Vilaverdense vs Penafiel: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

Vilaverdense

L L W L W

17th place in Portugal Segunda Liga

2-1

11/05/2024 10:30

Penafiel

W D W L L

13th place in Portugal Segunda Liga

Portugal Segunda Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Vilaverdense vs Penafiel on 11 May 2024 (kick-off: 10:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Vilaverdense vs Penafiel preview before placing your bet.

Vilaverdense are currently 17th with 28 points after 34 matches.
Penafiel sit 13th with 39 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Penafiel to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors Penafiel, who have won 1 of the last 1 meetings. Vilaverdense have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:30

2024-05-11

Vilaverdense vs Penafiel - Prediction & Odds

Vilaverdense

Penafiel

2024-05-11 10:30

STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Santa Clara	73	34	21	10	3	48	19	29
02 Nacional da Madeira	71	34	21	8	5	66	35	31
03 AVS Futebol SAD	64	34	20	4	10	50	34	16
04 Maritimo	64	34	18	10	6	52	29	23
05 Pacos de Ferreira	52	34	14	10	10	42	35	7
06 CD Tondela	49	34	12	13	9	46	43	3
07 SCU Torreense	48	34	13	9	12	40	37	3
08 SL Benfica B	45	34	12	9	13	48	48	0
09 CD Mafra	44	34	11	11	12	40	42	-2
10 Porto B	44	34	12	8	14	51	51	0
11 Viseu	43	34	9	16	9	36	38	-2
12 Uniao Leiria	42	34	11	9	14	44	40	4
13 Penafiel	39	34	11	6	17	31	39	-8
14 Leixoes	37	34	7	16	11	29	38	-9
15 Oliveirense	34	34	8	10	16	37	54	-17
16 Feirense	31	34	8	7	19	31	49	-18
17 Vilaverdense	28	34	8	4	22	30	59	-29
18 CF Os Belenenses	26	34	6	8	20	28	59	-31

Head To Head

06/01/2024 10:00

Penafiel

2 - 1

Vilaverdense

POR D2

Vilaverdense

Draw

Penafiel

100%

Vilaverdense Last 6 matches

27/04/2024 10:30

Leixoes 1 - 3 Vilaverdense POR D2

21/04/2024 10:30

Vilaverdense 0 - 2 Maritimo POR D2

13/04/2024 09:00

Uniao Leiria 3 - 1 Vilaverdense POR D2

07/04/2024 06:00

Vilaverdense 2 - 1 CD Mafra POR D2

29/03/2024 11:30

CD Tondela 1 - 0 Vilaverdense POR D2

18/03/2024 16:15

Vilaverdense 1 - 1 CF Os Belenenses POR D2

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Penafiel

25/04/2024 13:00

Uniao Leiria 0 - 2 Penafiel POR D2

20/04/2024 06:00

Penafiel 1 - 1 Pacos de Ferreira POR D2

13/04/2024 10:30

CD Tondela 0 - 1 Penafiel POR D2

06/04/2024 06:00

Penafiel 3 - 0 CF Os Belenenses POR D2

30/03/2024 11:30

Porto B 3 - 1 Penafiel POR D2

16/03/2024 10:00

Penafiel 0 - 1 SL Benfica B POR D2

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Segunda Liga

Played games

Goals

Scored

211

Avg. per game

1.19

Conceded

233

Avg. per game

1.31

Scored

265

Avg. per game

1.10

Conceded

311

Avg. per game

1.29

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 178 matches

YesNo

117 (66%)61 (34%)

In last 178 matches

NoYes

169 (70%)73 (30%)

Vilaverdense

Recent matches

Penafiel

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Vilaverdense

Penafiel

Shots

Vilaverdense

Total shots

10.81 avg / game

Blocked

73 total

Avg. 3.17

Penafiel

Total shots

10.18 avg / game

Blocked

46 total

Avg. 2.00

Vilaverdense Pass Penafiel

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Vilaverdense

178

Played games

Penafiel

242

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

0.31

4.97

884

Corners

1129

4.67

0.00

Throw-ins

682

2.82

0.52

Offsides

137

0.57

0.63

112

GK saves

403

1.67

Vilaverdense

DISCIPLINARY

Penafiel

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.37

421

597

2.47

0.12

0.11

3.59

639

Fouls

2487

10.28

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Vilaverdense vs Penafiel Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Vilaverdense vs Penafiel on 11 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Segunda Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Vilaverdense vs Penafiel Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Vilaverdense's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Penafiel's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Segunda Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Segunda Liga standings and the Portugal Segunda Liga form table to understand exactly where Vilaverdense and Penafiel sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Segunda Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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