Racing Club Montevideo vs CA Penarol: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 12 July

Racing Club Montevideo

WWDWD

1st place in Uruguay Primera Division

1-1

CA Penarol
Win Probability 39%

12/07/2026 17:30

CA Penarol

WLDLD

4th place in Uruguay Primera Division

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Racing Club Montevideo vs CA Penarol on 12 July 2026 (kick-off: 17:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Racing Club Montevideo vs CA Penarol preview before placing your bet.

Racing Club Montevideo will face CA Penarol in Uruguay Primera Division on July 12, 2026 at 17:30.
Racing Club Montevideo are currently 1st with 31 points after 15 matches.
CA Penarol sit 4th with 27 points from 15 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.15.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:30

2026-07-12

Racing Club Montevideo vs CA Penarol - Prediction & Odds

Racing Club Montevideo

CA Penarol

2026-07-12 17:30

STANDINGS UP TO 12/07/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Racing Club Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	23	14	9
02 Deportivo Maldonado	29	15	9	2	4	24	16	8
03 Albion FC	28	15	8	4	3	26	16	10
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	23	16	7
05 Central Espanol	24	15	7	3	5	23	22	1
06 Montevideo City Torque	23	15	6	5	4	22	16	6
07 Nacional Montevideo	22	15	7	1	7	26	21	5
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	21	15	5	6	4	13	11	2
09 Liverpool URU	20	15	5	5	5	20	18	2
10 Wanderers FC	20	15	6	2	7	16	21	-5
11 Danubio FC	18	15	4	6	5	17	21	-4
12 Cerro Largo	17	15	5	2	8	16	19	-3
13 Boston River	17	15	5	2	8	14	20	-6
14 CA Juventud	15	15	4	3	8	17	22	-5
15 Club Atletico Progreso	10	15	2	4	9	12	23	-11
16 Cerro Montevideo	10	15	2	4	9	8	24	-16

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	10	5	3	1	1	6	3	3
02 Central Espanol	8	5	2	2	1	4	3	1
03 Cerro Largo	7	4	2	1	1	5	1	4
04 Racing Club Montevideo	7	5	1	4	0	3	2	1
05 Cerro Montevideo	6	5	2	0	3	4	8	-4
06 Boston River	5	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1
07 Liverpool URU	5	5	1	2	2	3	4	-1
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	2	4	0	2	2	2	5	-3

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Deportivo Maldonado	11	5	3	2	0	12	5	7
02 Nacional Montevideo	10	5	3	1	1	5	5	0
03 Wanderers FC	9	5	2	3	0	8	3	5
04 Montevideo City Torque	9	5	3	0	2	10	9	1
05 Albion FC	5	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1
06 CA Juventud	4	5	1	1	3	7	11	-4
07 Danubio FC	3	5	0	3	2	3	6	-3
08 Club Atletico Progreso	3	5	1	0	4	4	9	-5
09 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10 Unknown	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Head To Head

29/03/2026 18:25

CA Penarol

1 - 2

Racing Club Montevideo

URU D1

19/01/2026 20:30

CA Penarol

1 - 0

Racing Club Montevideo

UCL

31/08/2025 17:00

Racing Club Montevideo

1 - 4

CA Penarol

URU D1

09/03/2025 18:30

CA Penarol

0 - 2

Racing Club Montevideo

URU D1

30/09/2024 19:00

CA Penarol

0 - 0

Racing Club Montevideo

URU D1

16/06/2024 17:00

CA Penarol

1 - 1

Racing Club Montevideo

URU D1

CA Penarol

17%

Draw

33%

Racing Club Montevideo

50%

Racing Club Montevideo Last 6 matches

06/06/2026 09:00

Central Espanol 1 - 1 Racing Club Montevideo

URU D1

30/05/2026 09:00

Racing Club Montevideo 0 - 0 Defensor Sporting Montevideo

URU D1

22/05/2026 18:30

Liverpool URU 0 - 0 Racing Club Montevideo

URU D1

17/05/2026 14:00

Racing Club Montevideo 1 - 0 Cerro Largo

URU D1

09/05/2026 17:25

Central Espanol 2 - 0 Racing Club Montevideo

URU D1

03/05/2026 14:30

Racing Club Montevideo 1 - 1 Montevideo City Torque

URU D1

Win

17%

Draw

67%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches CA Penarol

07/06/2026 14:00

Cerro Montevideo 0 - 1 CA Penarol

URU D1

01/06/2026 19:00

CA Penarol 0 - 1 Central Espanol

URU D1

27/05/2026 20:30

CA Penarol 0 - 1 Independiente Santa Fe

CON CLA

24/05/2026 17:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 0 - 2 CA Penarol

URU D1

21/05/2026 20:30

CA Penarol 1 - 1 Corinthians Paulista (SP)

CON CLA

16/05/2026 17:30

CA Penarol 2 - 1 Liverpool URU

URU D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Racing Club Montevideo

CA Penarol

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.65

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.45

Scored

Avg. per game

0.85

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.45

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 20 matches

YesNo

9 (45%)11 (55%)

In last 20 matches

NoYes

12 (60%)8 (40%)

Racing Club Montevideo

Recent matches

CA Penarol

Under /Over

(65%)13 7(35%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(75%)15 5(25%)

Under /Over

(25%)5 15(75%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(25%)5 15(75%)

Under /Over

(35%)7 13(65%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(30%)6 14(70%)

/Yes

(55%)11 9(45%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(55%)11 9(45%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Racing Club Montevideo

CA Penarol

Shots

Racing Club Montevideo

Total shots

7.95 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

CA Penarol

Total shots

5.68 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Racing Club Montevideo Pass CA Penarol

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Racing Club Montevideo

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Racing Club Montevideo

OTHERS

Racing Club Montevideo

Played games

CA Penarol

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.40

Clean sheets

0.30

5.45

109

Corners

2.45

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Racing Club Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

CA Penarol

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.45

1.20

0.10

0.05

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

07/19

Cerro Montevideo

Racing Club Montevideo

URU

07/26

Racing Club Montevideo

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Racing Club Montevideo vs CA Penarol Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Racing Club Montevideo vs CA Penarol on 12 July 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Racing Club Montevideo vs CA Penarol Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Racing Club Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against CA Penarol's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Racing Club Montevideo and CA Penarol sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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