Valenciennes vs Caen: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 February

Valenciennes
LWLLD
10th place in France Ligue 3
1
2-1
FT
28/02/2026 10:00
Caen
DDWWW
8th place in France Ligue 3
France Ligue 3
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Valenciennes vs Caen on 28 February 2026 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Valenciennes vs Caen preview before placing your bet.

  • Valenciennes will face Caen in France Ligue 3 on February 28, 2026 at 10:00.
  • Valenciennes are currently 10th with 37 points after 31 matches.
  • Caen sit 8th with 40 points from 31 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.12.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
10:00

2026-02-28

Valenciennes vs Caen - Prediction & Odds

Valenciennes
Valenciennes
Caen
Caen
2026-02-28 10:00
42
27
31
1
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.50
2.12
FT
2-1 2-0
-
weather
11°C
STANDINGS UP TO 28/02/2026
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Dijon Dijon
62 31 17 11 3 49 23 26
02 Sochaux Sochaux
57 31 16 9 6 47 24 23
03 Fleury Merogis U.S. Fleury Merogis U.S.
54 31 15 9 7 46 28 18
04 FC Rouen FC Rouen
52 31 13 13 5 41 28 13
05 Versailles 78 Versailles 78
52 31 15 7 9 44 32 12
06 Orleans US 45 Orleans US 45
51 31 14 9 8 40 39 1
07 Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne
46 31 12 10 9 43 36 7
08 Caen Caen
40 31 8 16 7 38 31 7
09 Concarneau Concarneau
37 31 8 13 10 30 35 -5
10 Valenciennes Valenciennes
37 31 10 7 14 33 40 -7
11 Villefranche Villefranche
36 31 10 6 15 32 43 -11
12 Aubagne Aubagne
34 31 8 10 13 35 45 -10
13 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico
32 31 7 11 13 26 40 -14
14 Bourg Peronnas Bourg Peronnas
31 32 8 7 17 25 44 -19
15 Quevilly Quevilly
30 31 7 9 15 33 45 -12
16 Chateauroux Chateauroux
30 31 6 12 13 33 47 -14
17 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin
26 31 5 11 15 33 48 -15
18 Ajaccio Ajaccio
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Head To Head
19/09/2025 13:30
Caen Caen
0 - 0
Valenciennes Valenciennes
FRA D3
17/05/2024 14:45
Caen Caen
3 - 0
Valenciennes Valenciennes
FRA D2
28/10/2023 13:00
Valenciennes Valenciennes
2 - 2
Caen Caen
FRA D2
18/03/2023 14:00
Caen Caen
2 - 1
Valenciennes Valenciennes
FRA D2
05/11/2022 14:00
Valenciennes Valenciennes
1 - 1
Caen Caen
FRA D2
15/03/2022 14:00
Valenciennes Valenciennes
1 - 1
Caen Caen
FRA D2
Caen
2
33%
Draw
4
67%
Valenciennes
0
0%
Valenciennes Valenciennes Last 6 matches
13/02/2026 14:30
Valenciennes 1 - 2 Stade Briochin
FRA D3
06/02/2026 14:30
FC Rouen 1 - 2 Valenciennes
FRA D3
31/01/2026 12:30
Valenciennes 0 - 1 Orleans US 45
FRA D3
23/01/2026 14:30
Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne 3 - 0 Valenciennes
FRA D3
16/01/2026 14:30
Valenciennes 3 - 1 Bourg Peronnas
FRA D3
09/01/2026 06:30
Valenciennes 3 - 3 Francs Borains
INT CF
Win
33%
Draw
17%
Lost
50%
Last 6 matches Caen Caen
13/02/2026 14:30
Dijon 3 - 3 Caen
FRA D3
06/02/2026 14:30
Caen 1 - 0 Fleury Merogis U.S.
FRA D3
30/01/2026 14:30
Versailles 78 2 - 1 Caen
FRA D3
23/01/2026 14:30
Caen 0 - 0 Quevilly
FRA D3
16/01/2026 14:30
Concarneau 3 - 3 Caen
FRA D3
05/12/2025 14:30
Villefranche 1 - 1 Caen
FRA D3
Win
17%
Draw
67%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues France Ligue 3

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Valenciennes
Valenciennes
31
 Caen
Caen
31
Goals
Scored
23
Avg. per game
0.74
Conceded
19
Avg. per game
0.61
Scored
21
Avg. per game
0.68
Conceded
19
Avg. per game
0.61
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 31 matches
YesNo
16 (52%)15 (48%)
In last 31 matches
NoYes
18 (58%)13 (42%)
Valenciennes

Valenciennes

Recent matches

Caen

Caen

Under /Over

(71%)22 9(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(74%)23 8(26%)

Under /Over

(32%)10 21(68%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(16%)5 26(84%)

Under /Over

(32%)10 21(68%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)13 18(58%)

/Yes

(55%)17 14(45%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(55%)17 14(45%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Valenciennes Valenciennes
Caen Caen
Shots
Valenciennes
Valenciennes
Total shots
10.35 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Caen
Caen
Total shots
9.48 avg / game
Blocked
5 total
Avg. 2.50
Valenciennes Valenciennes Pass Caen Caen
Total passes
967
Avg. 138 / game
Accurate
92%
Ball possession
54%
Total passes
727
Avg. 121 / game
Accurate
86%
Ball possession
54%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Valenciennes
Valenciennes
2971
Avg. 95.84 / game
 Caen
Caen
3193
Avg. 103.00 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Valenciennes
Valenciennes
1636
Avg. 52.77 / game
 Caen
Caen
1697
Avg. 54.74 / game
OTHERS
Valenciennes
Valenciennes
31
Played games
Caen
Caen
31
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.23
7
Clean sheets
12
0.39
5.35
166
Corners
140
4.52
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.13
4
Offsides
8
0.26
0.06
2
GK saves
6
0.19
Valenciennes
Valenciennes
DISCIPLINARY
Caen
Caen
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.81
56
Yellow card
68
2.19
0.16
5
Red card
6
0.19
0.65
20
Fouls
37
1.19
0.71
22
Tackles
32
1.03
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How We Build the Valenciennes vs Caen Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Valenciennes vs Caen on 28 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 3 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Valenciennes vs Caen Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Valenciennes's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Caen's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 3 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 3 standings and the France Ligue 3 form table to understand exactly where Valenciennes and Caen sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 3 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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