Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 February

Aston Villa

W L L D W

4th place in English Premier League

1-0

11/02/2026 15:30

Brighton Hove Albion

D W L W L

8th place in English Premier League

English Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion on 11 February 2026 (kick-off: 15:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion preview before placing your bet.

Aston Villa are currently 4th with 65 points after 38 matches.
Brighton Hove Albion sit 8th with 53 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Aston Villa to win with probability 46%.
Head-to-head history favors Aston Villa, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Brighton Hove Albion have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:30

2026-02-11

Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion - Prediction & Odds

Aston Villa

Brighton Hove Albion

2026-02-11 15:30

STANDINGS UP TO 11/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	85	38	26	7	5	71	27	44
02 Manchester City	78	38	23	9	6	77	35	42
03 Manchester United	71	38	20	11	7	69	50	19
04 Aston Villa	65	38	19	8	11	56	49	7
05 Liverpool	60	38	17	9	12	63	53	10
06 AFC Bournemouth	57	38	13	18	7	58	54	4
07 Sunderland A.F.C	54	38	14	12	12	42	48	-6
08 Brighton Hove Albion	53	38	14	11	13	52	46	6
09 Brentford	53	38	14	11	13	55	52	3
10 Chelsea	52	38	14	10	14	58	52	6
11 Fulham	52	38	15	7	16	47	51	-4
12 Newcastle United	49	38	14	7	17	53	55	-2
13 Everton	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
14 Leeds United	47	38	11	14	13	49	56	-7
15 Crystal Palace	45	38	11	12	15	41	51	-10
16 Nottingham Forest	44	38	11	11	16	48	51	-3
17 Tottenham Hotspur	41	38	10	11	17	48	57	-9
18 West Ham United	39	38	10	9	19	46	65	-19
19 Burnley	22	38	4	10	24	38	75	-37
20 Wolves	20	38	3	11	24	27	68	-41

Head To Head

03/12/2025 15:30

Brighton Hove Albion

3 - 4

Aston Villa

ENG PR

02/04/2025 14:45

Brighton Hove Albion

0 - 3

Aston Villa

ENG PR

30/12/2024 15:45

Aston Villa

2 - 2

Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

05/05/2024 09:00

Brighton Hove Albion

1 - 0

Aston Villa

ENG PR

30/09/2023 07:30

Aston Villa

6 - 1

Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

28/05/2023 11:30

Aston Villa

2 - 1

Brighton Hove Albion

ENG PR

Aston Villa

67%

Draw

17%

Brighton Hove Albion

17%

Aston Villa Last 6 matches

07/02/2026 11:00

AFC Bournemouth 1 - 1 Aston Villa ENG PR

01/02/2026 10:00

Aston Villa 0 - 1 Brentford ENG PR

29/01/2026 16:00

Aston Villa 3 - 2 Red Bull Salzburg UEFA EL

25/01/2026 10:00

Newcastle United 0 - 2 Aston Villa ENG PR

22/01/2026 13:45

Fenerbahce 0 - 1 Aston Villa UEFA EL

18/01/2026 12:30

Aston Villa 0 - 1 Everton ENG PR

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Brighton Hove Albion

08/02/2026 10:00

Brighton Hove Albion 0 - 1 Crystal Palace ENG PR

31/01/2026 11:00

Brighton Hove Albion 1 - 1 Everton ENG PR

24/01/2026 11:00

Fulham 2 - 1 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

19/01/2026 16:00

Brighton Hove Albion 1 - 1 AFC Bournemouth ENG PR

11/01/2026 12:30

Manchester United 1 - 2 Brighton Hove Albion ENG FAC

07/01/2026 15:30

Manchester City 1 - 1 Brighton Hove Albion ENG PR

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues English Premier League

Played games

Aston Villa

Brighton Hove Albion

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.68

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.16

Scored

Avg. per game

1.58

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.05

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

15 (79%)4 (21%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

15 (79%)4 (21%)

Aston Villa

Recent matches

Brighton Hove Albion

Under /Over

(68%)13 6(32%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)16 3(16%)

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

Under /Over

(47%)9 10(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)9 10(53%)

/Yes

(53%)10 9(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)11 8(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Aston Villa

Brighton Hove Albion

Shots

Aston Villa

Total shots

13.72 avg / game

Blocked

77 total

Avg. 4.28

Brighton Hove Albion

Total shots

13.74 avg / game

Blocked

67 total

Avg. 3.72

Aston Villa Pass Brighton Hove Albion

Total passes

8094

Avg. 450 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

8643

Avg. 455 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Aston Villa

Played games

Brighton Hove Albion

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.26

5.32

101

Corners

4.95

14.79

281

Throw-ins

298

15.68

1.16

Offsides

1.74

2.89

GK saves

2.68

Aston Villa

DISCIPLINARY

Brighton Hove Albion

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.21

1.79

0.05

0.00

9.37

178

Fouls

200

10.53

8.16

155

Tackles

191

10.05

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion on 11 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this English Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aston Villa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Brighton Hove Albion's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

English Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live English Premier League standings and the English Premier League form table to understand exactly where Aston Villa and Brighton Hove Albion sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our English Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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