Toluca vs Pumas U.N.A.M.: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 March

Toluca

W W W L W

3rd place in Autumn

3-0

17/03/2024 21:00

Pumas U.N.A.M.

L D W W W

8th place in Autumn

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Toluca vs Pumas U.N.A.M. on 17 March 2024 (kick-off: 21:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Toluca vs Pumas U.N.A.M. preview before placing your bet.

Toluca are currently 3rd with 32 points after 17 matches.
Pumas U.N.A.M. sit 8th with 27 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Toluca to win with probability 48%.
Head-to-head history favors Pumas U.N.A.M., who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Toluca have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:00

2024-03-17

Toluca vs Pumas U.N.A.M. - Prediction & Odds

Toluca

Pumas U.N.A.M.

2024-03-17 21:00

STANDINGS UP TO 17/03/2024

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	35	17	10	5	2	30	12	18
02 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	10	3	4	23	14	9
03 Toluca	32	17	9	5	3	38	23	15
04 Monterrey	32	17	9	5	3	32	19	13
05 Tigres UANL	31	17	9	4	4	34	23	11
06 Chivas Guadalajara	31	17	9	4	4	24	17	7
07 Pachuca	29	17	9	2	6	34	27	7
08 Pumas U.N.A.M.	27	17	7	6	4	27	22	5
09 Necaxa	27	17	7	6	4	30	29	1
10 Queretaro FC	24	17	6	6	5	22	21	1
11 Club Leon	24	17	7	3	7	23	25	-2
12 FC Juarez	16	17	4	4	9	19	26	-7
13 Atletico San Luis	16	17	5	1	11	25	35	-10
14 Mazatlan FC	16	17	4	4	9	21	32	-11
15 Santos Laguna	15	17	4	3	10	15	28	-13
16 Club Tijuana	14	17	2	8	7	21	30	-9
17 Atlas	14	17	3	5	9	21	31	-10
18 Puebla	5	17	1	2	14	18	43	-25

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	40	17	12	4	1	37	14	23
02 Monterrey	33	17	10	3	4	27	15	12
03 Tigres UANL	30	17	8	6	3	32	18	14
04 Pumas U.N.A.M.	28	17	8	4	5	27	18	9
05 Chivas Guadalajara	27	17	8	3	6	22	22	0
06 Puebla	25	17	7	4	6	24	25	-1
07 Atletico San Luis	23	17	7	2	8	31	26	5
08 Club Leon	23	17	6	5	6	23	22	1
09 Santos Laguna	23	17	7	2	8	31	34	-3
10 Mazatlan FC	22	17	6	4	7	25	27	-2
11 Pachuca	22	17	5	7	5	16	27	-11
12 Toluca	21	17	5	6	6	23	19	4
13 Club Tijuana	20	17	6	2	9	23	26	-3
14 Queretaro FC	19	17	5	4	8	18	29	-11
15 FC Juarez	18	17	5	3	9	24	34	-10
16 CDSyC Cruz Azul	17	17	5	2	10	21	29	-8
17 Atlas	17	17	4	5	8	14	24	-10
18 Necaxa	15	17	3	6	8	18	27	-9

Head To Head

18/08/2023 23:05

Pumas U.N.A.M.

1 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

16/04/2023 14:00

Pumas U.N.A.M.

3 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

13/12/2022 21:05

Pumas U.N.A.M.

1 - 1

Toluca

MGNP

10/09/2022 22:05

Toluca

2 - 2

Pumas U.N.A.M.

MEX D1

10/01/2022 23:00

Pumas U.N.A.M.

5 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

21/11/2021 19:00

Toluca

1 - 2

Pumas U.N.A.M.

MEX D1

Toluca

Draw

50%

Pumas U.N.A.M.

50%

Toluca Last 6 matches

08/03/2024 23:10

FC Juarez 1 - 1 Toluca MEX D1

02/03/2024 19:00

Toluca 2 - 1 Tigres UANL MEX D1

25/02/2024 14:00

Toluca 2 - 0 Club Tijuana MEX D1

21/02/2024 21:00

Toluca 1 - 0 Santos Laguna MEX D1

18/02/2024 22:10

Monterrey 0 - 0 Toluca MEX D1

15/02/2024 21:00

Toluca 2 - 3 Herediano CNCF CHL

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Pumas U.N.A.M.

10/03/2024 14:00

Pumas U.N.A.M. 3 - 3 Club Tijuana MEX D1

03/03/2024 21:00

Monterrey 3 - 0 Pumas U.N.A.M. MEX D1

24/02/2024 21:05

Chivas Guadalajara 3 - 1 Pumas U.N.A.M. MEX D1

18/02/2024 20:05

Pumas U.N.A.M. 3 - 0 Santos Laguna MEX D1

14/02/2024 23:00

Atlas 0 - 0 Pumas U.N.A.M. MEX D1

11/02/2024 14:00

Pumas U.N.A.M. 3 - 0 Puebla MEX D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Played games

Goals

Scored

492

Avg. per game

1.78

Conceded

369

Avg. per game

1.33

Scored

381

Avg. per game

1.35

Conceded

364

Avg. per game

1.29

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 277 matches

YesNo

220 (79%)57 (21%)

In last 277 matches

NoYes

206 (73%)76 (27%)

Toluca

Recent matches

Pumas U.N.A.M.

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Toluca

Pumas U.N.A.M.

Shots

Toluca

Total shots

12.59 avg / game

Blocked

464 total

Avg. 3.11

Pumas U.N.A.M.

Total shots

11.97 avg / game

Blocked

503 total

Avg. 3.12

Toluca Pass Pumas U.N.A.M.

Total passes

94022

Avg. 431 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

82488

Avg. 377 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Toluca

277

Played games

Pumas U.N.A.M.

282

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.25

Clean sheets

0.30

4.21

1167

Corners

1196

4.24

7.53

2086

Throw-ins

1964

6.96

1.31

363

Offsides

326

1.16

2.44

677

GK saves

690

2.45

Toluca

DISCIPLINARY

Pumas U.N.A.M.

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.85

512

588

2.09

0.10

0.14

9.91

2745

Fouls

3060

10.85

10.00

2769

Tackles

3003

10.65

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Toluca vs Pumas U.N.A.M. Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Toluca vs Pumas U.N.A.M. on 17 March 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Toluca vs Pumas U.N.A.M. Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Toluca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Pumas U.N.A.M.'s away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Toluca and Pumas U.N.A.M. sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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