Valenciennes vs Chateauroux: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 15 May

Prediction

Valenciennes

L W L L D

10th place in France Ligue 3

? - ?

Valenciennes
Win Probability 46%

15/05/2026 17:30

Chateauroux

D L L L W

16th place in France Ligue 3

France Ligue 3

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Valenciennes vs Chateauroux on 15 May 2026 (kick-off: 17:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Valenciennes vs Chateauroux preview before placing your bet.

Valenciennes are currently 10th with 37 points after 31 matches.
Chateauroux sit 16th with 30 points from 31 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Valenciennes to win with probability 46%.
Head-to-head history favors Valenciennes, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Chateauroux have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:30

2026-05-15

Valenciennes vs Chateauroux - Prediction & Odds

Valenciennes

Chateauroux

2026-05-15 17:30

STANDINGS UP TO 15/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Dijon	62	31	17	11	3	49	23	26
02 Sochaux	57	31	16	9	6	47	24	23
03 Fleury Merogis U.S.	54	31	15	9	7	46	28	18
04 FC Rouen	52	31	13	13	5	41	28	13
05 Versailles 78	52	31	15	7	9	44	32	12
06 Orleans US 45	51	31	14	9	8	40	39	1
07 Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne	46	31	12	10	9	43	36	7
08 Caen	40	31	8	16	7	38	31	7
09 Concarneau	37	31	8	13	10	30	35	-5
10 Valenciennes	37	31	10	7	14	33	40	-7
11 Villefranche	36	31	10	6	15	32	43	-11
12 Aubagne	34	31	8	10	13	35	45	-10
13 Paris 13 Atletico	32	31	7	11	13	26	40	-14
14 Bourg Peronnas	31	32	8	7	17	25	44	-19
15 Quevilly	30	31	7	9	15	33	45	-12
16 Chateauroux	30	31	6	12	13	33	47	-14
17 Stade Briochin	26	31	5	11	15	33	48	-15
18 Ajaccio	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Head To Head

08/08/2025 17:30

Chateauroux

0 - 0

Valenciennes

FRA D3

07/02/2025 18:30

Chateauroux

1 - 2

Valenciennes

FRA D3

06/09/2024 16:30

Valenciennes

3 - 1

Chateauroux

FRA D3

23/01/2021 18:00

Chateauroux

3 - 3

Valenciennes

FRA D2

12/09/2020 17:00

Valenciennes

1 - 0

Chateauroux

FRA D2

08/11/2019 19:00

Valenciennes

0 - 1

Chateauroux

FRA D2

Valenciennes

50%

Draw

33%

Chateauroux

17%

Valenciennes Last 6 matches

09/05/2026 17:30

Bourg Peronnas 1 - 0 Valenciennes FRA D3

02/05/2026 15:00

Sochaux 1 - 1 Valenciennes FRA D3

24/04/2026 17:40

Valenciennes 0 - 1 Dijon FRA D3

17/04/2026 17:30

Fleury Merogis U.S. 2 - 0 Valenciennes FRA D3

10/04/2026 17:30

Valenciennes 1 - 0 Versailles 78 FRA D3

03/04/2026 17:30

Quevilly 3 - 2 Valenciennes FRA D3

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Chateauroux

09/05/2026 17:30

Chateauroux 2 - 1 Sochaux FRA D3

30/04/2026 17:30

Dijon 1 - 2 Chateauroux FRA D3

24/04/2026 17:30

Chateauroux 0 - 2 Fleury Merogis U.S. FRA D3

17/04/2026 17:30

Versailles 78 4 - 0 Chateauroux FRA D3

10/04/2026 17:30

Chateauroux 3 - 5 Quevilly FRA D3

03/04/2026 17:30

Aubagne 1 - 1 Chateauroux FRA D3

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues France Ligue 3

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Valenciennes

Chateauroux

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored

Avg. per game

0.52

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.84

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 31 matches

YesNo

16 (52%)15 (48%)

In last 31 matches

NoYes

10 (32%)21 (68%)

Valenciennes

Recent matches

Chateauroux

Under /Over

(71%)22 9(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(74%)23 8(26%)

Under /Over

(32%)10 21(68%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(32%)10 21(68%)

Under /Over

(32%)10 21(68%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)13 18(58%)

/Yes

(55%)17 14(45%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(55%)17 14(45%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Valenciennes

Chateauroux

Shots

Valenciennes

Total shots

10.35 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Chateauroux

Total shots

9.06 avg / game

Blocked

2 total

Avg. 2.00

Valenciennes Pass Chateauroux

Total passes

967

Avg. 138 / game

Accurate

92%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

718

Avg. 103 / game

Accurate

91%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Valenciennes

Played games

Chateauroux

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.23

Clean sheets

0.16

5.35

166

Corners

133

4.29

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.13

Offsides

0.29

0.06

GK saves

0.19

Valenciennes

DISCIPLINARY

Chateauroux

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.81

2.42

0.16

0.29

0.65

Fouls

0.81

0.71

Tackles

1.23

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Valenciennes vs Chateauroux Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Valenciennes vs Chateauroux on 15 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 3 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Valenciennes vs Chateauroux Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Valenciennes's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Chateauroux's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 3 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 3 standings and the France Ligue 3 form table to understand exactly where Valenciennes and Chateauroux sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 3 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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