Vitoria Guimaraes vs Alverca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 February

Vitoria Guimaraes

D W W L L

9th place in Portugal Primera Liga

1-1

28/02/2026 16:30

Alverca

W L W L D

11th place in Portugal Primera Liga

Portugal Primera Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Alverca on 28 February 2026 (kick-off: 16:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Vitoria Guimaraes vs Alverca preview before placing your bet.

Vitoria Guimaraes are currently 9th with 42 points after 34 matches.
Alverca sit 11th with 39 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Vitoria Guimaraes to win with probability 52%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Vitoria Guimaraes and Alverca have each won 1 of the last 3 meetings, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:30

2026-02-28

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Alverca - Prediction & Odds

Vitoria Guimaraes

Alverca

2026-02-28 16:30

STANDINGS UP TO 28/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Porto	88	34	28	4	2	66	18	48
02 Sporting CP	82	34	25	7	2	89	24	65
03 Benfica	80	34	23	11	0	74	25	49
04 Sporting Braga	59	34	16	11	7	64	36	28
05 FC Famalicao	56	34	15	11	8	42	29	13
06 Gil Vicente	50	34	13	11	10	47	38	9
07 Moreirense	43	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12
08 FC Arouca	42	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17
09 Vitoria Guimaraes	42	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12
10 Estoril	39	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3
11 Alverca	39	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17
12 Rio Ave	36	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22
13 Santa Clara	36	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9
14 Nacional da Madeira	34	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8
15 Estrela da Amadora	30	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18
16 Casa Pia AC	30	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26
17 CD Tondela	28	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28
18 AVS Futebol SAD	21	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40

Head To Head

28/09/2025 10:30

Alverca

2 - 0

Vitoria Guimaraes

POR D1

02/04/2004 16:30

Alverca

0 - 1

Vitoria Guimaraes

POR D1

30/11/2003 11:59

Vitoria Guimaraes

2 - 2

Alverca

POR D1

Vitoria Guimaraes

33%

Draw

33%

Alverca

33%

Vitoria Guimaraes Last 6 matches

21/02/2026 16:30

Sporting Braga 3 - 2 Vitoria Guimaraes POR D1

14/02/2026 14:00

Vitoria Guimaraes 2 - 1 Estrela da Amadora POR D1

07/02/2026 16:30

FC Arouca 3 - 2 Vitoria Guimaraes POR D1

30/01/2026 16:45

Vitoria Guimaraes 1 - 0 Moreirense POR D1

24/01/2026 16:30

Estoril 4 - 2 Vitoria Guimaraes POR D1

18/01/2026 16:30

Vitoria Guimaraes 0 - 1 FC Porto POR D1

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Alverca

21/02/2026 11:30

Alverca 1 - 1 Santa Clara POR D1

13/02/2026 16:45

CD Tondela 1 - 1 Alverca POR D1

08/02/2026 16:30

Benfica 2 - 1 Alverca POR D1

31/01/2026 16:30

Alverca 1 - 1 Estrela da Amadora POR D1

25/01/2026 16:30

Sporting Braga 5 - 0 Alverca POR D1

17/01/2026 14:00

Alverca 2 - 1 Moreirense POR D1

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Primera Liga

Played games

Vitoria Guimaraes

Alverca

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.12

Scored

Avg. per game

1.06

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.35

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 17 home matches

YesNo

13 (76%)4 (24%)

In last 17 home matches

NoYes

13 (76%)4 (24%)

Vitoria Guimaraes

Recent matches

Alverca

Under /Over

(76%)13 4(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)13 4(24%)

Under /Over

(41%)7 10(59%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(18%)3 14(82%)

Under /Over

(53%)9 8(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(41%)7 10(59%)

/Yes

(53%)9 8(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)9 8(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Vitoria Guimaraes

Alverca

Shots

Vitoria Guimaraes

Total shots

13.47 avg / game

Blocked

62 total

Avg. 3.65

Alverca

Total shots

10.71 avg / game

Blocked

41 total

Avg. 2.73

Vitoria Guimaraes Pass Alverca

Total passes

6589

Avg. 388 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

6342

Avg. 373 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Vitoria Guimaraes

Played games

Alverca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.29

4.41

Corners

4.65

19.82

337

Throw-ins

347

20.41

1.71

Offsides

1.18

3.00

GK saves

2.59

Vitoria Guimaraes

DISCIPLINARY

Alverca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.41

1.76

0.18

0.06

15.53

264

Fouls

221

13.00

9.59

163

Tackles

178

10.47

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Vitoria Guimaraes vs Alverca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Alverca on 28 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Primera Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Alverca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Vitoria Guimaraes's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Alverca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Primera Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Primera Liga standings and the Portugal Primera Liga form table to understand exactly where Vitoria Guimaraes and Alverca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Primera Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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