Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 March

Vitoria Guimaraes

L W W W W

6th place in Portugal Primera Liga

0-2

11/03/2023 14:00

FC Arouca

W L L L W

5th place in Portugal Primera Liga

Portugal Primera Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca on 11 March 2023 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca preview before placing your bet.

Vitoria Guimaraes are currently 6th with 53 points after 34 matches.
FC Arouca sit 5th with 54 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Vitoria Guimaraes to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors FC Arouca, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Vitoria Guimaraes have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2023-03-11

Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca - Prediction & Odds

Vitoria Guimaraes

FC Arouca

2023-03-11 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/03/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Benfica	87	34	28	3	3	82	20	62
02 FC Porto	85	34	27	4	3	73	22	51
03 Sporting Braga	78	34	25	3	6	75	30	45
04 Sporting CP	74	34	23	5	6	71	32	39
05 FC Arouca	54	34	15	9	10	36	37	-1
06 Vitoria Guimaraes	53	34	16	5	13	34	39	-5
07 GD Chaves	46	34	12	10	12	35	40	-5
08 FC Famalicao	44	34	13	5	16	39	47	-8
09 Boavista FC	44	34	12	8	14	43	54	-11
10 Casa Pia AC	41	34	11	8	15	31	40	-9
11 Vizela	40	34	11	7	16	34	38	-4
12 Rio Ave	40	34	10	10	14	36	43	-7
13 Gil Vicente	37	34	10	7	17	32	41	-9
14 Estoril	35	34	10	5	19	33	49	-16
15 Portimonense	34	34	10	4	20	25	48	-23
16 Maritimo	26	34	7	5	22	32	63	-31
17 Pacos de Ferreira	23	34	6	5	23	26	62	-36
18 Santa Clara	22	34	5	7	22	26	58	-32

Head To Head

18/09/2022 10:30

FC Arouca

2 - 2

Vitoria Guimaraes

POR D1

19/02/2022 16:30

Vitoria Guimaraes

1 - 3

FC Arouca

POR D1

18/09/2021 15:30

FC Arouca

2 - 2

Vitoria Guimaraes

POR D1

21/11/2020 12:30

FC Arouca

0 - 0

Vitoria Guimaraes

POR CN

06/07/2019 06:00

FC Arouca

2 - 1

Vitoria Guimaraes

INT CF

07/05/2017 13:00

Vitoria Guimaraes

1 - 0

FC Arouca

POR D1

Vitoria Guimaraes

17%

Draw

50%

FC Arouca

33%

Vitoria Guimaraes Last 6 matches

27/02/2023 17:15

Vitoria Guimaraes 2 - 1 Sporting Braga POR D1

19/02/2023 16:30

Casa Pia AC 0 - 0 Vitoria Guimaraes POR D1

11/02/2023 16:30

Vitoria Guimaraes 1 - 0 Portimonense POR D1

04/02/2023 16:30

Estoril 0 - 1 Vitoria Guimaraes POR D1

30/01/2023 16:15

Vitoria Guimaraes 2 - 1 GD Chaves POR D1

21/01/2023 16:30

Vitoria Guimaraes 0 - 1 FC Porto POR D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches FC Arouca

03/03/2023 15:00

Boavista FC 0 - 0 FC Arouca POR D1

25/02/2023 11:30

FC Arouca 2 - 0 Casa Pia AC POR D1

19/02/2023 14:00

Sporting Braga 2 - 0 FC Arouca POR D1

11/02/2023 14:00

FC Arouca 1 - 0 Santa Clara POR D1

05/02/2023 16:30

Gil Vicente 1 - 1 FC Arouca POR D1

31/01/2023 17:15

FC Arouca 0 - 3 Benfica POR D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Primera Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Vitoria Guimaraes

FC Arouca

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.50

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored

Avg. per game

0.68

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.56

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 34 matches

YesNo

14 (41%)20 (59%)

In last 34 matches

NoYes

16 (47%)18 (53%)

Vitoria Guimaraes

Recent matches

FC Arouca

Under /Over

(53%)18 16(47%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(62%)21 13(38%)

Under /Over

(24%)8 26(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)8 26(76%)

Under /Over

(35%)12 22(65%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)13 21(62%)

/Yes

(35%)12 22(65%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(32%)11 23(68%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Vitoria Guimaraes

FC Arouca

Shots

Vitoria Guimaraes

Total shots

11.21 avg / game

Blocked

84 total

Avg. 3.36

FC Arouca

Total shots

10.47 avg / game

Blocked

74 total

Avg. 2.64

Vitoria Guimaraes Pass FC Arouca

Total passes

13263

Avg. 390 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

13961

Avg. 411 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Vitoria Guimaraes

Played games

FC Arouca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.41

Clean sheets

0.44

5.03

171

Corners

114

3.35

17.09

581

Throw-ins

626

18.41

1.68

Offsides

1.56

2.50

GK saves

108

3.18

Vitoria Guimaraes

DISCIPLINARY

FC Arouca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

3.41

116

2.32

0.29

0.12

15.35

522

Fouls

470

13.82

17.15

583

Tackles

569

16.74

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca on 11 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Primera Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Arouca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Vitoria Guimaraes's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against FC Arouca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Primera Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Primera Liga standings and the Portugal Primera Liga form table to understand exactly where Vitoria Guimaraes and FC Arouca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Primera Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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