Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 November

Wellington Phoenix

D W L L L

11th place in Australia A-League

1-0

23/11/2024 22:30

Melbourne Victory

L W W L W

5th place in Australia A-League

Australia A-League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory on 23 November 2024 (kick-off: 22:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory preview before placing your bet.

Wellington Phoenix are currently 11th with 24 points after 26 matches.
Melbourne Victory sit 5th with 43 points from 26 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Melbourne Victory to win with probability 47%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory have each won 1 of the last 6 meetings, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

22:30

2024-11-23

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory - Prediction & Odds

Wellington Phoenix

Melbourne Victory

2024-11-23 22:30

STANDINGS UP TO 23/11/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Auckland FC	53	26	15	8	3	49	27	22
02 Melbourne City	48	26	14	6	6	41	25	16
03 Western United FC	47	26	14	5	7	55	37	18
04 Western Sydney	46	26	13	7	6	58	40	18
05 Melbourne Victory	43	26	12	7	7	44	36	8
06 Adelaide United	38	26	10	8	8	53	55	-2
07 Sydney FC	37	26	10	7	9	53	46	7
08 FC Macarthur	33	26	9	6	11	50	45	5
09 Newcastle Jets	30	26	8	6	12	43	44	-1
10 Central Coast Mariners	26	26	5	11	10	29	51	-22
11 Wellington Phoenix	24	26	6	6	14	27	43	-16
12 Brisbane Roar	21	26	5	6	15	32	51	-19
13 Perth Glory	17	26	4	5	17	22	56	-34

Head To Head

18/05/2024 02:30

Wellington Phoenix

1 - 1

Melbourne Victory

AUS D1

12/05/2024 02:00

Melbourne Victory

0 - 0

Wellington Phoenix

AUS D1

12/04/2024 03:00

Wellington Phoenix

1 - 0

Melbourne Victory

AUS D1

19/01/2024 02:00

Wellington Phoenix

1 - 1

Melbourne Victory

AUS D1

10/11/2023 04:45

Melbourne Victory

1 - 1

Wellington Phoenix

AUS D1

31/03/2023 22:00

Wellington Phoenix

1 - 2

Melbourne Victory

AUS D1

Wellington Phoenix

17%

Draw

67%

Melbourne Victory

17%

Wellington Phoenix Last 6 matches

10/11/2024 01:00

Central Coast Mariners 0 - 3 Wellington Phoenix AUS D1

02/11/2024 00:00

Wellington Phoenix 0 - 2 Auckland FC AUS D1

26/10/2024 06:45

Perth Glory 0 - 2 Wellington Phoenix AUS D1

19/10/2024 23:00

Wellington Phoenix 1 - 1 Western United FC AUS D1

06/08/2024 05:30

South Melbourne 1 - 0 Wellington Phoenix A FFA Cup

18/05/2024 02:30

Wellington Phoenix 1 - 1 Melbourne Victory AUS D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Melbourne Victory

09/11/2024 02:00

Melbourne Victory 2 - 0 Brisbane Roar AUS D1

03/11/2024 01:00

Melbourne Victory 2 - 1 FC Macarthur AUS D1

26/10/2024 04:35

Melbourne City 1 - 3 Melbourne Victory AUS D1

18/10/2024 04:35

Central Coast Mariners 0 - 0 Melbourne Victory AUS D1

29/09/2024 05:10

Melbourne Victory 0 - 1 FC Macarthur A FFA Cup

21/09/2024 05:30

Melbourne Victory 1 - 0 Adelaide United A FFA Cup

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Australia A-League

Played games

Goals

Scored

240

Avg. per game

1.36

Conceded

267

Avg. per game

1.52

Scored

304

Avg. per game

1.54

Conceded

269

Avg. per game

1.36

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 176 matches

YesNo

137 (78%)39 (22%)

In last 176 matches

NoYes

147 (74%)51 (26%)

Wellington Phoenix

Recent matches

Melbourne Victory

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Wellington Phoenix

Melbourne Victory

Shots

Wellington Phoenix

Total shots

11.58 avg / game

Blocked

324 total

Avg. 3.12

Melbourne Victory

Total shots

13.92 avg / game

Blocked

479 total

Avg. 4.32

Wellington Phoenix Pass Melbourne Victory

Total passes

65606

Avg. 462 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

70326

Avg. 460 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Wellington Phoenix

176

Played games

Melbourne Victory

198

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.24

4.73

833

Corners

1102

5.57

8.86

1560

Throw-ins

1789

9.04

1.51

266

Offsides

244

1.23

3.82

672

GK saves

506

2.56

Wellington Phoenix

DISCIPLINARY

Melbourne Victory

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.73

305

351

1.77

0.07

0.11

9.61

1692

Fouls

2057

10.39

9.97

1755

Tackles

2164

10.93

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory on 23 November 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Australia A-League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Wellington Phoenix's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Melbourne Victory's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Australia A-League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Australia A-League standings and the Australia A-League form table to understand exactly where Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Australia A-League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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