Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 01 March

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao on 01 March 2025 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao: Starting Lineups Time : 01/03/2025 16:00

Atletico Madrid
1 - 0
Finished
Athletic Bilbao
69' event Jose Maria Gimenez de Vargas / Pablo Barrios
68' event Pablo Barrios
66' event Julian Alvarez
63' event Angel Correa / Antoine Griezmann
59' event Conor Gallagher / Samuel Dias Lino
59' event Julian Alvarez / Alexander Sorloth
58' event Marcos Llorente Moreno / Giuliano Simeone
57' event Alexander Sorloth
event 87' Yeray Alvarez Lopez
event 81' Mikel Vesga / Mikel Jauregizar
event 77' Maroan Harrouch Sannadi / Alejandro Berenguer Remiro
event 77' Oscar de Marcos Arana Oscar / Gorosabel
event 64' Benat Prados Diaz / Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta Etxeberria
event 63' Gorka Guruzeta Rodriguez / Unai Gomez
event 62' Gorosabel
event 32' Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta Etxeberria
69' event Jose Maria Gimenez de Vargas / Pablo Barrios
event 87' Yeray Alvarez Lopez
68' event Pablo Barrios
event 81' Mikel Vesga / Mikel Jauregizar
66' event Julian Alvarez
event 77' Maroan Harrouch Sannadi / Alejandro Berenguer Remiro
63' event Angel Correa / Antoine Griezmann
event 77' Oscar de Marcos Arana Oscar / Gorosabel
59' event Conor Gallagher / Samuel Dias Lino
event 64' Benat Prados Diaz / Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta Etxeberria
59' event Julian Alvarez / Alexander Sorloth
event 63' Gorka Guruzeta Rodriguez / Unai Gomez
58' event Marcos Llorente Moreno / Giuliano Simeone
event 62' Gorosabel
57' event Alexander Sorloth
event 32' Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta Etxeberria
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
Substitutions
#10 Angel Correa
#19 Julian Alvarez
#14 Marcos Llorente Moreno
#2 Jose Maria Gimenez de Vargas
#4 Conor Gallagher
#1 Juan Musso
#20 Axel Witsel
#11 Thomas Lemar
#23 Reinildo Mandava
#17 Rodrigo Riquelme
#31 Antonio Gomis
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
12Shots15
4Shots on Goal3
6Fouls8
6Corner Kick2
8Free kick7
4Offside0
2Yellow card3
26Aerial20
3Save3
21Successful Tackles13
10Interceptions13
26Long pass27
1Assist0
5Substitution5
8Shots off goal12
0Hit The Post2
14Head Success9
3Blocked6
22Tackle14
8Dribbles12
17Throw-in24
486Passes475
94Attacks108
38Dangerous attacks43
5Corner Kicks(HT)2
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
Substitutions
#6 Mikel Vesga
#12 Gorka Guruzeta Rodriguez
#24 Benat Prados Diaz
#18 Oscar de Marcos Arana Oscar
#21 Maroan Harrouch Sannadi
#15 Inigo Lekue
#14 Unai Nunez Gestoso
#4 Aitor Paredes
#13 Julen Agirrezabala
#32 Adama Boiro
#28 Peio Canales
Commentary
87' Yeray Alvarez Lopez - Athletic Bilbao receive a yellow card
81' Athletic Bilbao — substitution: Mikel Vesga / Mikel Jauregizar
77' Athletic Bilbao — substitution: Maroan Harrouch Sannadi / Alejandro Berenguer Remiro
77' Athletic Bilbao — substitution: Oscar de Marcos Arana Oscar / Gorosabel
69' Atletico Madrid — substitution: Jose Maria Gimenez de Vargas / Pablo Barrios
68' Pablo Barrios - Atletico Madrid receive a yellow card
66' Goal! Julian Alvarez - Atletico Madrid
64' Athletic Bilbao — substitution: Benat Prados Diaz / Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta Etxeberria
63' Atletico Madrid — substitution: Angel Correa / Antoine Griezmann
63' Athletic Bilbao — substitution: Gorka Guruzeta Rodriguez / Unai Gomez
62' Gorosabel - Athletic Bilbao receive a yellow card
59' Atletico Madrid — substitution: Conor Gallagher / Samuel Dias Lino
59' Atletico Madrid — substitution: Julian Alvarez / Alexander Sorloth
58' Atletico Madrid — substitution: Marcos Llorente Moreno / Giuliano Simeone
57' Alexander Sorloth - Atletico Madrid receive a yellow card
32' Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta Etxeberria - Athletic Bilbao receive a yellow card

How We Build the Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao on 01 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Athletic Bilbao's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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