Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 01 March

Atletico Madrid

W D W L W

3rd place in Spanish La Liga

1-0

01/03/2025 16:00

Athletic Bilbao

W D W W W

4th place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao on 01 March 2025 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Madrid are currently 3rd with 76 points after 38 matches.
Athletic Bilbao sit 4th with 70 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico Madrid to win with probability 47%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao have each won 3 of the last 6 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2025-03-01

Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Madrid

Athletic Bilbao

2025-03-01 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 01/03/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Barcelona	88	38	28	4	6	102	39	63
02 Real Madrid	84	38	26	6	6	78	38	40
03 Atletico Madrid	76	38	22	10	6	68	30	38
04 Athletic Bilbao	70	38	19	13	6	54	29	25
05 Villarreal	70	38	20	10	8	71	51	20
06 Real Betis	60	38	16	12	10	57	50	7
07 Celta Vigo	55	38	16	7	15	59	57	2
08 Rayo Vallecano	52	38	13	13	12	41	45	-4
09 Osasuna	52	38	12	16	10	48	52	-4
10 Mallorca	48	38	13	9	16	35	44	-9
11 Real Sociedad	46	38	13	7	18	35	46	-11
12 Valencia	46	38	11	13	14	44	54	-10
13 Getafe	42	38	11	9	18	34	39	-5
14 RCD Espanyol	42	38	11	9	18	40	51	-11
15 Alaves	42	38	10	12	16	38	48	-10
16 Girona	41	38	11	8	19	44	60	-16
17 Sevilla	41	38	10	11	17	42	55	-13
18 Leganes	40	38	9	13	16	39	56	-17
19 Las Palmas	32	38	8	8	22	40	61	-21
20 Real Valladolid	16	38	4	4	30	26	90	-64

Head To Head

31/08/2024 13:00

Athletic Bilbao

0 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

27/04/2024 15:00

Atletico Madrid

3 - 1

Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

29/02/2024 16:30

Athletic Bilbao

3 - 0

Atletico Madrid

SPA CUP

07/02/2024 16:30

Atletico Madrid

0 - 1

Athletic Bilbao

SPA CUP

16/12/2023 11:15

Athletic Bilbao

2 - 0

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

19/02/2023 13:30

Atletico Madrid

1 - 0

Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

Atletico Madrid

50%

Draw

Athletic Bilbao

50%

Atletico Madrid Last 6 matches

22/02/2025 13:30

Valencia 0 - 3 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

15/02/2025 13:30

Atletico Madrid 1 - 1 Celta Vigo SPA D1

08/02/2025 16:00

Real Madrid 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

04/02/2025 16:30

Atletico Madrid 5 - 0 Getafe SPA CUP

01/02/2025 13:30

Atletico Madrid 2 - 0 Mallorca SPA D1

29/01/2025 16:00

Red Bull Salzburg 1 - 4 Atletico Madrid UEFA CL

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Athletic Bilbao

16/02/2025 09:00

RCD Espanyol 1 - 1 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

08/02/2025 11:15

Athletic Bilbao 3 - 0 Girona SPA D1

02/02/2025 16:00

Real Betis 2 - 2 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

30/01/2025 16:00

Athletic Bilbao 3 - 1 FC Viktoria Plzen UEFA EL

26/01/2025 13:30

Athletic Bilbao 0 - 0 Leganes SPA D1

22/01/2025 11:30

Besiktas JK 4 - 1 Athletic Bilbao UEFA EL

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Played games

Goals

Scored

545

Avg. per game

1.82

Conceded

329

Avg. per game

1.10

Scored

406

Avg. per game

1.35

Conceded

331

Avg. per game

1.10

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

247 (82%)53 (18%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

209 (70%)91 (30%)

Atletico Madrid

Recent matches

Athletic Bilbao

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Madrid

Athletic Bilbao

Shots

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

12.84 avg / game

Blocked

740 total

Avg. 2.91

Athletic Bilbao

Total shots

13.07 avg / game

Blocked

746 total

Avg. 3.49

Atletico Madrid Pass Athletic Bilbao

Total passes

134010

Avg. 491 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

101749

Avg. 419 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico Madrid

300

Played games

Athletic Bilbao

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

104

0.35

5.10

1529

Corners

1671

5.57

16.58

4975

Throw-ins

5184

17.28

2.17

650

Offsides

515

1.72

2.54

762

GK saves

642

2.14

Atletico Madrid

DISCIPLINARY

Athletic Bilbao

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.14

643

556

1.85

0.13

0.09

11.11

3334

Fouls

3498

11.66

13.63

4090

Tackles

3299

11.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao on 01 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Athletic Bilbao's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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