Vasco da Gama vs Bahia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 February

Vasco da Gama

W L L L L

18th place in Brazil Serie A

0-1

11/02/2026 20:30

Bahia

L W W D D

5th place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Vasco da Gama vs Bahia on 11 February 2026 (kick-off: 20:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Vasco da Gama vs Bahia preview before placing your bet.

Vasco da Gama are currently 18th with 21 points after 20 matches.
Bahia sit 5th with 32 points from 21 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Vasco da Gama to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors Bahia, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Vasco da Gama have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

20:30

2026-02-11

Vasco da Gama vs Bahia - Prediction & Odds

Vasco da Gama

Bahia

2026-02-11 20:30

STANDINGS UP TO 11/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Palmeiras	47	21	14	5	2	38	16	22
02 Flamengo	39	20	11	6	3	37	18	19
03 Atletico Paranaense	37	21	11	4	6	28	19	9
04 Fluminense RJ	34	21	9	7	5	30	25	5
05 Bahia	32	21	8	8	5	29	25	4
06 Bragantino	31	20	9	4	7	26	20	6
07 Cruzeiro	30	21	8	6	7	27	30	-3
08 Botafogo RJ	29	20	8	5	7	34	32	2
09 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	29	21	7	8	6	22	20	2
10 Atletico Mineiro	28	20	8	4	8	25	25	0
11 Coritiba PR	27	21	7	6	8	25	28	-3
12 Sao Paulo	26	20	7	5	8	25	23	2
13 Vitoria BA	26	21	7	5	9	22	31	-9
14 Mirassol	23	20	6	5	9	23	27	-4
15 Santos	22	20	5	7	8	29	33	-4
16 Internacional RS	22	21	5	7	9	23	27	-4
17 Gremio (RS)	22	20	5	7	8	22	26	-4
18 Vasco da Gama	21	20	5	6	9	23	31	-8
19 Remo Belem (PA)	21	21	5	6	10	24	34	-10
20 Chapecoense SC	10	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22

Head To Head

23/11/2025 15:00

Bahia

1 - 0

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

24/09/2025 18:30

Vasco da Gama

3 - 1

Bahia

BRA D1

28/10/2024 20:00

Vasco da Gama

3 - 2

Bahia

BRA D1

26/06/2024 20:30

Bahia

2 - 1

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

03/09/2023 17:30

Bahia

1 - 1

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

01/05/2023 19:00

Vasco da Gama

0 - 1

Bahia

BRA D1

Vasco da Gama

33%

Draw

17%

Bahia

50%

Vasco da Gama Last 6 matches

08/02/2026 17:30

Vasco da Gama 2 - 0 Botafogo RJ BRA RJ

05/02/2026 19:00

Vasco da Gama 1 - 1 Chapecoense SC BRA D1

02/02/2026 19:00

Madureira 0 - 0 Vasco da Gama BRA RJ

29/01/2026 19:00

Mirassol 2 - 1 Vasco da Gama BRA D1

25/01/2026 19:30

Boavista S.C. 0 - 3 Vasco da Gama BRA RJ

21/01/2026 20:30

Flamengo 1 - 0 Vasco da Gama BRA RJ

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Bahia

08/02/2026 15:00

Juazeirense 1 - 1 Bahia BRA CBD

05/02/2026 18:00

Bahia 1 - 1 Fluminense RJ BRA D1

01/02/2026 17:30

Bahia 3 - 1 Porto BA BRA CBD

28/01/2026 19:00

Corinthians Paulista (SP) 1 - 2 Bahia BRA D1

25/01/2026 15:00

Vitoria BA 0 - 1 Bahia BRA CBD

20/01/2026 18:15

Bahia 5 - 1 Barcelona BA BRA CBD

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

215

Avg. per game

0.72

Conceded

195

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored

227

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

180

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

142 (47%)158 (53%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

154 (51%)146 (49%)

Vasco da Gama

Recent matches

Bahia

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Vasco da Gama

Bahia

Shots

Vasco da Gama

Total shots

11.02 avg / game

Blocked

541 total

Avg. 2.94

Bahia

Total shots

12.63 avg / game

Blocked

541 total

Avg. 3.30

Vasco da Gama Pass Bahia

Total passes

89796

Avg. 387 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

82312

Avg. 416 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Vasco da Gama

300

Played games

Bahia

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.30

Clean sheets

102

0.34

4.51

1353

Corners

1537

5.12

10.16

3047

Throw-ins

2481

8.27

0.95

284

Offsides

280

0.93

2.33

699

GK saves

545

1.82

Vasco da Gama

DISCIPLINARY

Bahia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.12

637

563

1.88

0.12

0.09

9.64

2893

Fouls

2444

8.15

10.21

3064

Tackles

2632

8.77

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Vasco da Gama vs Bahia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Vasco da Gama vs Bahia on 11 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Vasco da Gama vs Bahia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Vasco da Gama's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Bahia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Vasco da Gama and Bahia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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