Aston Villa vs Chelsea: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 March

Betiball's prediction for Aston Villa vs Chelsea on 04 March 2026 (kick-off: 15:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aston Villa vs Chelsea preview before placing your bet.

Aston Villa vs Chelsea: Starting Lineups Time : 04/03/2026 15:30

Aston Villa
1 - 4
Finished
Chelsea
72' event Tammy Abraham / Ollie Watkins
68' event Ollie Watkins
63' event Jadon Sancho / Emiliano Buendia Stati
63' event Ross Barkley / Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo
63' event Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha / Leon Bailey
58' event Morgan Rogers
46' event Lamare Bogarde / Matthew Cash
42' event Ollie Watkins Goal cancelled
32' event Matthew Cash
2' event Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo
event 85' Andrey Santos / Cole Jermaine Palmer
event 85' Liam Delap / João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
event 79' Oluwatosin Adarabioyo / Wesley Fofana
event 79' Marc Cucurella / Enzo Fernandez
event 75' Romeo Lavia / Malo Gusto
event 64' João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
event 58' Enzo Fernandez
event 55' Cole Jermaine Palmer
event 54' João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
event 45+5' João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
event 35' João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
72' event Tammy Abraham / Ollie Watkins
event 85' Andrey Santos / Cole Jermaine Palmer
68' event Ollie Watkins
event 85' Liam Delap / João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
63' event Jadon Sancho / Emiliano Buendia Stati
event 79' Oluwatosin Adarabioyo / Wesley Fofana
63' event Ross Barkley / Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo
event 79' Marc Cucurella / Enzo Fernandez
63' event Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha / Leon Bailey
event 75' Romeo Lavia / Malo Gusto
58' event Morgan Rogers
event 64' João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
46' event Lamare Bogarde / Matthew Cash
event 58' Enzo Fernandez
42' event Ollie Watkins Goal cancelled
event 55' Cole Jermaine Palmer
32' event Matthew Cash
event 54' João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
2' event Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo
event 45+5' João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
event 35' João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Substitutions
#47 Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha
#26 Lamare Bogarde
#6 Ross Barkley
#18 Tammy Abraham
#19 Jadon Sancho
#12 Lucas Digne
#40 Marco Bizot
#14 Pau Torres
#3 Victor Nilsson-Lindelof
Aston Villa Aston Villa Chelsea Chelsea
9Shots15
4Shots on Goal8
10Fouls9
3Corner Kick8
9Free kick10
2Offside2
3Yellow card2
9Aerial13
4Save3
8Successful Tackles6
7Interceptions8
20Long pass14
1Assist4
1Successful center3
5Substitution5
4Shots off goal3
1Hit The Post0
6Head Success5
1Blocked4
8Tackle6
1Dribbles6
16Throw-in20
419Passes557
61Attacks83
36Dangerous attacks37
1Corner Kicks(HT)8
2BigChances5
2BigChancesMissed2
6ShotsInsideBox14
3ShotsOutsideBox1
27DuelsWon36
0.88ExpectedGoals3.93
0.54xGOT4.43
17Touches In Opposition Box35
11AccurateCrosses19
21GroundDuelsWon31
6AerialDuelsWon5
14Clearances15
Chelsea Chelsea
Substitutions
#45 Romeo Lavia
#17 Andrey Santos
#3 Marc Cucurella
#4 Oluwatosin Adarabioyo
#9 Liam Delap
#5 Benoit Badiashile Mukinayi
#19 Mamadou Sarr
#1 Robert Sanchez
#38 Marc Guiu
Commentary
85' Chelsea — substitution: Andrey Santos / Cole Jermaine Palmer
85' Chelsea — substitution: Liam Delap / João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
79' Chelsea — substitution: Oluwatosin Adarabioyo / Wesley Fofana
79' Chelsea — substitution: Marc Cucurella / Enzo Fernandez
75' Chelsea — substitution: Romeo Lavia / Malo Gusto
72' Aston Villa — substitution: Tammy Abraham / Ollie Watkins
68' Ollie Watkins - Aston Villa receive a yellow card
64' Goal! João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus - Chelsea
63' Aston Villa — substitution: Jadon Sancho / Emiliano Buendia Stati
63' Aston Villa — substitution: Ross Barkley / Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo
63' Aston Villa — substitution: Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha / Leon Bailey
58' Morgan Rogers - Aston Villa receive a yellow card
58' Enzo Fernandez - Chelsea receive a yellow card
55' Goal! Cole Jermaine Palmer - Chelsea
54' João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus - Chelsea receive a yellow card
46' Aston Villa — substitution: Lamare Bogarde / Matthew Cash
45+5' Goal! João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus - Chelsea
42' VAR review - Aston Villa
35' Goal! João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus - Chelsea
32' Matthew Cash - Aston Villa receive a yellow card
2' Goal! Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo - Aston Villa

How We Build the Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aston Villa vs Chelsea on 04 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aston Villa vs Chelsea Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aston Villa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Chelsea's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Aston Villa and Chelsea sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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