USA vs Mexico: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 06 July

Prediction Match Centre

USA

No standing data

1-2

Mexico
Win Probability 38%

06/07/2025 16:00

Mexico

1st place in Concacaf Gold Cup

Concacaf Gold Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for USA vs Mexico on 06 July 2025 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full USA vs Mexico preview before placing your bet.

USA will face Mexico in Concacaf Gold Cup on July 6, 2025 at 16:00.
Mexico sit 1st with 7 points from 3 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 2.35.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2025-07-06

USA vs Mexico - Prediction & Odds

USA

Mexico

2025-07-06 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 06/07/2025

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Mexico	7	3	2	1	0	5	2	3
02 Costa Rica	7	3	2	1	0	6	4	2
03 Dominican Republic	1	3	0	1	2	3	5	-2
04 Suriname	1	3	0	1	2	3	6	-3

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 USA	9	3	3	0	0	8	1	7
02 Saudi Arabia	4	3	1	1	1	2	2	0
03 Trinidad and Tobago	2	3	0	2	1	2	7	-5
04 Haiti	1	3	0	1	2	2	4	-2

Head To Head

15/10/2024 19:30

Mexico

2 - 0

USA

INT FRL

24/03/2024 18:15

USA

2 - 0

Mexico

CONCACAF NL

15/06/2023 19:15

USA

3 - 0

Mexico

CONCACAF NL

19/04/2023 19:20

USA

1 - 1

Mexico

INT FRL

24/03/2022 19:00

Mexico

0 - 0

USA

WCPCA

12/11/2021 19:10

USA

2 - 0

Mexico

WCPCA

Mexico

67%

Draw

33%

USA

USA Last 6 matches

02/07/2025 16:00

USA 2 - 1 Guatemala

CGC

29/06/2025 16:00

USA 2 - 2 Costa Rica

CGC

22/06/2025 16:00

USA 2 - 1 Haiti

CGC

19/06/2025 18:15

Saudi Arabia 0 - 1 USA

CGC

15/06/2025 15:00

USA 5 - 0 Trinidad and Tobago

CGC

10/06/2025 17:00

USA 0 - 4 Switzerland

INT FRL

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Mexico

02/07/2025 19:00

Mexico 1 - 0 Honduras

CGC

28/06/2025 19:15

Mexico 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia

CGC

22/06/2025 19:00

Mexico 0 - 0 Costa Rica

CGC

18/06/2025 19:00

Suriname 0 - 2 Mexico

CGC

14/06/2025 19:15

Mexico 3 - 2 Dominican Republic

CGC

10/06/2025 18:00

Mexico 1 - 0 Turkey

INT FRL

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Concacaf Gold Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

USA

Mexico

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.83

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.50

Scored

Avg. per game

1.33

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.33

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

USA

Recent matches

Mexico

Under /Over

(83%)5 1(17%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)4 2(33%)

Under /Over

(83%)5 1(17%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(17%)1 5(83%)

Under /Over

(33%)2 4(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(50%)3 3(50%)

/Yes

(67%)4 2(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(33%)2 4(67%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

USA

Mexico

Shots

USA

Total shots

9.00 avg / game

Blocked

5 total

Avg. 1.25

Mexico

Total shots

12.83 avg / game

Blocked

16 total

Avg. 3.20

USA Pass Mexico

Total passes

2034

Avg. 339 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

61%

Total passes

2999

Avg. 500 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

62%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

USA

Played games

Mexico

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.67

3.50

Corners

4.50

12.33

Throw-ins

16.50

1.67

Offsides

0.83

1.67

GK saves

1.17

USA

DISCIPLINARY

Mexico

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.83

1.83

0.00

0.00

7.50

Fouls

12.67

8.50

Tackles

14.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the USA vs Mexico Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for USA vs Mexico on 06 July 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Concacaf Gold Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

USA vs Mexico Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess USA's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Mexico's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Concacaf Gold Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Concacaf Gold Cup standings and the Concacaf Gold Cup form table to understand exactly where USA and Mexico sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Concacaf Gold Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Concacaf Gold Cup Predictions

Find every upcoming Concacaf Gold Cup fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less