Tusker vs Mathare United: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 01 October

Tusker

L L W L L

9th place in VĐQG Kenya

0-0

01/10/2025 12:00

Mathare United

L D L W L

14th place in VĐQG Kenya

VĐQG Kenya

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Tusker vs Mathare United on 01 October 2025 (kick-off: 12:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Tusker vs Mathare United preview before placing your bet.

Tusker are currently 9th with 45 points after 34 matches.
Mathare United sit 14th with 41 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Tusker to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Tusker, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Mathare United have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:00

2025-10-01

Tusker vs Mathare United - Prediction & Odds

Tusker

Mathare United

2025-10-01 12:00

STANDINGS UP TO 01/10/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Gor Mahia	69	34	20	9	5	50	22	28
02 AFC Leopards	64	34	19	7	8	44	28	16
03 Kenya Police FC	55	34	13	16	5	31	21	10
04 Nairobi United	53	34	14	11	9	44	34	10
05 Shabana FC	52	34	14	10	10	35	34	1
06 Kakamega Homeboyz	49	34	12	13	9	47	37	10
07 KCB SC	48	34	13	9	12	36	37	-1
08 Muranga Seal	47	34	13	8	13	42	42	0
09 Tusker	45	34	13	6	15	27	32	-5
10 APS Bomet	44	34	11	11	12	37	35	2
11 Mara Sugar FC	44	34	10	14	10	30	30	0
12 Bandari	44	34	9	17	8	26	26	0
13 Ulinzi Stars Nakuru	41	34	11	8	15	35	37	-2
14 Mathare United	41	34	11	8	15	31	35	-4
15 Posta Rangers	40	34	9	13	12	31	40	-9
16 Kariobangi Sharks	38	34	8	14	12	30	33	-3
17 Bidco United	27	34	5	12	17	19	40	-21
18 Sofapaka FC	19	34	3	10	21	19	51	-32

Head To Head

27/04/2025 10:00

Mathare United

2 - 1

Tusker

KEN D1

07/12/2024 12:00

Tusker

2 - 0

Mathare United

KEN D1

12/04/2023 12:15

Mathare United

0 - 2

Tusker

KEN D1

18/02/2023 12:00

Tusker

2 - 1

Mathare United

KEN D1

28/05/2022 12:00

Mathare United

0 - 2

Tusker

KEN D1

30/12/2021 12:00

Tusker

4 - 1

Mathare United

KEN D1

Tusker

83%

Draw

Mathare United

17%

Tusker Last 6 matches

27/09/2025 10:00

Posta Rangers 2 - 1 Tusker KEN D1

19/09/2025 15:00

Tusker 0 - 2 KCB SC KEN D1

22/06/2025 12:00

Kakamega Homeboyz 0 - 0 Tusker KEN D1

15/06/2025 12:00

Tusker 0 - 0 Kariobangi Sharks KEN D1

18/05/2025 13:00

Sofapaka FC 7 - 1 Tusker KEN D1

14/05/2025 10:00

FC Talanta 2 - 0 Tusker KEN D1

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Mathare United

26/09/2025 12:00

KCB SC 0 - 1 Mathare United KEN D1

22/09/2025 13:00

Mathare United 1 - 2 Posta Rangers KEN D1

22/06/2025 12:00

Nairobi Star City 0 - 0 Mathare United KEN D1

15/06/2025 12:00

Mathare United 0 - 0 Bandari KEN D1

17/05/2025 11:00

Mathare United 1 - 0 Ulinzi Stars Nakuru KEN D1

14/05/2025 13:00

AFC Leopards 3 - 1 Mathare United KEN D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues VĐQG Kenya

Played games

Tusker

Mathare United

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.88

Scored

Avg. per game

1.13

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.00

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 16 home matches

YesNo

11 (69%)5 (31%)

In last 16 home matches

NoYes

10 (63%)6 (38%)

Tusker

Recent matches

Mathare United

Under /Over

(56%)9 7(44%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(63%)10 6(37%)

Under /Over

(31%)5 11(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(13%)2 14(87%)

Under /Over

(13%)2 14(87%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)6 10(62%)

/Yes

(38%)6 10(62%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(31%)5 11(69%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Tusker

Mathare United

Shots

Tusker

Total shots

13.13 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Mathare United

Total shots

13.75 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Tusker Pass Mathare United

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Tusker

Played games

Mathare United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.44

Clean sheets

0.38

3.88

Corners

4.75

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

1.50

Offsides

1.13

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Tusker

DISCIPLINARY

Mathare United

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.63

1.25

0.06

0.00

8.00

128

Fouls

100

6.25

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Tusker vs Mathare United Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Tusker vs Mathare United on 01 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this VĐQG Kenya fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Tusker vs Mathare United Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Tusker's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Mathare United's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

VĐQG Kenya Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live VĐQG Kenya standings and the VĐQG Kenya form table to understand exactly where Tusker and Mathare United sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our VĐQG Kenya predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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