Wales vs Montenegro: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 October

Wales

D W D L D

1st place in Group D

1-0

14/10/2024 14:45

Montenegro

L L L L L

4th place in Group D

UEFA Nations League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Wales vs Montenegro on 14 October 2024 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Wales vs Montenegro preview before placing your bet.

Wales are currently 1st with 12 points after 6 matches.
Montenegro sit 4th with 3 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Wales to win with probability 59%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Wales and Montenegro have each won 2 of the last 4 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2024-10-14

Wales vs Montenegro - Prediction & Odds

Wales

Montenegro

2024-10-14 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 14/10/2024

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Wales	12	6	3	3	0	9	4	5
02 Turkey	11	6	3	2	1	9	6	3
03 Iceland	7	6	2	1	3	10	13	-3
04 Montenegro	3	6	1	0	5	4	9	-5

Head To Head

09/09/2024 14:45

Montenegro

1 - 2

Wales

UEFA NL

02/09/2011 14:45

Wales

2 - 1

Montenegro

EURO Cup

03/09/2010 13:30

Montenegro

1 - 0

Wales

EURO Cup

12/08/2009 14:30

Montenegro

2 - 1

Wales

INT CF

Wales

50%

Draw

Montenegro

50%

Wales Last 6 matches

11/10/2024 14:45

Iceland 2 - 2 Wales UEFA NL

09/09/2024 14:45

Montenegro 1 - 2 Wales UEFA NL

06/09/2024 14:45

Wales 0 - 0 Turkey UEFA NL

09/06/2024 14:45

Slovakia 4 - 0 Wales INT FRL

06/06/2024 11:59

Gibraltar 0 - 0 Wales INT FRL

26/03/2024 15:45

Wales 0 - 0 Poland EURO Cup

Win

17%

Draw

67%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Montenegro

11/10/2024 14:45

Turkey 1 - 0 Montenegro UEFA NL

09/09/2024 14:45

Montenegro 1 - 2 Wales UEFA NL

06/09/2024 14:45

Iceland 2 - 0 Montenegro UEFA NL

09/06/2024 14:45

Montenegro 1 - 3 Georgia INT FRL

05/06/2024 14:30

Belgium 2 - 0 Montenegro INT FRL

25/03/2024 13:00

Montenegro 1 - 0 North Macedonia INT FRL

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Nations League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Wales

Montenegro

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.66

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored

Avg. per game

0.59

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.84

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 77 matches

YesNo

38 (49%)39 (51%)

In last 77 matches

NoYes

32 (46%)38 (54%)

Wales

Recent matches

Montenegro

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Wales

Montenegro

Shots

Wales

Total shots

12.12 avg / game

Blocked

182 total

Avg. 3.37

Montenegro

Total shots

12.33 avg / game

Blocked

114 total

Avg. 2.85

Wales Pass Montenegro

Total passes

26423

Avg. 456 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

17010

Avg. 378 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Wales

Played games

Montenegro

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.38

Clean sheets

0.29

3.92

302

Corners

298

4.26

12.87

991

Throw-ins

865

12.36

1.13

Offsides

1.31

2.05

158

GK saves

145

2.07

Wales

DISCIPLINARY

Montenegro

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.56

120

146

2.09

0.10

0.09

8.86

682

Fouls

714

10.20

9.22

710

Tackles

557

7.96

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Wales vs Montenegro Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Wales vs Montenegro on 14 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Nations League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Wales vs Montenegro Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Wales's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Montenegro's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Nations League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Nations League standings and the UEFA Nations League form table to understand exactly where Wales and Montenegro sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Nations League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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