmingham City Birmingham City Derby County Derby County
25Shots5
9Shots on Goal1
17Fouls13
12Corner Kick1
13Free kick17
2Offside2
3Yellow card3
1Red card1
10Aerial1
0Save8
12Successful Tackles21
6Interceptions8
29Long pass26
0Assist1
7Successful center2
5Shots off goal1
2Hit The Post0
26Head Success21
11Blocked3
12Tackle14
4Dribbles4
26Throw-in17
564Passes215
146Attacks65
103Dangerous attacks23
5Corner Kicks(HT)0
5BigChances1
4BigChancesMissed0
18ShotsInsideBox3
7ShotsOutsideBox2
51DuelsWon57
3.23ExpectedGoals0.78
1.88xGOpenPlay0.63
1.36xGSetPlay0.15
3.23xGNonPenalty0.78
2.52xGOT0.84
47Touches In Opposition Box12
47AccurateCrosses7
27GroundDuelsWon38
24AerialDuelsWon19
11Clearances50
Derby County Derby County
Substitutions
#32 Adams Ebrima
#35 Curtis Nelson
#19 Kayden Jackson
#3 Craig Forsyth
#14 Andreas Weimann
#12 Richard ODonnell
#11 Corey Josiah Paul Blackett-Taylor
#37 Owen Eames
#15 Lars-Jorgen Salvesen
Commentary
90+5' Derby County — substitution: Craig Forsyth / Sondre Klingen Langas
90+1' Christoph Klarer - Birmingham City receive a red card
85' Derby County — substitution: Kayden Jackson / Patrick Agyemang
78' Birmingham City — substitution: Willum Thor Willumsson / Marc Leonard
78' Birmingham City — substitution: Lyndon Dykes / Louie Koumas
74' Paik Seung Ho - Birmingham City receive a yellow card
71' Jay Stansfield - Birmingham City receive a yellow card
71' Sondre Klingen Langas - Derby County receive a yellow card
64' Goal! Jack Robinson - Birmingham City
58' Birmingham City — substitution: Alfons Sampsted / Cashin
58' Birmingham City — substitution: Kyogo Furuhashi / Marvin Ducksch
49' Christoph Klarer - Birmingham City receive a yellow card
46' Derby County — substitution: Adams Ebrima / Ben Brereton
46' Derby County — substitution: Curtis Nelson / Rhian Brewster
39' Joe Ward - Derby County receive second yellow card
29' Joe Ward - Derby County receive a yellow card
27' Goal! Patrick Agyemang - Derby County
16' Birmingham City — substitution: Louie Koumas / Demarai Gray

How We Build the Birmingham City vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Birmingham City vs Derby County on 26 December 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Birmingham City vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Birmingham City's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Birmingham City and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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