Atletico Madrid vs Almeria: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 April

Atletico Madrid

W L W D W

3rd place in Spanish La Liga

2-1

16/04/2023 12:30

Almeria

W L W L D

17th place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Almeria on 16 April 2023 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Madrid vs Almeria preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Madrid are currently 3rd with 77 points after 38 matches.
Almeria sit 17th with 41 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico Madrid to win with probability 74%.
Head-to-head history favors Atletico Madrid, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Almeria have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:30

2023-04-16

Atletico Madrid vs Almeria - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Madrid

Almeria

2023-04-16 12:30

STANDINGS UP TO 16/04/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Barcelona	88	38	28	4	6	70	20	50
02 Real Madrid	78	38	24	6	8	75	36	39
03 Atletico Madrid	77	38	23	8	7	70	33	37
04 Real Sociedad	71	38	21	8	9	51	35	16
05 Villarreal	64	38	19	7	12	59	40	19
06 Real Betis	60	38	17	9	12	46	41	5
07 Osasuna	53	38	15	8	15	37	42	-5
08 Athletic Bilbao	51	38	14	9	15	47	43	4
09 Mallorca	50	38	14	8	16	37	43	-6
10 Girona	49	38	13	10	15	58	55	3
11 Sevilla	49	38	13	10	15	47	54	-7
12 Rayo Vallecano	49	38	13	10	15	45	53	-8
13 Celta Vigo	43	38	11	10	17	43	53	-10
14 Valencia	42	38	11	9	18	42	45	-3
15 Getafe	42	38	10	12	16	34	45	-11
16 Cadiz	42	38	10	12	16	30	53	-23
17 Almeria	41	38	11	8	19	49	65	-16
18 Real Valladolid	40	38	11	7	20	33	63	-30
19 RCD Espanyol	37	38	8	13	17	52	69	-17
20 Elche	25	38	5	10	23	30	67	-37

Head To Head

15/01/2023 11:15

Almeria

1 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

21/02/2015 15:00

Atletico Madrid

3 - 0

Almeria

SPA D1

24/09/2014 14:00

Almeria

0 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

08/02/2014 17:00

Almeria

2 - 0

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

14/09/2013 10:00

Atletico Madrid

4 - 2

Almeria

SPA D1

12/03/2011 13:00

Almeria

2 - 2

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

Atletico Madrid

50%

Draw

33%

Almeria

17%

Atletico Madrid Last 6 matches

02/04/2023 15:00

Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Real Betis SPA D1

18/03/2023 16:00

Atletico Madrid 3 - 0 Valencia SPA D1

13/03/2023 16:00

Girona 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

04/03/2023 16:00

Atletico Madrid 6 - 1 Sevilla SPA D1

25/02/2023 13:30

Real Madrid 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

19/02/2023 13:30

Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Almeria

02/04/2023 08:00

Celta Vigo 2 - 2 Almeria SPA D1

18/03/2023 09:00

Almeria 1 - 1 Cadiz SPA D1

12/03/2023 11:15

Sevilla 2 - 1 Almeria SPA D1

04/03/2023 11:15

Almeria 0 - 2 Villarreal SPA D1

26/02/2023 13:30

Almeria 1 - 0 FC Barcelona SPA D1

17/02/2023 16:00

Girona 6 - 2 Almeria SPA D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Played games

Goals

Scored

546

Avg. per game

1.82

Conceded

328

Avg. per game

1.09

Scored

456

Avg. per game

1.52

Conceded

388

Avg. per game

1.29

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

247 (82%)53 (18%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

243 (81%)57 (19%)

Atletico Madrid

Recent matches

Almeria

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(67%)30 15(33%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Madrid

Almeria

Shots

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

12.89 avg / game

Blocked

743 total

Avg. 2.93

Almeria

Total shots

12.45 avg / game

Blocked

541 total

Avg. 3.22

Atletico Madrid Pass Almeria

Total passes

134211

Avg. 492 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

87813

Avg. 414 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico Madrid

300

Played games

Almeria

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.26

5.12

1535

Corners

1345

4.48

16.65

4994

Throw-ins

3277

10.92

2.18

653

Offsides

547

1.82

2.53

759

GK saves

824

2.75

Atletico Madrid

DISCIPLINARY

Almeria

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.15

644

691

2.30

0.13

0.11

11.07

3320

Fouls

3446

11.49

13.67

4100

Tackles

2624

8.75

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Atletico Madrid vs Almeria Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Almeria on 16 April 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Madrid vs Almeria Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Almeria's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Atletico Madrid and Almeria sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Spanish La Liga Predictions

Find every upcoming Spanish La Liga fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less