Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 February

Toluca

W W W W W

1st place in Autumn

2-1

16/02/2025 03:10

Chivas Guadalajara

D L L D W

11th place in Autumn

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara on 16 February 2025 (kick-off: 03:10) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara preview before placing your bet.

Toluca are currently 1st with 37 points after 17 matches.
Chivas Guadalajara sit 11th with 21 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Toluca to win with probability 51%.
Head-to-head history favors Chivas Guadalajara, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Toluca have no wins, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

03:10

2025-02-16

Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara - Prediction & Odds

Toluca

Chivas Guadalajara

2025-02-16 03:10

STANDINGS UP TO 16/02/2025

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Toluca	37	17	11	4	2	41	22	19
02 Club America	34	17	10	4	3	34	10	24
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	9	6	2	26	16	10
04 Tigres UANL	33	17	10	3	4	24	14	10
05 Necaxa	31	17	10	1	6	36	29	7
06 Club Leon	30	17	9	3	5	24	21	3
07 Monterrey	28	17	8	4	5	32	23	9
08 Pachuca	28	17	8	4	5	29	23	6
09 FC Juarez	24	17	6	6	5	16	21	-5
10 Pumas U.N.A.M.	21	17	6	3	8	23	26	-3
11 Chivas Guadalajara	21	17	5	6	6	18	21	-3
12 Queretaro FC	20	17	6	2	9	17	24	-7
13 Club Tijuana	19	17	6	1	10	29	35	-6
14 Atlas	18	17	4	6	7	25	32	-7
15 Atletico San Luis	18	17	6	0	11	20	33	-13
16 Mazatlan FC	17	17	4	5	8	16	26	-10
17 Puebla	9	17	2	3	12	12	25	-13
18 Santos Laguna	7	17	2	1	14	15	36	-21

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CDSyC Cruz Azul	42	17	13	3	1	39	12	27
02 Toluca	35	17	10	5	2	38	16	22
03 Tigres UANL	34	17	10	4	3	25	15	10
04 Pumas U.N.A.M.	31	17	9	4	4	21	13	8
05 Monterrey	31	17	9	4	4	26	19	7
06 Atletico San Luis	30	17	9	3	5	27	19	8
07 Club Tijuana	29	17	8	5	4	24	25	-1
08 Club America	27	17	8	3	6	27	21	6
09 Chivas Guadalajara	25	17	7	4	6	24	15	9
10 Atlas	22	17	5	7	5	17	23	-6
11 Club Leon	18	17	3	9	5	21	23	-2
12 FC Juarez	17	17	5	2	10	22	36	-14
13 Necaxa	15	17	3	6	8	20	26	-6
14 Mazatlan FC	14	17	2	8	7	10	19	-9
15 Puebla	14	17	4	2	11	17	31	-14
16 Pachuca	13	17	3	4	10	20	29	-9
17 Queretaro FC	12	17	3	3	11	13	31	-18
18 Santos Laguna	10	17	2	4	11	12	30	-18

Head To Head

07/07/2024 01:00

Chivas Guadalajara

0 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

12/05/2024 02:10

Toluca

0 - 0

Chivas Guadalajara

MEX D1

09/05/2024 01:05

Chivas Guadalajara

1 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

31/01/2024 03:10

Chivas Guadalajara

3 - 2

Toluca

MEX D1

01/10/2023 23:20

Toluca

1 - 1

Chivas Guadalajara

MEX D1

26/03/2023 00:30

Chivas Guadalajara

2 - 2

Toluca

INT CF

Toluca

Draw

67%

Chivas Guadalajara

33%

Toluca Last 6 matches

09/02/2025 01:00

Club Leon 3 - 3 Toluca MEX D1

02/02/2025 03:15

Toluca 1 - 0 Tigres UANL MEX D1

30/01/2025 03:05

Pumas U.N.A.M. 1 - 1 Toluca MEX D1

25/01/2025 03:00

Mazatlan FC 2 - 1 Toluca MEX D1

19/01/2025 01:00

Toluca 1 - 1 Monterrey MEX D1

11/01/2025 03:00

Club Tijuana 2 - 4 Toluca MEX D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Chivas Guadalajara

13/02/2025 01:00

Chivas Guadalajara 3 - 0 Cibao FC CNCF CHL

10/02/2025 03:05

Chivas Guadalajara 2 - 1 Club Tijuana MEX D1

07/02/2025 01:00

Cibao FC 1 - 1 Chivas Guadalajara CNCF CHL

01/02/2025 23:05

Chivas Guadalajara 1 - 1 Queretaro FC MEX D1

29/01/2025 03:00

Club Leon 2 - 1 Chivas Guadalajara MEX D1

26/01/2025 01:05

Chivas Guadalajara 1 - 1 Tigres UANL MEX D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Played games

Toluca

Chivas Guadalajara

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

2.67

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.90

Scored

Avg. per game

1.33

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.78

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 21 home matches

YesNo

20 (95%)1 (5%)

In last 21 home matches

NoYes

13 (72%)5 (28%)

Toluca

Recent matches

Chivas Guadalajara

Under /Over

(95%)20 1(5%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(61%)11 7(39%)

Under /Over

(52%)11 10(48%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(22%)4 14(78%)

Under /Over

(62%)13 8(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(22%)4 14(78%)

/Yes

(57%)12 9(43%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)8 10(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Toluca

Chivas Guadalajara

Shots

Toluca

Total shots

12.52 avg / game

Blocked

17 total

Avg. 1.70

Chivas Guadalajara

Total shots

12.78 avg / game

Blocked

13 total

Avg. 2.17

Toluca Pass Chivas Guadalajara

Total passes

8348

Avg. 398 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

6390

Avg. 355 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Toluca

Played games

Chivas Guadalajara

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.38

Clean sheets

0.44

3.81

Corners

4.83

13.52

284

Throw-ins

346

19.22

0.95

Offsides

1.78

1.90

GK saves

1.94

Toluca

DISCIPLINARY

Chivas Guadalajara

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.43

1.61

0.10

0.17

8.76

184

Fouls

198

11.00

12.33

259

Tackles

285

15.83

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara on 16 February 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Toluca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Chivas Guadalajara's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Toluca and Chivas Guadalajara sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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