Atletico Madrid vs Almeria: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 April

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Almeria on 16 April 2023 (kick-off: 12:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Madrid vs Almeria preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Madrid vs Almeria: Starting Lineups Time : 16/04/2023 12:30

Atletico Madrid
2 - 1
Finished
Almeria
90+4' event Saul Niguez Esclapez / Marcos Llorente Moreno
90+3' event Pablo Barrios
89' event Geoffrey Kondogbia
78' event Pablo Barrios / Rodrigo De Paul
77' event Marcos Llorente Moreno
64' event Alvaro Morata / Angel Correa
44' event Antoine Griezmann Goal awarded
43' event Antoine Griezmann
5' event Antoine Griezmann
event 90+3' Largie Ramazani
event 89' Arnau Puigmal No penalty confirmed
event 84' Adrian Embarba / Melo K.
event 68' Francisco Portillo Soler / Leonardo Carrilho Baptistao
event 68' Largie Ramazani / Lucas Robertone
event 68' Cesar de la Hoz Lopez / Gonzalo Julian Melero Manzanares
event 58' Arnau Puigmal / Houboulang Mendes
event 49' Rodrigo Ely
event 37' Leonardo Carrilho Baptistao
event 28' Srdjan Babic
90+4' event Saul Niguez Esclapez / Marcos Llorente Moreno
event 90+3' Largie Ramazani
90+3' event Pablo Barrios
event 89' Arnau Puigmal No penalty confirmed
89' event Geoffrey Kondogbia
event 84' Adrian Embarba / Melo K.
78' event Pablo Barrios / Rodrigo De Paul
event 68' Francisco Portillo Soler / Leonardo Carrilho Baptistao
77' event Marcos Llorente Moreno
event 68' Largie Ramazani / Lucas Robertone
64' event Alvaro Morata / Angel Correa
event 68' Cesar de la Hoz Lopez / Gonzalo Julian Melero Manzanares
44' event Antoine Griezmann Goal awarded
event 58' Arnau Puigmal / Houboulang Mendes
43' event Antoine Griezmann
event 49' Rodrigo Ely
5' event Antoine Griezmann
event 37' Leonardo Carrilho Baptistao
event 28' Srdjan Babic
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
Substitutions
#19 Alvaro Morata
#17 Saul Niguez Esclapez
#24 Pablo Barrios
#4 Geoffrey Kondogbia
#1 Ivo Grbic
#11 Thomas Lemar
#12 Matt Doherty
#3 Sergio Reguilón
#36 Marco Moreno
#31 Antonio Gomis
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid Almeria Almeria
19Shots3
7Shots on Goal1
7Fouls8
9Corner Kick2
10Free kick13
6Offside2
3Yellow card3
12Aerial6
0Save5
17Successful Tackles16
10Interceptions8
2Assist0
10Shots off goal2
1Hit The Post0
6Head Success3
2Blocked0
17Tackle16
9Dribbles10
18Throw-in19
650Passes355
133Attacks66
91Dangerous attacks27
5Corner Kicks(HT)1
Almeria Almeria
Substitutions
#7 Largie Ramazani
#8 Francisco Portillo Soler
#10 Adrian Embarba
#6 Cesar de la Hoz Lopez
#18 Arnau Puigmal
#11 Dyego Wilverson Ferreira Sousa
#14 Lazaro Vinicius Marques
#26 Martin Svidersky
#1 Diego Marino Villar
#4 inigo Eguaras
Commentary
90+4' Atletico Madrid — substitution: Saul Niguez Esclapez / Marcos Llorente Moreno
90+3' Pablo Barrios - Atletico Madrid receive a yellow card
90+3' Largie Ramazani - Almeria receive a yellow card
89' Geoffrey Kondogbia - Atletico Madrid receive a yellow card
89' VAR review - Almeria
84' Almeria — substitution: Adrian Embarba / Melo K.
78' Atletico Madrid — substitution: Pablo Barrios / Rodrigo De Paul
77' Marcos Llorente Moreno - Atletico Madrid receive a yellow card
68' Almeria — substitution: Francisco Portillo Soler / Leonardo Carrilho Baptistao
68' Almeria — substitution: Largie Ramazani / Lucas Robertone
68' Almeria — substitution: Cesar de la Hoz Lopez / Gonzalo Julian Melero Manzanares
64' Atletico Madrid — substitution: Alvaro Morata / Angel Correa
58' Almeria — substitution: Arnau Puigmal / Houboulang Mendes
49' Rodrigo Ely - Almeria receive a yellow card
44' VAR review - Atletico Madrid
43' Goal! Antoine Griezmann - Atletico Madrid
37' Goal! Leonardo Carrilho Baptistao - Almeria
28' Srdjan Babic - Almeria receive a yellow card
5' Goal! Antoine Griezmann - Atletico Madrid

How We Build the Atletico Madrid vs Almeria Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Almeria on 16 April 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Madrid vs Almeria Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Almeria's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Atletico Madrid and Almeria sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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