Vasco da Gama vs Bahia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 February

Betiball's prediction for Vasco da Gama vs Bahia on 11 February 2026 (kick-off: 20:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Vasco da Gama vs Bahia preview before placing your bet.

Vasco da Gama vs Bahia: Starting Lineups Time : 11/02/2026 20:30

Vasco da Gama
0 - 1
Finished
Bahia
90+8' event Paulo Henrique Alves
90+5' event Cauan Barros
87' event Jose Luis Rodriguez Bebanz
83' event Johan Rojas Echavarria / Philippe Coutinho Correia
77' event Gabriel Souza / Thiago Henrique Mendes Ribeiro
74' event Thiago Henrique Mendes Ribeiro
64' event Marino Hinestroza Angulo / Nuno Moreira
64' event Claudio Spinelli / Brenner Souza da Silva
63' event Paulo Henrique Alves / Lucas Piton
45+4' event Carlos Andres Gomez
event 90+7' Ronaldo de Oliveira Strada
event 90+5' Caio Alexandre Souza e Silva
event 83' Caio Alexandre Souza e Silva / Nicolas Acevedo
event 72' Erick Luis Conrado Carvalho / Jean Lucas De Souza Oliveira
event 58' Everaldo Stum / Willian Jose
event 58' Erick Da Costa Farias / Ademir Santos
event 58' Gabriel Xavier / Victor Hugo Soares dos Santos
event 52' Nicolas Acevedo
event 34' Cristian Olivera
event 22' Luciano Batista da Silva Junior
event 19' Victor Hugo Soares dos Santos
90+8' event Paulo Henrique Alves
event 90+7' Ronaldo de Oliveira Strada
90+5' event Cauan Barros
event 90+5' Caio Alexandre Souza e Silva
87' event Jose Luis Rodriguez Bebanz
event 83' Caio Alexandre Souza e Silva / Nicolas Acevedo
83' event Johan Rojas Echavarria / Philippe Coutinho Correia
event 72' Erick Luis Conrado Carvalho / Jean Lucas De Souza Oliveira
77' event Gabriel Souza / Thiago Henrique Mendes Ribeiro
event 58' Everaldo Stum / Willian Jose
74' event Thiago Henrique Mendes Ribeiro
event 58' Erick Da Costa Farias / Ademir Santos
64' event Marino Hinestroza Angulo / Nuno Moreira
event 58' Gabriel Xavier / Victor Hugo Soares dos Santos
64' event Claudio Spinelli / Brenner Souza da Silva
event 52' Nicolas Acevedo
63' event Paulo Henrique Alves / Lucas Piton
event 34' Cristian Olivera
45+4' event Carlos Andres Gomez
event 22' Luciano Batista da Silva Junior
event 19' Victor Hugo Soares dos Santos
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
Substitutions
#96 Paulo Henrique Alves
#18 Marino Hinestroza Angulo
#77 Claudio Spinelli
#19 Gabriel Souza
#29 Johan Rojas Echavarria
#13 Daniel Fuzato
#4 Alan Saldivia
#3 Danilo das Neves Pinheiro Tche Tche
#7 David Correa da Fonseca
#28 Adson Ferreira Soares
#98 Joao Pedro
#60 Joao Vitor
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama Bahia Bahia
26Shots8
4Shots on Goal3
15Fouls14
8Corner Kick4
14Free kick15
0Offside3
5Yellow card5
37Aerial24
2Save4
6Successful Tackles14
7Interceptions16
11Long pass14
0Assist1
13Successful center1
15Shots off goal3
19Head Success12
7Blocked2
6Tackle14
10Dribbles7
23Throw-in13
466Passes302
110Attacks80
80Dangerous attacks28
5Corner Kicks(HT)4
14ShotsInsideBox3
12ShotsOutsideBox5
50DuelsWon54
1.49ExpectedGoals0.37
1.28xGOpenPlay0.27
1.49xGNonPenalty0.37
1.83xGOT0.44
44Touches In Opposition Box7
44AccurateCrosses10
33GroundDuelsWon41
17AerialDuelsWon13
18Clearances49
Bahia Bahia
Substitutions
#3 Gabriel Xavier
#16 Erick Da Costa Farias
#27 Everaldo Stum
#14 Erick Luis Conrado Carvalho
#19 Caio Alexandre Souza e Silva
#34 Joao Paulo Silva Martins
#2 Gilberto Moraes Junior
#43 Luiz Gustavo Luiz Gustavo
#25 Iago Amaral Borduchi
#57 Kauê Furquim
#23 Mateo Sanabria
#11 Rodrigo Nestor
Commentary
90+8' Paulo Henrique Alves - Vasco da Gama receive a yellow card
90+7' Ronaldo de Oliveira Strada - Bahia receive a yellow card
90+5' Cauan Barros - Vasco da Gama receive a yellow card
90+5' Caio Alexandre Souza e Silva - Bahia receive a yellow card
87' Jose Luis Rodriguez Bebanz - Vasco da Gama receive a yellow card
83' Vasco da Gama — substitution: Johan Rojas Echavarria / Philippe Coutinho Correia
83' Bahia — substitution: Caio Alexandre Souza e Silva / Nicolas Acevedo
77' Vasco da Gama — substitution: Gabriel Souza / Thiago Henrique Mendes Ribeiro
74' Thiago Henrique Mendes Ribeiro - Vasco da Gama receive a yellow card
72' Bahia — substitution: Erick Luis Conrado Carvalho / Jean Lucas De Souza Oliveira
64' Vasco da Gama — substitution: Marino Hinestroza Angulo / Nuno Moreira
64' Vasco da Gama — substitution: Claudio Spinelli / Brenner Souza da Silva
63' Vasco da Gama — substitution: Paulo Henrique Alves / Lucas Piton
58' Bahia — substitution: Everaldo Stum / Willian Jose
58' Bahia — substitution: Erick Da Costa Farias / Ademir Santos
58' Bahia — substitution: Gabriel Xavier / Victor Hugo Soares dos Santos
52' Nicolas Acevedo - Bahia receive a yellow card
45+4' Carlos Andres Gomez - Vasco da Gama receive a yellow card
34' Cristian Olivera - Bahia receive a yellow card
22' Goal! Luciano Batista da Silva Junior - Bahia
19' Victor Hugo Soares dos Santos - Bahia receive a yellow card

How We Build the Vasco da Gama vs Bahia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Vasco da Gama vs Bahia on 11 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Vasco da Gama vs Bahia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Vasco da Gama's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Bahia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Vasco da Gama and Bahia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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