Toluca vs Necaxa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 April

Toluca

L D L D D

6th place in Primera Division de Mexico

3-0

30/04/2023 14:00

Necaxa

W L L D D

12th place in Primera Division de Mexico

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Toluca vs Necaxa on 30 April 2023 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Toluca vs Necaxa preview before placing your bet.

Toluca will face Necaxa in Primera Division de Mexico on April 30, 2023 at 14:00.
Toluca are currently 6th with 27 points after 17 matches.
Necaxa sit 12th with 19 points from 17 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.53.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2023-04-30

Toluca vs Necaxa - Prediction & Odds

Toluca

Necaxa

2023-04-30 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 30/04/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	38	17	12	2	3	38	17	21
02 Monterrey	35	17	10	5	2	29	13	16
03 Santos Laguna	33	17	10	3	4	38	21	17
04 Pachuca	32	17	9	5	3	28	15	13
05 Tigres UANL	30	17	9	3	5	24	14	10
06 Toluca	27	17	7	6	4	27	23	4
07 CDSyC Cruz Azul	24	17	7	3	7	26	34	-8
08 Puebla	22	17	4	10	3	25	23	2
09 Chivas Guadalajara	22	17	5	7	5	19	17	2
10 Club Leon	22	17	6	4	7	25	29	-4
11 FC Juarez	19	17	4	7	6	17	18	-1
12 Necaxa	19	17	5	4	8	19	26	-7
13 Atletico San Luis	18	17	4	6	7	15	23	-8
14 Mazatlan FC	17	17	3	8	6	17	24	-7
15 Club Tijuana	17	17	4	5	8	18	30	-12
16 Pumas U.N.A.M.	14	17	2	8	7	21	31	-10
17 Atlas	13	17	3	4	10	16	27	-11
18 Queretaro FC	9	17	1	6	10	18	35	-17

Head To Head

26/12/2022 21:00

Toluca

1 - 0

Necaxa

MGNP

02/07/2022 18:00

Necaxa

1 - 3

Toluca

MEX D1

04/03/2022 21:00

Necaxa

0 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

20/10/2021 20:00

Toluca

1 - 1

Necaxa

MEX D1

24/01/2021 14:00

Toluca

2 - 0

Necaxa

MEX D1

30/10/2020 21:30

Necaxa

3 - 2

Toluca

MEX D1

Toluca

50%

Draw

17%

Necaxa

33%

Toluca Last 6 matches

16/04/2023 14:00

Pumas U.N.A.M. 3 - 1 Toluca

MEX D1

07/04/2023 21:05

Puebla 1 - 2 Toluca

MEX D1

02/04/2023 14:00

Toluca 3 - 2 Tigres UANL

MEX D1

25/03/2023 20:30

Chivas Guadalajara 2 - 2 Toluca

INT CF

17/03/2023 23:05

Club Tijuana 3 - 3 Toluca

MEX D1

12/03/2023 14:00

Toluca 4 - 1 Mazatlan FC

MEX D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Necaxa

21/04/2023 21:05

Necaxa 1 - 3 Atlas

MEX D1

14/04/2023 21:05

Necaxa 1 - 1 Puebla

MEX D1

08/04/2023 19:00

Chivas Guadalajara 1 - 0 Necaxa

MEX D1

31/03/2023 21:05

Necaxa 0 - 0 Santos Laguna

MEX D1

17/03/2023 23:05

Mazatlan FC 0 - 1 Necaxa

MEX D1

12/03/2023 23:15

FC Juarez 1 - 1 Necaxa

MEX D1

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Toluca

Necaxa

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.74

Scored

Avg. per game

0.54

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 43 matches

YesNo

26 (60%)17 (40%)

In last 43 matches

NoYes

15 (43%)20 (57%)

Toluca

Recent matches

Necaxa

Under /Over

(84%)36 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)25 10(29%)

Under /Over

(56%)24 19(44%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(26%)9 26(74%)

Under /Over

(49%)21 22(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(43%)15 20(57%)

/Yes

(74%)32 11(26%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)21 14(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Toluca

Necaxa

Shots

Toluca

Total shots

12.86 avg / game

Blocked

51 total

Avg. 2.68

Necaxa

Total shots

10.51 avg / game

Blocked

52 total

Avg. 3.47

Toluca Pass Necaxa

Total passes

20761

Avg. 483 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

11753

Avg. 336 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Toluca

Played games

Necaxa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.19

Clean sheets

0.17

4.88

210

Corners

126

3.60

10.05

432

Throw-ins

270

7.71

1.67

Offsides

1.51

3.35

144

GK saves

104

2.97

Toluca

DISCIPLINARY

Necaxa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.30

2.57

0.19

0.09

11.07

476

Fouls

475

13.57

13.44

578

Tackles

451

12.89

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Toluca vs Necaxa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Toluca vs Necaxa on 30 April 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Toluca vs Necaxa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Toluca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Necaxa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Toluca and Necaxa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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