Vasco da Gama vs Bahia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 24 September

Vasco da Gama

L L L W L

14th place in Brazil Serie A

3-1

24/09/2025 18:30

Bahia

D L W D W

7th place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Vasco da Gama vs Bahia on 24 September 2025 (kick-off: 18:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Vasco da Gama vs Bahia preview before placing your bet.

Vasco da Gama will face Bahia in Brazil Serie A on September 24, 2025 at 18:30.
Vasco da Gama are currently 14th with 45 points after 38 matches.
Bahia sit 7th with 60 points from 38 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.20.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:30

2025-09-24

Vasco da Gama vs Bahia - Prediction & Odds

Vasco da Gama

Bahia

2025-09-24 18:30

STANDINGS UP TO 24/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Flamengo	79	38	23	10	5	78	27	51
02 Palmeiras	76	38	23	7	8	66	33	33
03 Cruzeiro	70	38	19	13	6	55	31	24
04 Mirassol	67	38	18	13	7	63	39	24
05 Fluminense RJ	64	38	19	7	12	50	39	11
06 Botafogo RJ	63	38	17	12	9	58	38	20
07 Bahia	60	38	17	9	12	50	46	4
08 Sao Paulo	51	38	14	9	15	43	47	-4
09 Gremio (RS)	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
10 Bragantino	48	38	14	6	18	45	57	-12
11 Atletico Mineiro	48	38	12	12	14	43	44	-1
12 Santos	47	38	12	11	15	45	50	-5
13 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	47	38	12	11	15	42	47	-5
14 Vasco da Gama	45	38	13	6	19	55	60	-5
15 Vitoria BA	45	38	11	12	15	35	52	-17
16 Internacional RS	44	38	11	11	16	44	57	-13
17 Ceara	43	38	11	10	17	34	40	-6
18 Fortaleza	43	38	11	10	17	43	58	-15
19 Juventude	35	38	9	8	21	35	69	-34
20 Sport Club do Recife	17	38	2	11	25	28	75	-47

Head To Head

28/10/2024 20:00

Vasco da Gama

3 - 2

Bahia

BRA D1

26/06/2024 20:30

Bahia

2 - 1

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

03/09/2023 17:30

Bahia

1 - 1

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

01/05/2023 19:00

Vasco da Gama

0 - 1

Bahia

BRA D1

28/08/2022 15:00

Bahia

2 - 1

Vasco da Gama

BRA D2

15/05/2022 15:00

Vasco da Gama

1 - 0

Bahia

BRA D2

Vasco da Gama

67%

Draw

17%

Bahia

17%

Vasco da Gama Last 6 matches

21/09/2025 16:30

Flamengo 1 - 1 Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

14/09/2025 19:30

Vasco da Gama 2 - 2 Ceara

BRA D1

11/09/2025 20:30

Botafogo RJ 1 - 1 Vasco da Gama

Copa do Brasil

31/08/2025 19:30

Sport Club do Recife 2 - 3 Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

27/08/2025 20:30

Vasco da Gama 1 - 1 Botafogo RJ

Copa do Brasil

24/08/2025 15:00

Vasco da Gama 2 - 3 Corinthians Paulista (SP)

BRA D1

Win

17%

Draw

67%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Bahia

20/09/2025 17:30

Ceara 1 - 1 Bahia

BRA D1

15/09/2025 19:00

Bahia 1 - 2 Cruzeiro

BRA D1

10/09/2025 18:00

Fluminense RJ 2 - 0 Bahia

Copa do Brasil

06/09/2025 16:30

Bahia 5 - 0 Confianca SE

BRA CNF

03/09/2025 20:30

Confianca SE 1 - 4 Bahia

BRA CNF

31/08/2025 17:30

Mirassol 5 - 1 Bahia

BRA D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Vasco da Gama

Bahia

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.87

Scored

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 38 matches

YesNo

18 (47%)20 (53%)

In last 38 matches

NoYes

22 (58%)16 (42%)

Vasco da Gama

Recent matches

Bahia

Under /Over

(89%)34 4(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(74%)28 10(26%)

Under /Over

(42%)16 22(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)11 27(71%)

Under /Over

(55%)21 17(45%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(45%)17 21(55%)

/Yes

(47%)18 20(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)19 19(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Vasco da Gama

Bahia

Shots

Vasco da Gama

Total shots

11.16 avg / game

Blocked

90 total

Avg. 2.73

Bahia

Total shots

12.32 avg / game

Blocked

121 total

Avg. 3.46

Vasco da Gama Pass Bahia

Total passes

16596

Avg. 437 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

15893

Avg. 418 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Vasco da Gama

Played games

Bahia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.18

Clean sheets

0.34

3.76

143

Corners

156

4.11

15.50

589

Throw-ins

528

13.89

0.66

Offsides

1.08

2.71

103

GK saves

2.53

Vasco da Gama

DISCIPLINARY

Bahia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.84

1.84

0.18

0.11

11.92

453

Fouls

406

10.68

10.63

404

Tackles

441

11.61

NEXT MATCHES

Dep.Independiente Medellin

NEXT MATCHES

Corinthians Paulista (SP)

How We Build the Vasco da Gama vs Bahia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Vasco da Gama vs Bahia on 24 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Vasco da Gama vs Bahia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Vasco da Gama's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Bahia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Vasco da Gama and Bahia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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