Aston Villa vs Chelsea: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 March

Aston Villa

W L L D W

4th place in English Premier League

1-4

04/03/2026 15:30

Chelsea

L L L D W

10th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Aston Villa vs Chelsea on 04 March 2026 (kick-off: 15:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aston Villa vs Chelsea preview before placing your bet.

Aston Villa are currently 4th with 65 points after 38 matches.
Chelsea sit 10th with 52 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Chelsea to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Aston Villa and Chelsea have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:30

2026-03-04

Aston Villa vs Chelsea - Prediction & Odds

Aston Villa

Chelsea

2026-03-04 15:30

STANDINGS UP TO 04/03/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	85	38	26	7	5	71	27	44
02 Manchester City	78	38	23	9	6	77	35	42
03 Manchester United	71	38	20	11	7	69	50	19
04 Aston Villa	65	38	19	8	11	56	49	7
05 Liverpool	60	38	17	9	12	63	53	10
06 AFC Bournemouth	57	38	13	18	7	58	54	4
07 Sunderland A.F.C	54	38	14	12	12	42	48	-6
08 Brighton Hove Albion	53	38	14	11	13	52	46	6
09 Brentford	53	38	14	11	13	55	52	3
10 Chelsea	52	38	14	10	14	58	52	6
11 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	47	51	-4
12 Newcastle United	49	38	14	7	17	53	55	-2
13 Everton	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
14 Leeds United	47	38	11	14	13	49	56	-7
15 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	41	51	-10
16 Nottingham Forest	44	38	11	11	16	48	51	-3
17 Tottenham Hotspur	41	38	10	11	17	48	57	-9
18 West Ham United	39	38	10	9	19	46	65	-19
19 Burnley	22	38	4	10	24	38	75	-37
20 Wolves	20	38	3	11	24	27	68	-41

Head To Head

27/12/2025 13:30

Chelsea

1 - 2

Aston Villa

ENG PR

22/02/2025 13:30

Aston Villa

2 - 1

Chelsea

ENG PR

01/12/2024 09:30

Chelsea

3 - 0

Aston Villa

ENG PR

27/04/2024 15:00

Aston Villa

2 - 2

Chelsea

ENG PR

07/02/2024 16:00

Aston Villa

1 - 3

Chelsea

ENG FAC

26/01/2024 15:45

Chelsea

0 - 0

Aston Villa

ENG FAC

Aston Villa

33%

Draw

33%

Chelsea

33%

Aston Villa Last 6 matches

27/02/2026 16:00

Wolves 2 - 0 Aston Villa ENG PR

21/02/2026 11:00

Aston Villa 1 - 1 Leeds United ENG PR

14/02/2026 13:45

Aston Villa 1 - 3 Newcastle United ENG FAC

11/02/2026 15:30

Aston Villa 1 - 0 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

07/02/2026 11:00

AFC Bournemouth 1 - 1 Aston Villa ENG PR

01/02/2026 10:00

Aston Villa 0 - 1 Brentford ENG PR

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Chelsea

01/03/2026 12:30

Arsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea ENG PR

21/02/2026 11:00

Chelsea 1 - 1 Burnley ENG PR

13/02/2026 15:45

Hull City 0 - 4 Chelsea ENG FAC

10/02/2026 15:30

Chelsea 2 - 2 Leeds United ENG PR

07/02/2026 11:00

Wolves 1 - 3 Chelsea ENG PR

03/02/2026 16:00

Arsenal 1 - 0 Chelsea ENG LC

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Played games

Aston Villa

Chelsea

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.68

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.16

Scored

Avg. per game

1.37

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.32

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

15 (79%)4 (21%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

15 (79%)4 (21%)

Aston Villa

Recent matches

Chelsea

Under /Over

(68%)13 6(32%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)16 3(16%)

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(26%)5 14(74%)

Under /Over

(47%)9 10(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)10 9(47%)

/Yes

(53%)10 9(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)11 8(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Aston Villa

Chelsea

Shots

Aston Villa

Total shots

13.72 avg / game

Blocked

77 total

Avg. 4.28

Chelsea

Total shots

15.16 avg / game

Blocked

108 total

Avg. 5.68

Aston Villa Pass Chelsea

Total passes

8094

Avg. 450 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

10192

Avg. 536 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

59%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Aston Villa

Played games

Chelsea

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.26

5.32

101

Corners

131

6.89

14.79

281

Throw-ins

291

15.32

1.16

Offsides

1.47

2.89

GK saves

2.58

Aston Villa

DISCIPLINARY

Chelsea

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.21

2.32

0.05

0.16

9.37

178

Fouls

206

10.84

8.16

155

Tackles

168

8.84

NEXT MATCHES

08/01

Indonesia Super League All Star

Aston Villa

INT

08/16

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aston Villa vs Chelsea on 04 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aston Villa vs Chelsea Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aston Villa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Chelsea's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Aston Villa and Chelsea sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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