Toluca vs New York City FC: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 August

Toluca

W D L W W

3rd place in Group A

2-1

05/08/2025 19:40

New York City FC

W W L W D

28th place in Group A

North Central America Leagues Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Toluca vs New York City FC on 05 August 2025 (kick-off: 19:40) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Toluca vs New York City FC preview before placing your bet.

Toluca are currently 3rd with 8 points after 3 matches.
New York City FC sit 28th with 3 points from 3 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Toluca to win with probability 47%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:40

2025-08-05

Toluca vs New York City FC - Prediction & Odds

Toluca

New York City FC

2025-08-05 19:40

STANDINGS UP TO 05/08/2025

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Seattle Sounders	9	3	3	0	0	11	2	9
02 Inter Miami CF	8	3	2	1	0	7	4	3
03 Toluca	8	3	2	1	0	6	4	2
04 Los Angeles Galaxy	7	3	2	1	0	10	3	7
05 Orlando City	7	3	2	1	0	9	3	6
06 Portland Timbers	7	3	2	1	0	6	1	5
07 Columbus Crew	7	3	2	1	0	6	3	3
08 Pachuca	7	3	2	1	0	6	4	2
09 Tigres UANL	6	3	2	0	1	7	4	3
10 FC Juarez	6	3	1	2	0	7	4	3
11 Puebla	6	3	2	0	1	6	4	2
12 Real Salt Lake	6	3	1	2	0	5	4	1
13 Los Angeles FC	6	3	1	2	0	4	3	1
14 New York Red Bulls	6	3	1	2	0	3	2	1
15 Club America	5	3	0	3	0	6	6	0
16 Chivas Guadalajara	5	3	1	1	1	4	4	0
17 Mazatlan FC	5	3	1	1	1	3	3	0
18 Pumas U.N.A.M.	5	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1
19 Atletico San Luis	5	3	1	1	1	4	6	-2
20 Minnesota United FC	4	3	1	1	1	7	6	1
21 FC Cincinnati	4	3	1	1	1	6	6	0
22 Colorado Rapids	4	3	1	1	1	5	5	0
23 Charlotte FC	4	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1
24 Necaxa	4	3	1	1	1	6	8	-2
25 CDSyC Cruz Azul	4	3	0	2	1	3	10	-7
26 Atlanta United	3	3	1	0	2	7	7	0
27 San Diego FC	3	3	1	0	2	5	5	0
28 New York City FC	3	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2
29 Club Tijuana	3	3	1	0	2	5	8	-3
30 CF Montreal	2	3	0	1	2	3	5	-2
31 Monterrey	2	3	0	1	2	3	6	-3
32 Club Leon	1	3	0	1	2	1	4	-3
33 Queretaro FC	0	3	0	0	3	1	6	-5
34 Atlas	0	3	0	0	3	3	9	-6
35 Santos Laguna	0	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6
36 Houston Dynamo	0	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6

Toluca Last 6 matches

01/08/2025 21:00

Toluca 2 - 1 CF Montreal NCAL Cup

29/07/2025 19:10

Toluca 2 - 2 Columbus Crew NCAL Cup

26/07/2025 21:00

Toluca 3 - 4 Tigres UANL MEX D1

20/07/2025 21:15

Club America 1 - 3 Toluca MEX CC

16/07/2025 23:00

Santos Laguna 2 - 4 Toluca MEX D1

12/07/2025 21:00

Toluca 3 - 1 Necaxa MEX D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches New York City FC

02/08/2025 10:00

Spennymoor Town 0 - 1 New York City FC INT CF

01/08/2025 18:00

New York City FC 2 - 0 Club Leon NCAL Cup

29/07/2025 20:10

New York City FC 0 - 3 Puebla NCAL Cup

25/07/2025 20:30

FC Dallas 3 - 4 New York City FC MLS

19/07/2025 20:30

Sporting Kansas City 1 - 1 New York City FC MLS

16/07/2025 20:15

Orlando City 1 - 2 New York City FC MLS

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues North Central America...

Played games

Toluca

New York City FC

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.50

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.00

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.67

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (75%)1 (25%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (67%)1 (33%)

Toluca

Recent matches

New York City FC

Under /Over

(75%)3 1(25%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(100%)3 0(0%)

Under /Over

(50%)2 2(50%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(100%)3 0(0%)

Under /Over

(25%)1 3(75%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(0%)0 3(100%)

/Yes

(75%)3 1(25%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(33%)1 2(67%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Toluca

New York City FC

Shots

Toluca

Total shots

9.75 avg / game

Blocked

9 total

Avg. 4.50

New York City FC

Total shots

8.67 avg / game

Blocked

6 total

Avg. 3.00

Toluca Pass New York City FC

Total passes

1127

Avg. 282 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

860

Avg. 287 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Toluca

Played games

New York City FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.33

4.00

Corners

6.33

14.00

Throw-ins

10.67

1.25

Offsides

2.00

0.50

GK saves

2.00

Toluca

DISCIPLINARY

New York City FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.75

1.00

0.00

0.00

8.50

Fouls

9.33

5.75

Tackles

11.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Toluca vs New York City FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Toluca vs New York City FC on 05 August 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this North Central America Leagues Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Toluca vs New York City FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Toluca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against New York City FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

North Central America Leagues Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live North Central America Leagues Cup standings and the North Central America Leagues Cup form table to understand exactly where Toluca and New York City FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our North Central America Leagues Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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