Venados FC vs Leones Negros: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 April

Venados FC

WWLDL

9th place in Mexico Primera Divison A

2-1

Venados FC
Win Probability 41%

11/04/2026 21:00

Leones Negros

WLLWW

6th place in Mexico Primera Divison A

Mexico Primera Divison A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Venados FC vs Leones Negros on 11 April 2026 (kick-off: 21:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Venados FC vs Leones Negros preview before placing your bet.

Venados FC will face Leones Negros in Mexico Primera Divison A on April 11, 2026 at 21:00.
Venados FC are currently 9th with 18 points after 14 matches.
Leones Negros sit 6th with 21 points from 14 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 2.18.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:00

2026-04-11

Venados FC vs Leones Negros - Prediction & Odds

Venados FC

Leones Negros

2026-04-11 21:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/04/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CF Atlante	30	14	9	3	2	35	10	25
02 Cancun	30	14	9	3	2	25	7	18
03 Tampico Madero	30	14	8	6	0	24	15	9
04 Irapuato	23	14	6	5	3	23	19	4
05 Mineros de Zacatecas	21	14	5	6	3	26	24	2
06 Leones Negros	21	14	6	3	5	19	17	2
07 Atletico Morelia	19	14	5	4	5	19	21	-2
08 Tepatitlan de Morelos	18	14	4	6	4	21	16	5
09 Venados FC	18	14	5	3	6	29	30	-1
10 Atletico La Paz	17	14	4	5	5	25	30	-5
11 Club Chivas Tapatio	15	14	4	3	7	20	18	2
12 Tlaxcala	14	14	3	5	6	14	27	-13
13 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	13	14	3	4	7	16	25	-9
14 Correcaminos UAT	10	14	2	4	8	16	35	-19
15 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	5	14	1	2	11	8	26	-18

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Tepatitlan de Morelos	26	14	7	5	2	21	10	11
02 Cancun	25	14	7	4	3	24	17	7
03 Atletico Morelia	23	14	7	2	5	18	12	6
04 Atletico La Paz	22	14	5	7	2	22	12	10
05 Tampico Madero	21	14	6	3	5	15	15	0
06 Mineros de Zacatecas	21	14	6	3	5	19	20	-1
07 Club Chivas Tapatio	20	14	6	2	6	28	24	4
08 CF Atlante	20	14	5	5	4	21	17	4
09 Irapuato	20	14	6	2	6	27	24	3
10 Tlaxcala	20	14	5	5	4	16	17	-1
11 Venados FC	16	14	4	4	6	25	25	0
12 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	16	14	4	4	6	20	29	-9
13 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	13	14	3	4	7	17	28	-11
14 Correcaminos UAT	12	14	3	3	8	14	27	-13
15 Leones Negros	11	14	2	5	7	15	25	-10

Head To Head

02/11/2025 14:00

Leones Negros

1 - 0

Venados FC

MEX Lig2

18/04/2025 21:00

Leones Negros

3 - 1

Venados FC

MEX Lig2

01/11/2024 21:00

Venados FC

3 - 0

Leones Negros

MEX Lig2

24/01/2024 23:05

Venados FC

1 - 1

Leones Negros

MEX Lig2

17/08/2023 19:00

Leones Negros

4 - 1

Venados FC

MEX Lig2

04/04/2023 21:05

Venados FC

1 - 1

Leones Negros

MEX Lig2

Leones Negros

67%

Draw

33%

Venados FC

Venados FC Last 6 matches

05/04/2026 19:00

Tampico Madero 1 - 1 Venados FC

MEX Lig2

27/03/2026 21:00

Venados FC 4 - 1 CF Atlante

MEX Lig2

20/03/2026 21:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 2 - 0 Venados FC

MEX Lig2

06/03/2026 21:00

Venados FC 0 - 1 Correcaminos UAT

MEX Lig2

27/02/2026 21:00

Mineros de Zacatecas 2 - 0 Venados FC

MEX Lig2

14/02/2026 21:00

Atletico Morelia 2 - 1 Venados FC

MEX Lig2

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Leones Negros

04/04/2026 21:00

Leones Negros 2 - 0 Atletico Morelia

MEX Lig2

27/03/2026 21:00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1 - 1 Leones Negros

MEX Lig2

22/03/2026 14:00

Leones Negros 1 - 3 Mineros de Zacatecas

MEX Lig2

14/03/2026 23:00

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa 1 - 1 Leones Negros

MEX Lig2

04/03/2026 23:00

Atletico La Paz 3 - 0 Leones Negros

MEX Lig2

01/03/2026 14:00

Leones Negros 1 - 1 CF Atlante

MEX Lig2

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Venados FC

Leones Negros

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.79

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.82

Scored

Avg. per game

0.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.77

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 28 matches

YesNo

14 (50%)14 (50%)

In last 28 matches

NoYes

16 (53%)14 (47%)

Venados FC

Recent matches

Leones Negros

Under /Over

(79%)22 6(21%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)22 8(27%)

Under /Over

(46%)13 15(54%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(30%)9 21(70%)

Under /Over

(61%)17 11(39%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)12 18(60%)

/Yes

(64%)18 10(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(57%)17 13(43%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Venados FC

Leones Negros

Shots

Venados FC

Total shots

10.54 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Leones Negros

Total shots

10.43 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Venados FC Pass Leones Negros

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Venados FC

Played games

Leones Negros

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.07

Clean sheets

0.23

5.25

147

Corners

129

4.30

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

0.36

GK saves

0.20

Venados FC

DISCIPLINARY

Leones Negros

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.36

2.33

0.21

0.20

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa

NEXT MATCHES

CD Alacranes de Durango

Leones Negros

MEX

How We Build the Venados FC vs Leones Negros Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Venados FC vs Leones Negros on 11 April 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Venados FC vs Leones Negros Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Venados FC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Leones Negros's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Venados FC and Leones Negros sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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