Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 February

Betiball's prediction for Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion on 11 February 2026 (kick-off: 15:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion preview before placing your bet.

Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion: Starting Lineups Time : 11/02/2026 15:30

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Finished
Brighton Hove Albion
86' event Jack Hinshelwood
84' event Victor Nilsson-Lindelof / Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo
75' event Tammy Abraham / Amadou Onana
74' event Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha / Ollie Watkins
60' event Ross Barkley / Emiliano Buendia Stati
60' event Leon Bailey / Jadon Sancho
50' event Morgan Rogers
41' event Damian Emiliano Martinez Romero
event 81' Harry Howell / Diego Gómez
event 81' Charalampos Kostoulas / Danny Welbeck
event 81' Yankuba Minteh / Kaoru Mitoma
event 61' Olivier Boscagli / Jan Paul Van Hecke
event 41' Jan Paul Van Hecke
event 23' Joel Veltman
event 22' James Milner / Carlos Baleba
event 2' Carlos Baleba
86' event Jack Hinshelwood
event 81' Harry Howell / Diego Gómez
84' event Victor Nilsson-Lindelof / Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo
event 81' Charalampos Kostoulas / Danny Welbeck
75' event Tammy Abraham / Amadou Onana
event 81' Yankuba Minteh / Kaoru Mitoma
74' event Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha / Ollie Watkins
event 61' Olivier Boscagli / Jan Paul Van Hecke
60' event Ross Barkley / Emiliano Buendia Stati
event 41' Jan Paul Van Hecke
60' event Leon Bailey / Jadon Sancho
event 23' Joel Veltman
50' event Morgan Rogers
event 22' James Milner / Carlos Baleba
41' event Damian Emiliano Martinez Romero
event 2' Carlos Baleba
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Substitutions
#47 Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha
#31 Leon Bailey
#3 Victor Nilsson-Lindelof
#6 Ross Barkley
#18 Tammy Abraham
#12 Lucas Digne
#40 Marco Bizot
#14 Pau Torres
#64 James Wright
Aston Villa Aston Villa Brighton Hove Albion Brighton Hove Albion
15Shots9
1Shots on Goal3
9Fouls15
7Corner Kick5
15Free kick9
0Offside3
2Yellow card3
1Aerial17
3Save2
5Successful Tackles10
7Interceptions14
26Long pass23
5Successful center5
5Substitution5
10Shots off goal5
0Hit The Post1
12Head Success10
4Blocked1
4Tackle10
2Dribbles4
12Throw-in23
419Passes410
73Attacks95
46Dangerous attacks57
4Corner Kicks(HT)1
10ShotsInsideBox7
5ShotsOutsideBox2
39DuelsWon39
32Touches In Opposition Box24
14AccurateCrosses27
27GroundDuelsWon29
12AerialDuelsWon10
23Clearances14
Brighton Hove Albion Brighton Hove Albion
Substitutions
#21 Olivier Boscagli
#11 Yankuba Minteh
#19 Charalampos Kostoulas
#20 James Milner
#53 Harry Howell
#29 Maxim de Cuyper
#33 Matthew ORiley
#10 Georginio Rutter
#23 Jason Steele
Commentary
86' Own goal! Jack Hinshelwood - Aston Villa
84' Aston Villa — substitution: Victor Nilsson-Lindelof / Douglas Luiz Soares de Paulo
81' Brighton Hove Albion — substitution: Harry Howell / Diego Gómez
81' Brighton Hove Albion — substitution: Charalampos Kostoulas / Danny Welbeck
81' Brighton Hove Albion — substitution: Yankuba Minteh / Kaoru Mitoma
75' Aston Villa — substitution: Tammy Abraham / Amadou Onana
74' Aston Villa — substitution: Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha / Ollie Watkins
61' Brighton Hove Albion — substitution: Olivier Boscagli / Jan Paul Van Hecke
60' Aston Villa — substitution: Ross Barkley / Emiliano Buendia Stati
60' Aston Villa — substitution: Leon Bailey / Jadon Sancho
50' Morgan Rogers - Aston Villa receive a yellow card
41' Damian Emiliano Martinez Romero - Aston Villa receive a yellow card
41' Jan Paul Van Hecke - Brighton Hove Albion receive a yellow card
23' Joel Veltman - Brighton Hove Albion receive a yellow card
22' Brighton Hove Albion — substitution: James Milner / Carlos Baleba
2' Carlos Baleba - Brighton Hove Albion receive a yellow card

How We Build the Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion on 11 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Aston Villa vs Brighton Hove Albion Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Aston Villa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Brighton Hove Albion's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Aston Villa and Brighton Hove Albion sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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