Arba Minch vs Negelle Arsi: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 22 February

Arba Minch
LWWLL
20th place in Ethiopia Premier League
2
1-1
FT
22/02/2026 08:00
Negelle Arsi
DDWDW
2nd place in Ethiopia Premier League
Ethiopia Premier League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Arba Minch vs Negelle Arsi on 22 February 2026 (kick-off: 08:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Arba Minch vs Negelle Arsi preview before placing your bet.

  • Arba Minch will face Negelle Arsi in Ethiopia Premier League on February 22, 2026 at 08:00.
  • Arba Minch are currently 20th with 35 points after 38 matches.
  • Negelle Arsi sit 2nd with 60 points from 38 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 1.95.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
08:00

2026-02-22

Arba Minch vs Negelle Arsi - Prediction & Odds

Arba Minch
Arba Minch
Negelle Arsi
Negelle Arsi
2026-02-22 08:00
22
32
46
2
1 - 1
1 - 1
1.75
1.95
FT
1-1 0-1
-
weather
STANDINGS UP TO 22/02/2026
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Sidama Bunna Sidama Bunna
68 38 19 11 8 43 23 20
02 Negelle Arsi Negelle Arsi
60 38 15 15 8 37 30 7
03 Defence Force FC Defence Force FC
57 38 14 15 9 44 31 13
04 Fasil Kenema Fasil Kenema
55 38 14 13 11 28 28 0
05 Ethio Electric FC Ethio Electric FC
54 38 13 15 10 32 26 6
06 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis
54 38 14 12 12 33 31 2
07 Wolaita Dicha Wolaita Dicha
51 38 11 18 9 37 31 6
08 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna
51 38 13 12 13 40 39 1
09 Hawassa City FC Hawassa City FC
50 38 12 14 12 37 33 4
10 Sheger Ketema Sheger Ketema
50 37 11 17 9 34 30 4
11 Bahir Dar Kenema FC Bahir Dar Kenema FC
48 38 9 21 8 28 28 0
12 Hadiya Hossana Hadiya Hossana
48 38 11 15 12 31 35 -4
13 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank
47 38 11 14 13 45 45 0
14 Adama City Adama City
46 38 10 16 12 35 39 -4
15 Welwalo Adigrat Welwalo Adigrat
46 38 10 16 12 32 36 -4
16 Ethiopian Insurance FC Ethiopian Insurance FC
43 37 9 16 12 29 31 -2
17 Shire Endaselassie FC Shire Endaselassie FC
42 38 9 15 14 24 32 -8
18 Dire Dawa Dire Dawa
42 38 9 15 14 26 42 -16
19 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
40 38 8 16 14 28 37 -9
20 Arba Minch Arba Minch
35 38 7 14 17 30 46 -16
Head To Head
18/10/2025 09:00
Negelle Arsi Negelle Arsi
1 - 1
Arba Minch Arba Minch
ETH PR
Negelle Arsi
0
0%
Draw
1
100%
Arba Minch
0
0%
Arba Minch Arba Minch Last 6 matches
06/02/2026 08:00
Arba Minch 1 - 1 Dire Dawa
ETH PR
01/02/2026 06:00
Welwalo Adigrat 1 - 2 Arba Minch
ETH PR
25/01/2026 09:00
Arba Minch 2 - 3 Fasil Kenema
ETH PR
21/01/2026 09:00
Shire Endaselassie FC 1 - 0 Arba Minch
ETH PR
17/01/2026 06:00
Arba Minch 0 - 2 Mekelakeya
ETH PR
08/01/2026 09:00
Sidama Bunna 0 - 0 Arba Minch
ETH PR
Win
17%
Draw
33%
Lost
50%
Last 6 matches Negelle Arsi Negelle Arsi
05/02/2026 11:00
Negelle Arsi 1 - 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
ETH PR
01/02/2026 11:00
Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0 - 2 Negelle Arsi
ETH PR
27/01/2026 08:00
Negelle Arsi 1 - 0 Sidama Bunna
ETH PR
21/01/2026 11:00
Hawassa City FC 2 - 0 Negelle Arsi
ETH PR
16/01/2026 08:00
Negelle Arsi 1 - 1 Wolaita Dicha
ETH PR
08/01/2026 06:00
Shire Endaselassie FC 0 - 1 Negelle Arsi
ETH PR
Win
67%
Draw
17%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Ethiopia Premier Leagu...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Arba Minch
Arba Minch
38
 Negelle Arsi
Negelle Arsi
38
Goals
Scored
15
Avg. per game
0.39
Conceded
22
Avg. per game
0.58
Scored
20
Avg. per game
0.53
Conceded
18
Avg. per game
0.47
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 38 matches
YesNo
13 (34%)25 (66%)
In last 38 matches
NoYes
16 (42%)22 (58%)
Arba Minch

Arba Minch

Recent matches

Negelle Arsi

Negelle Arsi

Under /Over

(66%)25 13(34%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(61%)23 15(39%)

Under /Over

(24%)9 29(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)9 29(76%)

Under /Over

(26%)10 28(74%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(24%)9 29(76%)

/Yes

(42%)16 22(58%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(37%)14 24(63%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Arba Minch Arba Minch
Negelle Arsi Negelle Arsi
Shots
Arba Minch
Arba Minch
Total shots
7.57 avg / game
Blocked
3 total
Avg. 3.00
Negelle Arsi
Negelle Arsi
Total shots
7.38 avg / game
Blocked
2 total
Avg. 1.00
Arba Minch Arba Minch Pass Negelle Arsi Negelle Arsi
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
49%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
49%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Arba Minch
Arba Minch
4226
Avg. 111.21 / game
 Negelle Arsi
Negelle Arsi
3671
Avg. 96.61 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Arba Minch
Arba Minch
2474
Avg. 65.11 / game
 Negelle Arsi
Negelle Arsi
2498
Avg. 65.74 / game
OTHERS
Arba Minch
Arba Minch
38
Played games
Negelle Arsi
Negelle Arsi
38
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.29
11
Clean sheets
17
0.45
3.53
134
Corners
125
3.29
2.42
92
Throw-ins
108
2.84
1.89
72
Offsides
71
1.87
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
Arba Minch
Arba Minch
DISCIPLINARY
Negelle Arsi
Negelle Arsi
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.42
92
Yellow card
94
2.47
0.13
5
Red card
3
0.08
7.89
300
Fouls
342
9.00
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Arba Minch vs Negelle Arsi Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Arba Minch vs Negelle Arsi on 22 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Ethiopia Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Arba Minch vs Negelle Arsi Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Arba Minch's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Negelle Arsi's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Ethiopia Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Ethiopia Premier League standings and the Ethiopia Premier League form table to understand exactly where Arba Minch and Negelle Arsi sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Ethiopia Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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