Wrexham vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 September

Wrexham

L L W W L

7th place in England Championship

1-1

27/09/2025 07:30

Derby County

W L W L W

8th place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Wrexham vs Derby County on 27 September 2025 (kick-off: 07:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Wrexham vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Wrexham are currently 7th with 71 points after 46 matches.
Derby County sit 8th with 69 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Wrexham to win with probability 42%.
Head-to-head history favors Derby County, who have won 1 of the last 1 meetings. Wrexham have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

07:30

2025-09-27

Wrexham vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Wrexham

Derby County

2025-09-27 07:30

STANDINGS UP TO 27/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Coventry City	95	46	28	11	7	97	45	52
02 Ipswich Town	84	46	23	15	8	80	47	33
03 Millwall	83	46	24	11	11	64	49	15
04 Southampton	80	46	22	14	10	82	56	26
05 Middlesbrough	80	46	22	14	10	72	47	25
06 Hull City	73	46	21	10	15	70	66	4
07 Wrexham	71	46	19	14	13	69	65	4
08 Derby County	69	46	20	9	17	67	59	8
09 Norwich City	65	46	19	8	19	63	56	7
10 Birmingham City	64	46	17	13	16	57	56	1
11 Swansea City	64	46	18	10	18	57	59	-2
12 Bristol City	62	46	17	11	18	59	59	0
13 Sheffield United	60	46	18	6	22	66	66	0
14 Preston North End	60	46	15	15	16	55	62	-7
15 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	58	46	16	10	20	61	73	-12
16 Watford	57	46	14	15	17	53	65	-12
17 Stoke City	55	46	15	10	21	51	56	-5
18 Portsmouth	55	46	14	13	19	49	64	-15
19 Charlton Athletic	53	46	13	14	19	44	58	-14
20 Blackburn Rovers	52	46	13	13	20	42	56	-14
21 West Bromwich(WBA)	51	46	13	14	19	48	58	-10
22 Oxford United	47	46	11	14	21	45	59	-14
23 Leicester City	46	46	12	16	18	58	68	-10
24 Sheffield Wednesday	0	46	2	12	32	29	89	-60

Head To Head

06/01/2007 11:00

Derby County

3 - 1

Wrexham

ENG FAC

Wrexham

Draw

Derby County

100%

Wrexham Last 6 matches

23/09/2025 14:45

Wrexham 2 - 0 Reading ENG LC

20/09/2025 10:00

Norwich City 2 - 3 Wrexham ENG LCH

13/09/2025 10:00

Wrexham 1 - 3 Queens Park Rangers (QPR) ENG LCH

30/08/2025 10:00

Millwall 0 - 2 Wrexham ENG LCH

26/08/2025 14:45

Preston North End 2 - 3 Wrexham ENG LC

23/08/2025 10:00

Wrexham 2 - 2 Sheffield Wednesday ENG LCH

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Derby County

20/09/2025 10:00

Derby County 0 - 1 Preston North End ENG LCH

13/09/2025 10:00

West Bromwich(WBA) 0 - 1 Derby County ENG LCH

30/08/2025 10:00

Ipswich Town 2 - 2 Derby County ENG LCH

26/08/2025 14:45

Burnley 2 - 1 Derby County ENG LC

22/08/2025 15:00

Derby County 1 - 1 Bristol City ENG LCH

16/08/2025 07:30

Derby County 3 - 5 Coventry City ENG LCH

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Played games

Goals

Scored

373

Avg. per game

2.21

Conceded

164

Avg. per game

0.97

Scored

232

Avg. per game

1.40

Conceded

165

Avg. per game

0.99

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 169 home matches

YesNo

149 (88%)20 (12%)

In last 169 home matches

NoYes

134 (81%)32 (19%)

Wrexham

Recent matches

Derby County

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Wrexham

Derby County

Shots

Wrexham

Total shots

13.81 avg / game

Blocked

272 total

Avg. 3.89

Derby County

Total shots

12.22 avg / game

Blocked

512 total

Avg. 3.76

Wrexham Pass Derby County

Total passes

36199

Avg. 416 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

59203

Avg. 400 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Wrexham

169

Played games

Derby County

166

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.44

Clean sheets

0.39

5.73

968

Corners

848

5.11

11.10

1876

Throw-ins

3639

21.92

0.95

160

Offsides

321

1.93

1.30

219

GK saves

323

1.95

Wrexham

DISCIPLINARY

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.25

211

276

1.66

0.05

0.04

5.13

867

Fouls

1658

9.99

7.50

1268

Tackles

2083

12.55

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Wrexham vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Wrexham vs Derby County on 27 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Wrexham vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Wrexham's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Wrexham and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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