Toluca vs Tigres UANL: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 May

Toluca

L D L D D

6th place in Primera Division de Mexico

3-1

14/05/2023 18:00

Tigres UANL

L W L W L

5th place in Primera Division de Mexico

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Toluca vs Tigres UANL on 14 May 2023 (kick-off: 18:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Toluca vs Tigres UANL preview before placing your bet.

Toluca are currently 6th with 27 points after 17 matches.
Tigres UANL sit 5th with 30 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Toluca to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Toluca and Tigres UANL have each won 3 of the last 6 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:00

2023-05-14

Toluca vs Tigres UANL - Prediction & Odds

Toluca

Tigres UANL

2023-05-14 18:00

STANDINGS UP TO 14/05/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	38	17	12	2	3	38	17	21
02 Monterrey	35	17	10	5	2	29	13	16
03 Santos Laguna	33	17	10	3	4	38	21	17
04 Pachuca	32	17	9	5	3	28	15	13
05 Tigres UANL	30	17	9	3	5	24	14	10
06 Toluca	27	17	7	6	4	27	23	4
07 CDSyC Cruz Azul	24	17	7	3	7	26	34	-8
08 Puebla	22	17	4	10	3	25	23	2
09 Chivas Guadalajara	22	17	5	7	5	19	17	2
10 Club Leon	22	17	6	4	7	25	29	-4
11 FC Juarez	19	17	4	7	6	17	18	-1
12 Necaxa	19	17	5	4	8	19	26	-7
13 Atletico San Luis	18	17	4	6	7	15	23	-8
14 Mazatlan FC	17	17	3	8	6	17	24	-7
15 Club Tijuana	17	17	4	5	8	18	30	-12
16 Pumas U.N.A.M.	14	17	2	8	7	21	31	-10
17 Atlas	13	17	3	4	10	16	27	-11
18 Queretaro FC	9	17	1	6	10	18	35	-17

Head To Head

02/04/2023 18:00

Toluca

3 - 2

Tigres UANL

MEX D1

08/09/2022 00:00

Tigres UANL

3 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

17/04/2022 00:00

Tigres UANL

3 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

10/10/2021 01:00

Toluca

0 - 2

Tigres UANL

INT CF

01/08/2021 17:00

Toluca

3 - 1

Tigres UANL

MEX D1

03/03/2021 01:00

Tigres UANL

0 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

Toluca

50%

Draw

Tigres UANL

50%

Toluca Last 6 matches

30/04/2023 18:00

Toluca 3 - 0 Necaxa MEX D1

23/04/2023 18:00

Toluca 1 - 1 FC Juarez MEX D1

16/04/2023 18:00

Pumas U.N.A.M. 3 - 1 Toluca MEX D1

08/04/2023 01:05

Puebla 1 - 2 Toluca MEX D1

02/04/2023 18:00

Toluca 3 - 2 Tigres UANL MEX D1

26/03/2023 00:30

Chivas Guadalajara 2 - 2 Toluca INT CF

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Tigres UANL

08/05/2023 03:10

Tigres UANL 1 - 0 Puebla MEX D1

04/05/2023 02:00

Club Leon 3 - 1 Tigres UANL CNCF CHL

01/05/2023 01:05

Club Leon 3 - 0 Tigres UANL MEX D1

26/04/2023 02:00

Tigres UANL 2 - 1 Club Leon CNCF CHL

21/04/2023 02:05

Tigres UANL 1 - 0 Puebla MEX D1

16/04/2023 23:00

Queretaro FC 0 - 0 Tigres UANL MEX D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Played games

Goals

Scored

492

Avg. per game

1.78

Conceded

369

Avg. per game

1.33

Scored

460

Avg. per game

1.53

Conceded

311

Avg. per game

1.04

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 277 matches

YesNo

220 (79%)57 (21%)

In last 277 matches

NoYes

232 (77%)68 (23%)

Toluca

Recent matches

Tigres UANL

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Toluca

Tigres UANL

Shots

Toluca

Total shots

12.59 avg / game

Blocked

464 total

Avg. 3.11

Tigres UANL

Total shots

12.87 avg / game

Blocked

563 total

Avg. 3.29

Toluca Pass Tigres UANL

Total passes

94022

Avg. 431 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

107282

Avg. 438 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Toluca

277

Played games

Tigres UANL

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

103

0.34

4.21

1167

Corners

1531

5.10

7.53

2086

Throw-ins

2380

7.93

1.31

363

Offsides

451

1.50

2.44

677

GK saves

765

2.55

Toluca

DISCIPLINARY

Tigres UANL

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.85

512

624

2.08

0.10

0.18

9.91

2745

Fouls

3355

11.18

10.00

2769

Tackles

3333

11.11

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Toluca vs Tigres UANL Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Toluca vs Tigres UANL on 14 May 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Toluca vs Tigres UANL Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Toluca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Tigres UANL's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Toluca and Tigres UANL sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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