Toluca vs Pumas U.N.A.M.: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 August

Toluca

W W D D D

1st place in Clausura

1-1

16/08/2025 23:10

Pumas U.N.A.M.

L D L D W

10th place in Clausura

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Toluca vs Pumas U.N.A.M. on 16 August 2025 (kick-off: 23:10) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Toluca vs Pumas U.N.A.M. preview before placing your bet.

Toluca are currently 1st with 37 points after 17 matches.
Pumas U.N.A.M. sit 10th with 21 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Toluca to win with probability 55%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Toluca and Pumas U.N.A.M. have each won 1 of the last 6 meetings, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

23:10

2025-08-16

Toluca vs Pumas U.N.A.M. - Prediction & Odds

Toluca

Pumas U.N.A.M.

2025-08-16 23:10

STANDINGS UP TO 16/08/2025

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Toluca	37	17	11	4	2	43	18	25
02 Tigres UANL	36	17	10	6	1	35	16	19
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	35	17	10	5	2	32	20	12
04 Club America	34	17	10	4	3	33	18	15
05 Monterrey	31	17	9	4	4	33	29	4
06 Chivas Guadalajara	29	17	9	2	6	29	22	7
07 Club Tijuana	24	17	6	6	5	29	23	6
08 FC Juarez	23	17	6	5	6	27	28	-1
09 Pachuca	22	17	6	4	7	21	21	0
10 Pumas U.N.A.M.	21	17	5	6	6	24	25	-1
11 Santos Laguna	20	17	6	2	9	22	28	-6
12 Queretaro FC	20	17	6	2	9	19	29	-10
13 Necaxa	17	17	4	5	8	24	32	-8
14 Atlas	17	17	4	5	8	24	35	-11
15 Atletico San Luis	16	17	5	1	11	25	29	-4
16 Mazatlan FC	14	17	2	8	7	20	29	-9
17 Club Leon	13	17	3	4	10	14	31	-17
18 Puebla	12	17	3	3	11	21	42	-21

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Pumas U.N.A.M.	36	17	10	6	1	34	17	17
02 Chivas Guadalajara	36	17	11	3	3	33	17	16
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	9	6	2	31	18	13
04 Pachuca	31	17	9	4	4	25	19	6
05 Toluca	30	17	8	6	3	28	16	12
06 Atlas	26	17	7	5	5	16	18	-2
07 Tigres UANL	25	17	7	4	6	28	18	10
08 Club America	25	17	7	4	6	20	17	3
09 Club Tijuana	23	17	5	8	4	19	17	2
10 Club Leon	22	17	7	1	9	22	32	-10
11 Queretaro FC	20	17	4	8	5	17	21	-4
12 FC Juarez	19	17	5	4	8	26	32	-6
13 Monterrey	18	17	5	3	9	22	24	-2
14 Atletico San Luis	18	17	5	3	9	24	27	-3
15 Necaxa	18	17	5	3	9	19	25	-6
16 Mazatlan FC	15	17	4	3	10	22	37	-15
17 Puebla	13	17	3	4	10	13	26	-13
18 Santos Laguna	12	17	3	3	11	20	38	-18

Head To Head

29/01/2025 23:05

Pumas U.N.A.M.

1 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

05/10/2024 21:00

Toluca

1 - 1

Pumas U.N.A.M.

MEX D1

17/03/2024 21:00

Toluca

3 - 0

Pumas U.N.A.M.

MEX D1

18/08/2023 23:05

Pumas U.N.A.M.

1 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

16/04/2023 14:00

Pumas U.N.A.M.

3 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

13/12/2022 21:05

Pumas U.N.A.M.

1 - 1

Toluca

MGNP

Toluca

17%

Draw

67%

Pumas U.N.A.M.

17%

Toluca Last 6 matches

11/08/2025 23:00

FC Juarez 0 - 2 Toluca MEX D1

05/08/2025 19:40

Toluca 2 - 1 New York City FC NCAL Cup

01/08/2025 21:00

Toluca 2 - 1 CF Montreal NCAL Cup

29/07/2025 19:10

Toluca 2 - 2 Columbus Crew NCAL Cup

26/07/2025 21:00

Toluca 3 - 4 Tigres UANL MEX D1

20/07/2025 21:15

Club America 1 - 3 Toluca MEX CC

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Pumas U.N.A.M.

10/08/2025 20:00

Pumas U.N.A.M. 1 - 1 Necaxa MEX D1

06/08/2025 19:30

Inter Miami CF 3 - 1 Pumas U.N.A.M. NCAL Cup

02/08/2025 21:10

Pumas U.N.A.M. 3 - 2 Atlanta United NCAL Cup

30/07/2025 20:00

Pumas U.N.A.M. 1 - 1 Orlando City NCAL Cup

25/07/2025 21:00

Queretaro FC 0 - 2 Pumas U.N.A.M. MEX D1

20/07/2025 14:00

Pumas U.N.A.M. 2 - 3 Pachuca MEX D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Toluca

Pumas U.N.A.M.

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.19

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.48

Scored

Avg. per game

0.85

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 21 home matches

YesNo

15 (71%)6 (29%)

In last 21 home matches

NoYes

13 (65%)7 (35%)

Toluca

Recent matches

Pumas U.N.A.M.

Under /Over

(86%)18 3(14%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(75%)15 5(25%)

Under /Over

(43%)9 12(57%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(45%)9 11(55%)

Under /Over

(48%)10 11(52%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(45%)9 11(55%)

/Yes

(71%)15 6(29%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(65%)13 7(35%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Toluca

Pumas U.N.A.M.

Shots

Toluca

Total shots

17.52 avg / game

Blocked

78 total

Avg. 4.33

Pumas U.N.A.M.

Total shots

12.50 avg / game

Blocked

70 total

Avg. 3.50

Toluca Pass Pumas U.N.A.M.

Total passes

9335

Avg. 445 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

8319

Avg. 416 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Toluca

Played games

Pumas U.N.A.M.

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.30

4.90

103

Corners

4.20

16.86

354

Throw-ins

377

18.85

1.76

Offsides

1.70

2.10

GK saves

3.30

Toluca

DISCIPLINARY

Pumas U.N.A.M.

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.00

2.05

0.10

0.15

11.24

236

Fouls

219

10.95

9.14

192

Tackles

140

7.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Toluca vs Pumas U.N.A.M. Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Toluca vs Pumas U.N.A.M. on 16 August 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Toluca vs Pumas U.N.A.M. Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Toluca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Pumas U.N.A.M.'s away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Toluca and Pumas U.N.A.M. sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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