Vitoria Guimaraes vs Penafiel: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 January

Vitoria Guimaraes

D W D W W

No standing data

1-0

11/01/2024 16:15

Penafiel

W D W L L

No standing data

Portugal Campeonato Nacional

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Penafiel on 11 January 2024 (kick-off: 16:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Vitoria Guimaraes vs Penafiel preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: Vitoria Guimaraes to win with probability 67%.
Head-to-head history favors Vitoria Guimaraes, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Penafiel have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:15

2024-01-11

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Penafiel - Prediction & Odds

Vitoria Guimaraes

Penafiel

2024-01-11 16:15

STANDINGS UP TO 11/01/2024

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Vitoria Guimaraes and Penafiel in the Portugal Campeonato Nacional football standings for the 2023-2024 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

07/07/2018 05:00

Vitoria Guimaraes

3 - 1

Penafiel

INT CF

18/10/2015 14:15

Penafiel

2 - 0

Vitoria Guimaraes

POR CN

31/01/2015 16:15

Penafiel

1 - 1

Vitoria Guimaraes

POR D1

22/08/2014 15:00

Vitoria Guimaraes

3 - 0

Penafiel

POR D1

19/07/2014 05:40

Vitoria Guimaraes

2 - 1

Penafiel

INT CF

21/07/2012 05:00

Vitoria Guimaraes

1 - 1

Penafiel

INT CF

Vitoria Guimaraes

50%

Draw

33%

Penafiel

17%

Vitoria Guimaraes Last 6 matches

06/01/2024 16:30

Sporting Braga 1 - 1 Vitoria Guimaraes POR D1

23/12/2023 11:30

Vitoria Guimaraes 1 - 0 Rio Ave POR D1

16/12/2023 16:30

Boavista FC 1 - 1 Vitoria Guimaraes POR D1

09/12/2023 14:00

Vitoria Guimaraes 3 - 2 Sporting CP POR D1

02/12/2023 11:30

SC Farense 1 - 2 Vitoria Guimaraes POR D1

25/11/2023 16:00

Vitoria Guimaraes 4 - 1 Vilaverdense POR CN

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Penafiel

06/01/2024 10:00

Penafiel 2 - 1 Vilaverdense POR D2

23/12/2023 08:45

Maritimo 0 - 0 Penafiel POR D2

16/12/2023 10:00

Penafiel 1 - 0 Uniao Leiria POR D2

09/12/2023 07:00

Pacos de Ferreira 2 - 1 Penafiel POR D2

03/12/2023 10:00

Penafiel 0 - 2 CD Tondela POR D2

25/11/2023 14:15

Penafiel 2 - 2 Vitoria Setubal POR CN

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Campeonato Na...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Vitoria Guimaraes

Penafiel

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.50

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored

Avg. per game

0.75

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.25

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (75%)1 (25%)

Vitoria Guimaraes

Recent matches

Penafiel

Under /Over

(67%)4 2(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(75%)3 1(25%)

Under /Over

(67%)4 2(33%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(25%)1 3(75%)

Under /Over

(17%)1 5(83%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(50%)2 2(50%)

/Yes

(67%)4 2(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)2 2(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Vitoria Guimaraes

Penafiel

Shots

Vitoria Guimaraes

Total shots

13.00 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Penafiel

Total shots

15.67 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Vitoria Guimaraes Pass Penafiel

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Vitoria Guimaraes

Played games

Penafiel

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.17

Clean sheets

0.25

5.50

Corners

5.25

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.17

Offsides

0.00

3.17

GK saves

0.75

Vitoria Guimaraes

DISCIPLINARY

Penafiel

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.83

3.25

0.17

0.00

7.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Vitoria Guimaraes vs Penafiel Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Penafiel on 11 January 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Campeonato Nacional fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Penafiel Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Vitoria Guimaraes's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Penafiel's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Campeonato Nacional Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Campeonato Nacional standings and the Portugal Campeonato Nacional form table to understand exactly where Vitoria Guimaraes and Penafiel sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Campeonato Nacional predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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