Toluca vs Necaxa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 April

Toluca

L D L D D

6th place in Primera Division de Mexico

3-0

30/04/2023 14:00

Necaxa

W L L D D

12th place in Primera Division de Mexico

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Toluca vs Necaxa on 30 April 2023 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Toluca vs Necaxa preview before placing your bet.

Toluca are currently 6th with 27 points after 17 matches.
Necaxa sit 12th with 19 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Toluca to win with probability 59%.
Head-to-head history favors Toluca, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Necaxa have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2023-04-30

Toluca vs Necaxa - Prediction & Odds

Toluca

Necaxa

2023-04-30 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 30/04/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	38	17	12	2	3	38	17	21
02 Monterrey	35	17	10	5	2	29	13	16
03 Santos Laguna	33	17	10	3	4	38	21	17
04 Pachuca	32	17	9	5	3	28	15	13
05 Tigres UANL	30	17	9	3	5	24	14	10
06 Toluca	27	17	7	6	4	27	23	4
07 CDSyC Cruz Azul	24	17	7	3	7	26	34	-8
08 Puebla	22	17	4	10	3	25	23	2
09 Chivas Guadalajara	22	17	5	7	5	19	17	2
10 Club Leon	22	17	6	4	7	25	29	-4
11 FC Juarez	19	17	4	7	6	17	18	-1
12 Necaxa	19	17	5	4	8	19	26	-7
13 Atletico San Luis	18	17	4	6	7	15	23	-8
14 Mazatlan FC	17	17	3	8	6	17	24	-7
15 Club Tijuana	17	17	4	5	8	18	30	-12
16 Pumas U.N.A.M.	14	17	2	8	7	21	31	-10
17 Atlas	13	17	3	4	10	16	27	-11
18 Queretaro FC	9	17	1	6	10	18	35	-17

Head To Head

26/12/2022 21:00

Toluca

1 - 0

Necaxa

MGNP

02/07/2022 18:00

Necaxa

1 - 3

Toluca

MEX D1

04/03/2022 21:00

Necaxa

0 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

20/10/2021 20:00

Toluca

1 - 1

Necaxa

MEX D1

24/01/2021 14:00

Toluca

2 - 0

Necaxa

MEX D1

30/10/2020 21:30

Necaxa

3 - 2

Toluca

MEX D1

Toluca

67%

Draw

17%

Necaxa

17%

Toluca Last 6 matches

16/04/2023 14:00

Pumas U.N.A.M. 3 - 1 Toluca MEX D1

07/04/2023 21:05

Puebla 1 - 2 Toluca MEX D1

02/04/2023 14:00

Toluca 3 - 2 Tigres UANL MEX D1

25/03/2023 20:30

Chivas Guadalajara 2 - 2 Toluca INT CF

17/03/2023 23:05

Club Tijuana 3 - 3 Toluca MEX D1

12/03/2023 14:00

Toluca 4 - 1 Mazatlan FC MEX D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Necaxa

21/04/2023 21:05

Necaxa 1 - 3 Atlas MEX D1

14/04/2023 21:05

Necaxa 1 - 1 Puebla MEX D1

08/04/2023 19:00

Chivas Guadalajara 1 - 0 Necaxa MEX D1

31/03/2023 21:05

Necaxa 0 - 0 Santos Laguna MEX D1

17/03/2023 23:05

Mazatlan FC 0 - 1 Necaxa MEX D1

12/03/2023 23:15

FC Juarez 1 - 1 Necaxa MEX D1

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Toluca

Necaxa

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.23

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 22 home matches

YesNo

16 (73%)6 (27%)

In last 22 home matches

NoYes

10 (59%)7 (41%)

Toluca

Recent matches

Necaxa

Under /Over

(91%)20 2(9%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)13 4(24%)

Under /Over

(64%)14 8(36%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(35%)6 11(65%)

Under /Over

(55%)12 10(45%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(35%)6 11(65%)

/Yes

(77%)17 5(23%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(65%)11 6(35%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Toluca

Necaxa

Shots

Toluca

Total shots

15.00 avg / game

Blocked

35 total

Avg. 3.18

Necaxa

Total shots

12.18 avg / game

Blocked

14 total

Avg. 2.00

Toluca Pass Necaxa

Total passes

10663

Avg. 485 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

59%

Total passes

5886

Avg. 346 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Toluca

Played games

Necaxa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.23

Clean sheets

0.24

5.45

120

Corners

4.29

7.95

175

Throw-ins

163

9.59

1.73

Offsides

1.65

3.14

GK saves

2.94

Toluca

DISCIPLINARY

Necaxa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.41

2.94

0.23

0.12

10.82

238

Fouls

249

14.65

13.45

296

Tackles

210

12.35

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Toluca vs Necaxa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Toluca vs Necaxa on 30 April 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Toluca vs Necaxa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Toluca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Necaxa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Toluca and Necaxa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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