Venados FC vs Atletico Morelia Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 05

Venados FC

W W L D L

9th place in Apertura

2-2

05/09/2025 01:00

Atletico Morelia

L D W L W

7th place in Apertura

Mexico Primera Divison A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Venados FC vs Atletico Morelia on September 05, 2025 (kick-off: 01:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Venados FC vs Atletico Morelia preview before placing for you.

Venados FC are currently 9th with 18 points after 14 matches.
Atletico Morelia sit 7th with 19 points from 14 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Venados FC to win with probability 42%.
Head-to-head history favors Venados FC, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Atletico Morelia have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

01:00

2025-09-05

Venados FC vs Atletico Morelia - Prediction & Odds

Venados FC

Atletico Morelia

2025-09-05 01:00

STANDINGS UP TO 05/09/2025

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CF Atlante	30	14	9	3	2	35	10	25
02 Cancun	30	14	9	3	2	25	7	18
03 Tampico Madero	30	14	8	6	0	24	15	9
04 Irapuato	23	14	6	5	3	23	19	4
05 Mineros de Zacatecas	21	14	5	6	3	26	24	2
06 Leones Negros	21	14	6	3	5	19	17	2
07 Atletico Morelia	19	14	5	4	5	19	21	-2
08 Tepatitlan de Morelos	18	14	4	6	4	21	16	5
09 Venados FC	18	14	5	3	6	29	30	-1
10 Atletico La Paz	17	14	4	5	5	25	30	-5
11 Club Chivas Tapatio	15	14	4	3	7	20	18	2
12 Tlaxcala	14	14	3	5	6	14	27	-13
13 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	13	14	3	4	7	16	25	-9
14 Correcaminos UAT	10	14	2	4	8	16	35	-19
15 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	5	14	1	2	11	8	26	-18

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Tepatitlan de Morelos	26	14	7	5	2	21	10	11
02 Cancun	25	14	7	4	3	24	17	7
03 Atletico Morelia	23	14	7	2	5	18	12	6
04 Atletico La Paz	22	14	5	7	2	22	12	10
05 Tampico Madero	21	14	6	3	5	15	15	0
06 Mineros de Zacatecas	21	14	6	3	5	19	20	-1
07 Club Chivas Tapatio	20	14	6	2	6	28	24	4
08 CF Atlante	20	14	5	5	4	21	17	4
09 Irapuato	20	14	6	2	6	27	24	3
10 Tlaxcala	20	14	5	5	4	16	17	-1
11 Venados FC	16	14	4	4	6	25	25	0
12 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	16	14	4	4	6	20	29	-9
13 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	13	14	3	4	7	17	28	-11
14 Correcaminos UAT	12	14	3	3	8	14	27	-13
15 Leones Negros	11	14	2	5	7	15	25	-10

Head To Head

03/03/2025 01:00

Monarcas Morelia

1 - 0

Venados FC

MEX D2

14/09/2024 01:00

Venados FC

2 - 1

Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

29/03/2024 01:05

Monarcas Morelia

3 - 4

Venados FC

MEX D2

10/11/2023 01:05

Monarcas Morelia

1 - 1

Venados FC

MEX D2

20/10/2023 03:05

Venados FC

2 - 1

Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

27/01/2023 01:00

Monarcas Morelia

1 - 0

Venados FC

MEX D2

Venados FC

50%

Draw

17%

Atletico Morelia

33%

Venados FC Last 6 matches

30/08/2025 23:00

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4 - 5 Venados FC MEX D2

23/08/2025 01:00

Venados FC 3 - 3 Atletico La Paz MEX D2

17/08/2025 03:00

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa 1 - 0 Venados FC MEX D2

09/08/2025 01:00

Venados FC 1 - 3 Club Chivas Tapatio MEX D2

02/08/2025 00:00

Irapuato 4 - 1 Venados FC MEX D2

28/04/2025 01:00

Mineros de Zacatecas 2 - 0 Venados FC MEX D2

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Atletico Morelia

31/08/2025 01:00

Monarcas Morelia 3 - 0 Mineros de Zacatecas MEX D2

24/08/2025 01:00

Cancun 5 - 0 Monarcas Morelia MEX D2

09/08/2025 22:00

Monarcas Morelia 3 - 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEX D2

02/08/2025 01:00

Correcaminos UAT 1 - 1 Monarcas Morelia MEX D2

11/05/2025 18:00

Leones Negros 2 - 0 Monarcas Morelia MEX D2

04/05/2025 01:30

Monarcas Morelia 2 - 0 Leones Negros MEX D2

Win

Draw

100%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Venados FC

Atletico Morelia

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.14

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.14

Scored

Avg. per game

0.65

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.59

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 28 matches

YesNo

17 (61%)11 (39%)

In last 28 matches

NoYes

16 (47%)18 (53%)

Venados FC

Recent matches

Atletico Morelia

Under /Over

(79%)22 6(21%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(74%)25 9(26%)

Under /Over

(46%)13 15(54%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(35%)12 22(65%)

Under /Over

(61%)17 11(39%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)13 21(62%)

/Yes

(64%)18 10(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(41%)14 20(59%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Venados FC

Atletico Morelia

Shots

Venados FC

Total shots

10.54 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Atletico Morelia

Total shots

11.65 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Venados FC Pass Atletico Morelia

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Venados FC

Played games

Atletico Morelia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.07

Clean sheets

0.38

5.25

147

Corners

162

4.76

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

0.36

GK saves

0.15

Venados FC

DISCIPLINARY

Atletico Morelia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.36

2.65

0.21

0.24

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa

NEXT MATCHES

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa

How We Build the Venados FC vs Atletico Morelia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Venados FC vs Atletico Morelia on 05 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Venados FC vs Atletico Morelia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Venados FC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atletico Morelia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Venados FC and Atletico Morelia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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