Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 February

Betiball's prediction for Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05 on 04 February 2023 (kick-off: 10:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05 preview before placing your bet.

Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05: Starting Lineups Time : 04/02/2023 10:30

Union Berlin
2 - 1
Finished
FSV Mainz 05
89' event Jamie Leweling / Sheraldo Becker
84' event Theoson Jordan Siebatcheu
79' event Theoson Jordan Siebatcheu / Kevin Behrens
79' event Morten Thorsby / Paul Seguin
79' event Niko Gieselmann / Jerome Roussillon
72' event Paul Seguin
69' event Aissa Laidouni / Janik Haberer
32' event Kevin Behrens
event 89' Brajan Gruda / Leandro Barreiro Martins
event 79' Marcus Ingvartsen
event 78' Edimilson Fernandes Penalty awarded
event 71' Aymen Barkok / Lee Jae Sung
event 71' Marcus Ingvartsen / Ludovic Ajorque
event 71' Maxim Leitsch / Danny Vieira da Costa
event 56' Anton Stach / Dominik Kohr
event 45' Ludovic Ajorque
89' event Jamie Leweling / Sheraldo Becker
event 89' Brajan Gruda / Leandro Barreiro Martins
84' event Theoson Jordan Siebatcheu
event 79' Marcus Ingvartsen
79' event Theoson Jordan Siebatcheu / Kevin Behrens
event 78' Edimilson Fernandes Penalty awarded
79' event Morten Thorsby / Paul Seguin
event 71' Aymen Barkok / Lee Jae Sung
79' event Niko Gieselmann / Jerome Roussillon
event 71' Marcus Ingvartsen / Ludovic Ajorque
72' event Paul Seguin
event 71' Maxim Leitsch / Danny Vieira da Costa
69' event Aissa Laidouni / Janik Haberer
event 56' Anton Stach / Dominik Kohr
32' event Kevin Behrens
event 45' Ludovic Ajorque
Union Berlin Union Berlin
Substitutions
#23 Niko Gieselmann
#40 Jamie Leweling
#2 Morten Thorsby
#20 Aissa Laidouni
#45 Theoson Jordan Siebatcheu
#18 Josip Juranovic
#11 Sven Michel
#37 Lennart Grill
#25 Timo Baumgartl
Union Berlin Union Berlin FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
11Shots12
5Shots on Goal5
11Fouls10
5Corner Kick5
14Free kick13
1Offside2
1Yellow card1
66Aerial70
1Save3
10Successful Tackles16
4Interceptions11
2Assist0
1Shots off goal5
31Head Success37
5Blocked2
10Tackle16
1Dribbles8
26Throw-in21
437Passes415
131Attacks107
40Dangerous attacks51
2Corner Kicks(HT)1
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
Substitutions
#11 Marcus Ingvartsen
#5 Maxim Leitsch
#4 Aymen Barkok
#6 Anton Stach
#43 Brajan Gruda
#36 Marlon Mustapha
#32 Lasse RieB
#42 Alexander Hack
#3 Aaron Caricol
Commentary
89' Union Berlin — substitution: Jamie Leweling / Sheraldo Becker
89' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Brajan Gruda / Leandro Barreiro Martins
84' Goal! Theoson Jordan Siebatcheu - Union Berlin
79' Union Berlin — substitution: Theoson Jordan Siebatcheu / Kevin Behrens
79' Union Berlin — substitution: Morten Thorsby / Paul Seguin
79' Union Berlin — substitution: Niko Gieselmann / Jerome Roussillon
79' Penalty scored! Marcus Ingvartsen - FSV Mainz 05
78' VAR review - FSV Mainz 05
72' Paul Seguin - Union Berlin receive a yellow card
71' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Aymen Barkok / Lee Jae Sung
71' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Marcus Ingvartsen / Ludovic Ajorque
71' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Maxim Leitsch / Danny Vieira da Costa
69' Union Berlin — substitution: Aissa Laidouni / Janik Haberer
56' FSV Mainz 05 — substitution: Anton Stach / Dominik Kohr
45' Ludovic Ajorque - FSV Mainz 05 receive a yellow card
32' Goal! Kevin Behrens - Union Berlin

How We Build the Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05 on 04 February 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05 Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Union Berlin's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against FSV Mainz 05's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live standings and the form table to understand exactly where Union Berlin and FSV Mainz 05 sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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