Universidad Catolica vs Independiente del Valle: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 01 May

Universidad Catolica

L W W W D

2nd place in Primera Division de Ecuador

2-3

01/05/2026 17:30

Independiente del Valle

W W W W W

1st place in Primera Division de Ecuador

Primera Division de Ecuador

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Universidad Catolica vs Independiente del Valle on 01 May 2026 (kick-off: 17:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Universidad Catolica vs Independiente del Valle preview before placing your bet.

Universidad Catolica are currently 2nd with 39 points after 23 matches.
Independiente del Valle sit 1st with 55 points from 22 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Universidad Catolica to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history favors Universidad Catolica, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Independiente del Valle have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:30

2026-05-01

Universidad Catolica vs Independiente del Valle - Prediction & Odds

Universidad Catolica

Independiente del Valle

2026-05-01 17:30

STANDINGS UP TO 01/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente del Valle	55	22	18	1	3	55	22	33
02 Universidad Catolica	39	23	11	6	6	38	19	19
03 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	38	23	11	5	7	26	25	1
04 Macara	35	22	10	5	7	28	22	6
05 Barcelona SC(ECU)	34	22	9	7	6	23	17	6
06 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	32	22	9	5	8	21	17	4
07 Leones del Norte	31	22	8	7	7	23	21	2
08 Deportivo Cuenca	31	22	9	4	9	21	27	-6
09 Libertad FC	30	23	8	6	9	24	26	-2
10 Guayaquil City	28	22	7	7	8	19	23	-4
11 Mushuc Runa	28	23	7	7	9	29	34	-5
12 Club Sport Emelec	28	23	7	7	9	19	28	-9
13 Orense SC	26	23	7	5	11	27	35	-8
14 Tecnico Universitario	26	23	8	2	13	20	29	-9
15 Delfin SC	23	22	6	5	11	13	21	-8
16 Manta FC	14	23	3	5	15	9	29	-20

Head To Head

14/12/2025 17:30

Universidad Catolica

0 - 1

Independiente del Valle

ECU LPSA

08/11/2025 17:30

Independiente del Valle

0 - 2

Universidad Catolica

ECU LPSA

13/10/2025 19:00

Independiente del Valle

1 - 2

Universidad Catolica

ECU CUP

29/06/2025 16:30

Universidad Catolica

0 - 3

Independiente del Valle

ECU LPSA

02/03/2025 14:00

Independiente del Valle

1 - 1

Universidad Catolica

ECU LPSA

29/10/2024 18:00

Independiente del Valle

1 - 2

Universidad Catolica

ECU CUP

Universidad Catolica

50%

Draw

17%

Independiente del Valle

33%

Universidad Catolica Last 6 matches

27/04/2026 17:30

Manta FC 1 - 0 Universidad Catolica ECU LPSA

23/04/2026 20:00

Universidad Catolica 4 - 0 Macara ECU LPSA

18/04/2026 17:30

Universidad Catolica 2 - 0 Libertad FC ECU LPSA

12/04/2026 13:00

Tecnico Universitario 0 - 2 Universidad Catolica ECU LPSA

08/04/2026 20:00

Universidad Catolica 1 - 1 Club Sport Emelec ECU LPSA

04/04/2026 17:30

Universidad Catolica 4 - 1 Guayaquil City ECU LPSA

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Independiente del Valle

28/04/2026 18:00

Club Libertad 2 - 3 Independiente del Valle CON CLA

25/04/2026 15:10

Independiente del Valle 2 - 1 Leones del Norte ECU LPSA

22/04/2026 14:00

Delfin SC 0 - 1 Independiente del Valle ECU LPSA

19/04/2026 16:30

Independiente del Valle 0 - 2 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito ECU LPSA

15/04/2026 22:00

Independiente del Valle 3 - 1 Universidad Central de Venezuela CON CLA

12/04/2026 14:00

Deportivo Cuenca 2 - 3 Independiente del Valle ECU LPSA

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Ec...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Universidad Catolica

Independiente del Valle

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.17

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.39

Scored

Avg. per game

1.36

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.59

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 23 matches

YesNo

17 (74%)6 (26%)

In last 23 matches

NoYes

16 (73%)6 (27%)

Universidad Catolica

Recent matches

Independiente del Valle

Under /Over

(70%)16 7(30%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(91%)20 2(9%)

Under /Over

(22%)5 18(78%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(50%)11 11(50%)

Under /Over

(48%)11 12(52%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(50%)11 11(50%)

/Yes

(43%)10 13(57%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)11 11(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Universidad Catolica

Independiente del Valle

Shots

Universidad Catolica

Total shots

13.59 avg / game

Blocked

60 total

Avg. 3.16

Independiente del Valle

Total shots

17.57 avg / game

Blocked

77 total

Avg. 3.85

Universidad Catolica Pass Independiente del Valle

Total passes

8777

Avg. 418 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

8819

Avg. 420 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

58%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Universidad Catolica

2201

Avg. 95.70 / game

Independiente del Valle

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Independiente del Valle

934

Avg. 42.45 / game

OTHERS

Universidad Catolica

Played games

Independiente del Valle

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.43

Clean sheets

0.41

4.39

101

Corners

124

5.64

17.43

401

Throw-ins

331

15.05

0.83

Offsides

0.77

2.22

GK saves

1.95

Universidad Catolica

DISCIPLINARY

Independiente del Valle

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.48

2.05

0.17

0.09

9.35

215

Fouls

179

8.14

7.30

168

Tackles

168

7.64

NEXT MATCHES

Independiente del Valle

Universidad Catolica

ECU

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Independiente del Valle

Deportivo Cuenca

ECU

08/09

Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito

Independiente del Valle

ECU

08/11

Deportes Tolima

Independiente del Valle

CON

08/16

Independiente del Valle

Delfin SC

ECU

08/18

Independiente del Valle

Deportes Tolima

CON

How We Build the Universidad Catolica vs Independiente del Valle Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Universidad Catolica vs Independiente del Valle on 01 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Ecuador fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Universidad Catolica vs Independiente del Valle Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Universidad Catolica's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Independiente del Valle's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Ecuador Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Ecuador standings and the Primera Division de Ecuador form table to understand exactly where Universidad Catolica and Independiente del Valle sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Ecuador predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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