Toulouse vs Montpellier: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 January

Toulouse

L L D W D

10th place in France Ligue 1

1-2

26/01/2025 12:15

Montpellier

L L D L L

18th place in France Ligue 1

France Ligue 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Toulouse vs Montpellier on 26 January 2025 (kick-off: 12:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Toulouse vs Montpellier preview before placing your bet.

Toulouse are currently 10th with 42 points after 34 matches.
Montpellier sit 18th with 16 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Toulouse to win with probability 59%.
Head-to-head history favors Montpellier, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Toulouse have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:15

2025-01-26

Toulouse vs Montpellier - Prediction & Odds

Toulouse

Montpellier

2025-01-26 12:15

STANDINGS UP TO 26/01/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	84	34	26	6	2	92	35	57
02 Marseille	65	34	20	5	9	74	47	27
03 Monaco	61	34	18	7	9	63	41	22
04 Nice	60	34	17	9	8	66	41	25
05 Lille	60	34	17	9	8	52	36	16
06 Lyon	57	34	17	6	11	65	46	19
07 Strasbourg	57	34	16	9	9	56	44	12
08 Lens	52	34	15	7	12	42	39	3
09 Stade Brestois	50	34	15	5	14	52	59	-7
10 Toulouse	42	34	11	9	14	44	43	1
11 AJ Auxerre	42	34	11	9	14	48	51	-3
12 Rennes	41	34	13	2	19	51	50	1
13 Nantes	36	34	8	12	14	39	52	-13
14 Angers	36	34	10	6	18	32	53	-21
15 Le Havre	34	34	10	4	20	40	71	-31
16 Reims	33	34	8	9	17	33	47	-14
17 Saint Etienne	30	34	8	6	20	39	77	-38
18 Montpellier	16	34	4	4	26	23	79	-56

Head To Head

27/10/2024 12:00

Montpellier

0 - 3

Toulouse

FRA D1

03/05/2024 13:00

Toulouse

1 - 2

Montpellier

FRA D1

29/10/2023 10:00

Montpellier

3 - 0

Toulouse

FRA D1

15/07/2023 13:00

Toulouse

1 - 3

Montpellier

INT CF

09/04/2023 09:00

Montpellier

1 - 2

Toulouse

FRA D1

20/12/2022 11:15

Montpellier

2 - 1

Toulouse

INT CF

Toulouse

33%

Draw

Montpellier

67%

Toulouse Last 6 matches

18/01/2025 16:05

Lyon 0 - 0 Toulouse FRA D1

15/01/2025 13:30

Toulouse 2 - 1 Stade Lavallois MFC FRAC

12/01/2025 12:15

Toulouse 1 - 2 Strasbourg FRA D1

05/01/2025 10:00

Lens 0 - 1 Toulouse FRA D1

21/12/2024 10:30

Hauts Lyonnais 0 - 0 Toulouse FRAC

13/12/2024 15:45

Toulouse 2 - 1 Saint Etienne FRA D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Montpellier

17/01/2025 14:00

Montpellier 2 - 1 Monaco FRA D1

12/01/2025 12:15

Montpellier 1 - 3 Angers FRA D1

04/01/2025 16:00

Lyon 1 - 0 Montpellier FRA D1

21/12/2024 13:00

Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne 4 - 0 Montpellier FRAC

15/12/2024 10:00

Montpellier 2 - 2 Nice FRA D1

08/12/2024 10:00

Lens 2 - 0 Montpellier FRA D1

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues France Ligue 1

Played games

Goals

Scored

466

Avg. per game

1.61

Conceded

366

Avg. per game

1.26

Scored

373

Avg. per game

1.40

Conceded

420

Avg. per game

1.57

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 290 matches

YesNo

224 (77%)66 (23%)

In last 290 matches

NoYes

196 (73%)71 (27%)

Toulouse

Recent matches

Montpellier

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Toulouse

Montpellier

Shots

Toulouse

Total shots

11.64 avg / game

Blocked

544 total

Avg. 3.18

Montpellier

Total shots

11.44 avg / game

Blocked

621 total

Avg. 3.11

Toulouse Pass Montpellier

Total passes

87470

Avg. 437 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

85815

Avg. 397 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Toulouse

290

Played games

Montpellier

267

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.24

4.43

1285

Corners

1179

4.42

10.19

2955

Throw-ins

4285

16.05

1.58

459

Offsides

394

1.48

2.14

621

GK saves

839

3.14

Toulouse

DISCIPLINARY

Montpellier

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.68

488

460

1.72

0.08

0.16

12.08

3502

Fouls

2918

10.93

10.78

3125

Tackles

3444

12.90

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Toulouse vs Montpellier Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Toulouse vs Montpellier on 26 January 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Toulouse vs Montpellier Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Toulouse's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Montpellier's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 1 standings and the France Ligue 1 form table to understand exactly where Toulouse and Montpellier sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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