Varzea Grande vs Nova Mutum EC: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 February

Prediction Match Centre

Varzea Grande

DDLLL

10th place in Brazil Mato-grossense Division 1

1-3

Nova Mutum EC
Win Probability 43%

05/02/2026 16:00

Nova Mutum EC

DLWLW

6th place in Brazil Mato-grossense Division 1

Brazil Mato-grossense Division 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Varzea Grande vs Nova Mutum EC on 05 February 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Varzea Grande vs Nova Mutum EC preview before placing your bet.

Varzea Grande will face Nova Mutum EC in Brazil Mato-grossense Division 1 on February 5, 2026 at 16:00.
Varzea Grande are currently 10th with 5 points after 9 matches.
Nova Mutum EC sit 6th with 12 points from 9 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.10.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2026-02-05

Varzea Grande vs Nova Mutum EC - Prediction & Odds

Varzea Grande

Nova Mutum EC

2026-02-05 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 05/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Luverdense	17	9	5	2	2	7	3	4
02 Mixto EC	15	9	4	3	2	13	4	9
03 OperArio MT	14	9	4	2	3	9	9	0
04 Sport Sinop	13	9	3	4	2	6	4	2
05 Cuiaba	12	9	3	3	3	8	8	0
06 Nova Mutum EC	12	9	3	3	3	13	15	-2
07 Chapada	11	9	3	2	4	12	13	-1
08 Uniao Rondonopolis MT	10	9	2	4	3	7	7	0
09 EC Primavera MT	10	9	1	7	1	6	9	-3
10 Varzea Grande	5	9	1	2	6	5	14	-9

Varzea Grande Last 6 matches

01/02/2026 16:00

Varzea Grande 1 - 2 Sport Sinop

BRA MT

28/01/2026 19:00

EC Primavera MT 2 - 1 Varzea Grande

BRA MT

25/01/2026 17:00

Mixto EC 0 - 0 Varzea Grande

BRA MT

20/01/2026 16:00

Varzea Grande 0 - 0 Uniao Rondonopolis MT

BRA MT

17/01/2026 18:00

Chapada 3 - 1 Varzea Grande

BRA MT

14/01/2026 16:00

Varzea Grande 0 - 2 Luverdense

BRA MT

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Nova Mutum EC

31/01/2026 15:30

Cuiaba 2 - 1 Nova Mutum EC

BRA MT

28/01/2026 19:00

Nova Mutum EC 3 - 2 Chapada

BRA MT

25/01/2026 17:00

OperArio MT 3 - 1 Nova Mutum EC

BRA MT

22/01/2026 19:00

EC Primavera MT 2 - 2 Nova Mutum EC

BRA MT

18/01/2026 15:45

Nova Mutum EC 0 - 0 Luverdense

BRA MT

14/01/2026 18:30

Uniao Rondonopolis MT 3 - 0 Nova Mutum EC

BRA MT

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Mato-grossense...

Played games

Varzea Grande

Nova Mutum EC

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.50

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.75

Scored

Avg. per game

1.50

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.00

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

2 (50%)2 (50%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

3 (75%)1 (25%)

Varzea Grande

Recent matches

Nova Mutum EC

Under /Over

(75%)3 1(25%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(75%)3 1(25%)

Under /Over

(0%)0 4(100%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(50%)2 2(50%)

Under /Over

(75%)3 1(25%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(50%)2 2(50%)

/Yes

(50%)2 2(50%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(75%)3 1(25%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Varzea Grande

Nova Mutum EC

Shots

Varzea Grande

Total shots

13.50 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Nova Mutum EC

Total shots

8.00 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Varzea Grande Pass Nova Mutum EC

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Varzea Grande

Played games

Nova Mutum EC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.25

6.00

Corners

1.00

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

2.25

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Varzea Grande

DISCIPLINARY

Nova Mutum EC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.75

0.25

0.00

0.00

6.50

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Varzea Grande vs Nova Mutum EC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Varzea Grande vs Nova Mutum EC on 05 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Mato-grossense Division 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Varzea Grande vs Nova Mutum EC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Varzea Grande's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Nova Mutum EC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Mato-grossense Division 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Mato-grossense Division 1 standings and the Brazil Mato-grossense Division 1 form table to understand exactly where Varzea Grande and Nova Mutum EC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Mato-grossense Division 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Brazil Mato-grossense Division 1 Predictions

Find every upcoming Brazil Mato-grossense Division 1 fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less