Atletico La Paz vs Leones Negros: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 March

Atletico La Paz

L D L D W

10th place in Apertura

3-0

04/03/2026 23:00

Leones Negros

W L L W W

6th place in Apertura

Mexico Primera Divison A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico La Paz vs Leones Negros on 04 March 2026 (kick-off: 23:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico La Paz vs Leones Negros preview before placing your bet.

Atletico La Paz are currently 10th with 17 points after 14 matches.
Leones Negros sit 6th with 21 points from 14 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico La Paz to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors Atletico La Paz, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Leones Negros have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

23:00

2026-03-04

Atletico La Paz vs Leones Negros - Prediction & Odds

Atletico La Paz

Leones Negros

2026-03-04 23:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/03/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CF Atlante	30	14	9	3	2	35	10	25
02 Cancun	30	14	9	3	2	25	7	18
03 Tampico Madero	30	14	8	6	0	24	15	9
04 Irapuato	23	14	6	5	3	23	19	4
05 Mineros de Zacatecas	21	14	5	6	3	26	24	2
06 Leones Negros	21	14	6	3	5	19	17	2
07 Atletico Morelia	19	14	5	4	5	19	21	-2
08 Tepatitlan de Morelos	18	14	4	6	4	21	16	5
09 Venados FC	18	14	5	3	6	29	30	-1
10 Atletico La Paz	17	14	4	5	5	25	30	-5
11 Club Chivas Tapatio	15	14	4	3	7	20	18	2
12 Tlaxcala	14	14	3	5	6	14	27	-13
13 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	13	14	3	4	7	16	25	-9
14 Correcaminos UAT	10	14	2	4	8	16	35	-19
15 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	5	14	1	2	11	8	26	-18

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Tepatitlan de Morelos	26	14	7	5	2	21	10	11
02 Cancun	25	14	7	4	3	24	17	7
03 Atletico Morelia	23	14	7	2	5	18	12	6
04 Atletico La Paz	22	14	5	7	2	22	12	10
05 Tampico Madero	21	14	6	3	5	15	15	0
06 Mineros de Zacatecas	21	14	6	3	5	19	20	-1
07 Club Chivas Tapatio	20	14	6	2	6	28	24	4
08 CF Atlante	20	14	5	5	4	21	17	4
09 Irapuato	20	14	6	2	6	27	24	3
10 Tlaxcala	20	14	5	5	4	16	17	-1
11 Venados FC	16	14	4	4	6	25	25	0
12 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	16	14	4	4	6	20	29	-9
13 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	13	14	3	4	7	17	28	-11
14 Correcaminos UAT	12	14	3	3	8	14	27	-13
15 Leones Negros	11	14	2	5	7	15	25	-10

Head To Head

14/09/2025 14:00

Leones Negros

2 - 3

Atletico La Paz

MEX Lig2

28/03/2025 23:00

Atletico La Paz

3 - 1

Leones Negros

MEX Lig2

13/10/2024 14:00

Leones Negros

3 - 0

Atletico La Paz

MEX Lig2

05/05/2024 20:05

Leones Negros

3 - 1

Atletico La Paz

MEX Lig2

02/05/2024 21:30

Atletico La Paz

1 - 1

Leones Negros

MEX Lig2

27/03/2024 21:05

Leones Negros

2 - 4

Atletico La Paz

MEX Lig2

Atletico La Paz

50%

Draw

17%

Leones Negros

33%

Atletico La Paz Last 6 matches

28/02/2026 21:00

Atletico Morelia 1 - 0 Atletico La Paz MEX Lig2

07/02/2026 23:00

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa 2 - 2 Atletico La Paz MEX Lig2

30/01/2026 23:00

Atletico La Paz 1 - 0 Venados FC MEX Lig2

23/01/2026 21:00

Mineros de Zacatecas 0 - 0 Atletico La Paz MEX Lig2

16/01/2026 21:00

Correcaminos UAT 0 - 3 Atletico La Paz MEX Lig2

09/01/2026 23:00

Atletico La Paz 2 - 2 Club Chivas Tapatio MEX Lig2

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Leones Negros

01/03/2026 14:00

Leones Negros 1 - 1 CF Atlante MEX Lig2

15/02/2026 14:00

Leones Negros 0 - 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos MEX Lig2

08/02/2026 14:00

Tlaxcala 5 - 2 Leones Negros MEX Lig2

30/01/2026 19:00

Club Chivas Tapatio 2 - 0 Leones Negros MEX Lig2

25/01/2026 14:00

Leones Negros 0 - 0 Correcaminos UAT MEX Lig2

17/01/2026 21:00

Irapuato 4 - 1 Leones Negros MEX Lig2

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Atletico La Paz

Leones Negros

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.70

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.77

Scored

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.77

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 30 matches

YesNo

15 (50%)15 (50%)

In last 30 matches

NoYes

14 (47%)16 (53%)

Atletico La Paz

Recent matches

Leones Negros

Under /Over

(87%)26 4(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)22 8(27%)

Under /Over

(50%)15 15(50%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(30%)9 21(70%)

Under /Over

(47%)14 16(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)12 18(60%)

/Yes

(60%)18 12(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(57%)17 13(43%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico La Paz

Leones Negros

Shots

Atletico La Paz

Total shots

11.53 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Leones Negros

Total shots

10.43 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Atletico La Paz Pass Leones Negros

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico La Paz

Played games

Leones Negros

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.23

4.60

138

Corners

129

4.30

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

0.20

GK saves

0.20

Atletico La Paz

DISCIPLINARY

Leones Negros

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

3.00

2.33

0.27

0.20

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

07/31

Atletico La Paz

CD Alacranes de Durango

MEX

08/07

Tepatitlan de Morelos

NEXT MATCHES

CD Alacranes de Durango

How We Build the Atletico La Paz vs Leones Negros Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico La Paz vs Leones Negros on 04 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico La Paz vs Leones Negros Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico La Paz's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Leones Negros's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Atletico La Paz and Leones Negros sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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