Iceland vs Wales: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 October

Iceland

L W L W L

3rd place in Group D

2-2

11/10/2024 14:45

Wales

W D L D D

1st place in Group D

UEFA Nations League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Iceland vs Wales on 11 October 2024 (kick-off: 14:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Iceland vs Wales preview before placing your bet.

Iceland will face Wales in UEFA Nations League on October 11, 2024 at 14:45.
Iceland are currently 3rd with 7 points after 6 matches.
Wales sit 1st with 12 points from 6 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.35.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:45

2024-10-11

Iceland vs Wales - Prediction & Odds

Iceland

Wales

2024-10-11 14:45

STANDINGS UP TO 11/10/2024

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Wales	12	6	3	3	0	9	4	5
02 Turkey	11	6	3	2	1	9	6	3
03 Iceland	7	6	2	1	3	10	13	-3
04 Montenegro	3	6	1	0	5	4	9	-5

Head To Head

05/03/2014 15:45

Wales

3 - 1

Iceland

INT FRL

28/05/2008 15:30

Iceland

0 - 1

Wales

INT CF

Wales

50%

Draw

Iceland

50%

Iceland Last 6 matches

09/09/2024 14:45

Turkey 3 - 1 Iceland

UEFA NL

06/09/2024 14:45

Iceland 2 - 0 Montenegro

UEFA NL

10/06/2024 14:45

Netherlands 4 - 0 Iceland

INT FRL

07/06/2024 14:45

England 0 - 1 Iceland

INT FRL

26/03/2024 15:45

Ukraine 2 - 1 Iceland

EURO Cup

21/03/2024 15:45

Israel 1 - 4 Iceland

EURO Cup

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Wales

09/09/2024 14:45

Montenegro 1 - 2 Wales

UEFA NL

06/09/2024 14:45

Wales 0 - 0 Turkey

UEFA NL

09/06/2024 14:45

Slovakia 4 - 0 Wales

INT FRL

06/06/2024 11:59

Gibraltar 0 - 0 Wales

INT FRL

26/03/2024 15:45

Wales 0 - 0 Poland

EURO Cup

21/03/2024 15:45

Wales 4 - 1 Finland

EURO Cup

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Nations League

Played games

Iceland

Wales

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.50

Conceded

Avg. per game

2.25

Scored

Avg. per game

1.50

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 8 matches

YesNo

8 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 8 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

Iceland

Recent matches

Wales

Under /Over

(100%)8 0(0%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(50%)3 3(50%)

Under /Over

(63%)5 3(37%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(50%)3 3(50%)

Under /Over

(63%)5 3(37%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(33%)2 4(67%)

/Yes

(75%)6 2(25%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)3 3(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Iceland

Wales

Shots

Iceland

Total shots

11.63 avg / game

Blocked

17 total

Avg. 2.43

Wales

Total shots

11.17 avg / game

Blocked

8 total

Avg. 2.67

Iceland Pass Wales

Total passes

2990

Avg. 374 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

44%

Total passes

2847

Avg. 475 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Iceland

Played games

Wales

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.50

3.75

Corners

4.67

18.13

145

Throw-ins

116

19.33

1.00

Offsides

1.33

5.00

GK saves

2.50

Iceland

DISCIPLINARY

Wales

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.88

2.67

0.13

0.00

11.88

Fouls

11.83

14.38

115

Tackles

11.67

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Iceland vs Wales Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Iceland vs Wales on 11 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Nations League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Iceland vs Wales Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Iceland's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Wales's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Nations League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Nations League standings and the UEFA Nations League form table to understand exactly where Iceland and Wales sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Nations League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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