Toluca vs Mazatlan FC: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 September

Toluca

W W D D D

1st place in Clausura

3-1

27/09/2025 21:00

Mazatlan FC

W L D D L

16th place in Clausura

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Toluca vs Mazatlan FC on 27 September 2025 (kick-off: 21:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Toluca vs Mazatlan FC preview before placing your bet.

Toluca will face Mazatlan FC in Primera Division de Mexico on September 27, 2025 at 21:00.
Toluca are currently 1st with 37 points after 17 matches.
Mazatlan FC sit 16th with 14 points from 17 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 3 - 1 and average coefficient 1.17.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:00

2025-09-27

Toluca vs Mazatlan FC - Prediction & Odds

Toluca

Mazatlan FC

2025-09-27 21:00

STANDINGS UP TO 27/09/2025

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Toluca	37	17	11	4	2	43	18	25
02 Tigres UANL	36	17	10	6	1	35	16	19
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	35	17	10	5	2	32	20	12
04 Club America	34	17	10	4	3	33	18	15
05 Monterrey	31	17	9	4	4	33	29	4
06 Chivas Guadalajara	29	17	9	2	6	29	22	7
07 Club Tijuana	24	17	6	6	5	29	23	6
08 FC Juarez	23	17	6	5	6	27	28	-1
09 Pachuca	22	17	6	4	7	21	21	0
10 Pumas U.N.A.M.	21	17	5	6	6	24	25	-1
11 Santos Laguna	20	17	6	2	9	22	28	-6
12 Queretaro FC	20	17	6	2	9	19	29	-10
13 Necaxa	17	17	4	5	8	24	32	-8
14 Atlas	17	17	4	5	8	24	35	-11
15 Atletico San Luis	16	17	5	1	11	25	29	-4
16 Mazatlan FC	14	17	2	8	7	20	29	-9
17 Club Leon	13	17	3	4	10	14	31	-17
18 Puebla	12	17	3	3	11	21	42	-21

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Pumas U.N.A.M.	36	17	10	6	1	34	17	17
02 Chivas Guadalajara	36	17	11	3	3	33	17	16
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	9	6	2	31	18	13
04 Pachuca	31	17	9	4	4	25	19	6
05 Toluca	30	17	8	6	3	28	16	12
06 Atlas	26	17	7	5	5	16	18	-2
07 Tigres UANL	25	17	7	4	6	28	18	10
08 Club America	25	17	7	4	6	20	17	3
09 Club Tijuana	23	17	5	8	4	19	17	2
10 Club Leon	22	17	7	1	9	22	32	-10
11 Queretaro FC	20	17	4	8	5	17	21	-4
12 FC Juarez	19	17	5	4	8	26	32	-6
13 Monterrey	18	17	5	3	9	22	24	-2
14 Atletico San Luis	18	17	5	3	9	24	27	-3
15 Necaxa	18	17	5	3	9	19	25	-6
16 Mazatlan FC	15	17	4	3	10	22	37	-15
17 Puebla	13	17	3	4	10	13	26	-13
18 Santos Laguna	12	17	3	3	11	20	38	-18

Head To Head

24/01/2025 23:00

Mazatlan FC

2 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

04/01/2025 21:00

Mazatlan FC

1 - 3

Toluca

INT CF

17/07/2024 23:00

Toluca

3 - 0

Mazatlan FC

MEX D1

20/01/2024 19:00

Toluca

4 - 1

Mazatlan FC

MEX D1

10/11/2023 21:05

Mazatlan FC

1 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

12/03/2023 14:00

Toluca

4 - 1

Mazatlan FC

MEX D1

Mazatlan FC

83%

Draw

Toluca

17%

Toluca Last 6 matches

24/09/2025 22:20

Toluca 6 - 2 Monterrey

MEX D1

20/09/2025 21:00

Chivas Guadalajara 0 - 3 Toluca

MEX D1

13/09/2025 23:00

Toluca 3 - 1 Puebla

MEX D1

29/08/2025 21:00

Atletico San Luis 1 - 3 Toluca

MEX D1

23/08/2025 23:50

CDSyC Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Toluca

MEX D1

20/08/2025 21:00

Toluca 0 - 0 Orlando City

NCAL Cup

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Mazatlan FC

23/09/2025 23:00

Club Leon 2 - 2 Mazatlan FC

MEX D1

19/09/2025 23:10

Mazatlan FC 1 - 1 Atlas

MEX D1

12/09/2025 23:00

Mazatlan FC 1 - 4 Pumas U.N.A.M.

MEX D1

29/08/2025 21:00

FC Juarez 1 - 0 Mazatlan FC

MEX D1

23/08/2025 21:00

Mazatlan FC 2 - 2 Tigres UANL

MEX D1

17/08/2025 20:00

Monterrey 3 - 2 Mazatlan FC

MEX D1

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Toluca

Mazatlan FC

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.55

Scored

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.91

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 42 matches

YesNo

26 (62%)16 (38%)

In last 42 matches

NoYes

18 (53%)16 (47%)

Toluca

Recent matches

Mazatlan FC

Under /Over

(71%)30 12(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)28 6(18%)

Under /Over

(33%)14 28(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)16 18(53%)

Under /Over

(43%)18 24(57%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(41%)14 20(59%)

/Yes

(55%)23 19(45%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(76%)26 8(24%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Toluca

Mazatlan FC

Shots

Toluca

Total shots

15.48 avg / game

Blocked

161 total

Avg. 4.35

Mazatlan FC

Total shots

9.47 avg / game

Blocked

57 total

Avg. 1.84

Toluca Pass Mazatlan FC

Total passes

17599

Avg. 419 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

10168

Avg. 299 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

42%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Toluca

Played games

Mazatlan FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.06

5.07

213

Corners

114

3.35

17.43

732

Throw-ins

510

15.00

1.55

Offsides

1.47

2.12

GK saves

121

3.56

Toluca

DISCIPLINARY

Mazatlan FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.12

2.24

0.14

0.09

11.26

473

Fouls

370

10.88

8.62

362

Tackles

328

9.65

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Toluca vs Mazatlan FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Toluca vs Mazatlan FC on 27 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Toluca vs Mazatlan FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Toluca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Mazatlan FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Toluca and Mazatlan FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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