Valenciennes vs Bastia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 March

Valenciennes

L D D W W

15th place in France Ligue 2

2-2

11/03/2023 14:00

Bastia

D L W W D

4th place in France Ligue 2

France Ligue 2

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Valenciennes vs Bastia on 11 March 2023 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Valenciennes vs Bastia preview before placing your bet.

Valenciennes are currently 15th with 45 points after 38 matches.
Bastia sit 4th with 60 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: a draw with probability 32%.
Head-to-head history favors Bastia, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Valenciennes have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2023-03-11

Valenciennes vs Bastia - Prediction & Odds

Valenciennes

Bastia

2023-03-11 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/03/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Le Havre	75	38	20	15	3	46	19	27
02 Metz	72	38	20	12	6	61	33	28
03 Bordeaux	69	37	20	9	8	51	27	24
04 Bastia	60	38	17	9	12	52	45	7
05 Caen	59	38	16	11	11	52	43	9
06 Guingamp	55	38	15	10	13	51	46	5
07 Paris FC	55	38	15	10	13	45	43	2
08 Saint Etienne	53	38	15	11	12	63	57	6
09 Sochaux	52	38	15	7	16	54	41	13
10 Grenoble	51	38	14	9	15	33	36	-3
11 Quevilly	50	38	12	14	12	47	49	-2
12 Amiens	47	38	13	8	17	40	52	-12
13 Pau FC	47	38	12	11	15	40	52	-12
14 Stade Lavallois MFC	46	38	14	4	20	44	56	-12
15 Valenciennes	45	38	10	15	13	42	49	-7
16 Annecy	45	38	11	12	15	39	51	-12
17 Rodez Aveyron	43	37	10	13	14	38	44	-6
18 Dijon	42	38	10	12	16	38	43	-5
19 Nimes	36	38	10	6	22	44	62	-18
20 Chamois Niortais	29	38	7	8	23	35	67	-32

Head To Head

30/12/2022 16:00

Bastia

1 - 0

Valenciennes

FRA D2

05/03/2022 14:00

Bastia

1 - 1

Valenciennes

FRA D2

21/09/2021 14:00

Valenciennes

2 - 1

Bastia

FRA D2

11/01/2014 15:00

Valenciennes

3 - 2

Bastia

FRA D1

17/08/2013 14:00

Bastia

2 - 0

Valenciennes

FRA D1

30/03/2013 15:00

Valenciennes

3 - 4

Bastia

FRA D1

Valenciennes

33%

Draw

17%

Bastia

50%

Valenciennes Last 6 matches

04/03/2023 14:00

Quevilly 1 - 1 Valenciennes FRA D2

25/02/2023 14:00

Valenciennes 2 - 2 Dijon FRA D2

18/02/2023 14:00

Valenciennes 0 - 0 Rodez Aveyron FRA D2

11/02/2023 14:00

Guingamp 3 - 1 Valenciennes FRA D2

03/02/2023 15:45

Valenciennes 3 - 1 Stade Lavallois MFC FRA D2

31/01/2023 15:45

Sochaux 4 - 0 Valenciennes FRA D2

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Bastia

04/03/2023 14:00

Bastia 4 - 2 Nimes FRA D2

25/02/2023 14:00

Rodez Aveyron 0 - 2 Bastia FRA D2

18/02/2023 14:00

Bastia 1 - 1 Guingamp FRA D2

11/02/2023 14:00

Bastia 0 - 1 Quevilly FRA D2

03/02/2023 15:45

Caen 3 - 1 Bastia FRA D2

31/01/2023 15:45

Bastia 2 - 0 Saint Etienne FRA D2

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues France Ligue 2

Played games

Goals

Scored

295

Avg. per game

1.12

Conceded

343

Avg. per game

1.30

Scored

336

Avg. per game

1.27

Conceded

286

Avg. per game

1.08

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 264 matches

YesNo

179 (68%)85 (32%)

In last 264 matches

NoYes

183 (69%)81 (31%)

Valenciennes

Recent matches

Bastia

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Valenciennes

Bastia

Shots

Valenciennes

Total shots

8.52 avg / game

Blocked

241 total

Avg. 2.32

Bastia

Total shots

10.29 avg / game

Blocked

377 total

Avg. 2.60

Valenciennes Pass Bastia

Total passes

45667

Avg. 374 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

71632

Avg. 387 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Valenciennes

264

Played games

Bastia

264

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.34

3.59

947

Corners

1029

3.90

1.87

493

Throw-ins

2079

7.88

1.02

270

Offsides

357

1.35

1.79

472

GK saves

441

1.67

Valenciennes

DISCIPLINARY

Bastia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.73

457

486

1.84

0.06

0.13

8.41

2221

Fouls

2749

10.41

7.03

1857

Tackles

2699

10.22

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne

How We Build the Valenciennes vs Bastia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Valenciennes vs Bastia on 11 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 2 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Valenciennes vs Bastia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Valenciennes's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Bastia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 2 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 2 standings and the France Ligue 2 form table to understand exactly where Valenciennes and Bastia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 2 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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