Hawassa City FC vs Negelle Arsi: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 January

Hawassa City FC

L W L D D

9th place in Ethiopia Premier League

2-0

21/01/2026 11:00

Negelle Arsi

D D W D W

2nd place in Ethiopia Premier League

Ethiopia Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Hawassa City FC vs Negelle Arsi on 21 January 2026 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Hawassa City FC vs Negelle Arsi preview before placing your bet.

Hawassa City FC are currently 9th with 50 points after 38 matches.
Negelle Arsi sit 2nd with 60 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: a draw with probability 34%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2026-01-21

Hawassa City FC vs Negelle Arsi - Prediction & Odds

Hawassa City FC

Negelle Arsi

2026-01-21 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 21/01/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Sidama Bunna	68	38	19	11	8	43	23	20
02 Negelle Arsi	60	38	15	15	8	37	30	7
03 Defence Force FC	57	38	14	15	9	44	31	13
04 Fasil Kenema	55	38	14	13	11	28	28	0
05 Ethio Electric FC	54	38	13	15	10	32	26	6
06 Kedus Giorgis	54	38	14	12	12	33	31	2
07 Wolaita Dicha	51	38	11	18	9	37	31	6
08 Ethiopia Bunna	51	38	13	12	13	40	39	1
09 Hawassa City FC	50	38	12	14	12	37	33	4
10 Sheger Ketema	50	37	11	17	9	34	30	4
11 Bahir Dar Kenema FC	48	38	9	21	8	28	28	0
12 Hadiya Hossana	48	38	11	15	12	31	35	-4
13 Ethiopia Nigd Bank	47	38	11	14	13	45	45	0
14 Adama City	46	38	10	16	12	35	39	-4
15 Welwalo Adigrat	46	38	10	16	12	32	36	-4
16 Ethiopian Insurance FC	43	37	9	16	12	29	31	-2
17 Shire Endaselassie FC	42	38	9	15	14	24	32	-8
18 Dire Dawa	42	38	9	15	14	26	42	-16
19 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC	40	38	8	16	14	28	37	-9
20 Arba Minch	35	38	7	14	17	30	46	-16

Hawassa City FC Last 6 matches

17/01/2026 08:00

Ethiopia Bunna 1 - 1 Hawassa City FC ETH PR

09/01/2026 08:00

Hawassa City FC 1 - 0 Kedus Giorgis ETH PR

03/01/2026 11:00

Arba Minch 0 - 0 Hawassa City FC ETH PR

30/12/2025 08:00

Hawassa City FC 0 - 1 Hadiya Hossana ETH PR

25/12/2025 08:00

Sheger Ketema 1 - 2 Hawassa City FC ETH PR

20/12/2025 11:00

Hawassa City FC 2 - 1 Ethiopian Insurance FC ETH PR

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Negelle Arsi

16/01/2026 08:00

Negelle Arsi 1 - 1 Wolaita Dicha ETH PR

08/01/2026 06:00

Shire Endaselassie FC 0 - 1 Negelle Arsi ETH PR

04/01/2026 06:00

Negelle Arsi 2 - 0 Mekelakeya ETH PR

30/12/2025 06:00

Dire Dawa 0 - 3 Negelle Arsi ETH PR

24/12/2025 06:00

Negelle Arsi 1 - 0 Welwalo Adigrat ETH PR

20/12/2025 09:00

Fasil Kenema 1 - 0 Negelle Arsi ETH PR

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Ethiopia Premier Leagu...

Played games

Hawassa City FC

Negelle Arsi

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.97

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.87

Scored

Avg. per game

0.97

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.79

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

25 (66%)13 (34%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

24 (63%)14 (37%)

Hawassa City FC

Recent matches

Negelle Arsi

Under /Over

(55%)21 17(45%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(61%)23 15(39%)

Under /Over

(24%)9 29(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)9 29(76%)

Under /Over

(18%)7 31(82%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(24%)9 29(76%)

/Yes

(45%)17 21(55%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(37%)14 24(63%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Hawassa City FC

Negelle Arsi

Shots

Hawassa City FC

Total shots

6.89 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. 0.00

Negelle Arsi

Total shots

7.38 avg / game

Blocked

2 total

Avg. 1.00

Hawassa City FC Pass Negelle Arsi

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Hawassa City FC

Played games

Negelle Arsi

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

Clean sheets

0.45

3.32

126

Corners

125

3.29

3.37

128

Throw-ins

108

2.84

1.63

Offsides

1.87

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Hawassa City FC

DISCIPLINARY

Negelle Arsi

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.16

2.47

0.05

0.08

8.08

307

Fouls

342

9.00

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Hawassa City FC vs Negelle Arsi Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Hawassa City FC vs Negelle Arsi on 21 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Ethiopia Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Hawassa City FC vs Negelle Arsi Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Hawassa City FC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Negelle Arsi's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Ethiopia Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Ethiopia Premier League standings and the Ethiopia Premier League form table to understand exactly where Hawassa City FC and Negelle Arsi sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Ethiopia Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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