Toluca vs Atlas: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 March

Toluca

W W D D D

1st place in Clausura

1-1

14/03/2026 21:00

Atlas

W L W L D

14th place in Clausura

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Toluca vs Atlas on 14 March 2026 (kick-off: 21:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Toluca vs Atlas preview before placing your bet.

Toluca will face Atlas in Primera Division de Mexico on March 14, 2026 at 21:00.
Toluca are currently 1st with 37 points after 17 matches.
Atlas sit 14th with 17 points from 17 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.30.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:00

2026-03-14

Toluca vs Atlas - Prediction & Odds

Toluca

Atlas

2026-03-14 21:00

STANDINGS UP TO 14/03/2026

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Toluca	37	17	11	4	2	43	18	25
02 Tigres UANL	36	17	10	6	1	35	16	19
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	35	17	10	5	2	32	20	12
04 Club America	34	17	10	4	3	33	18	15
05 Monterrey	31	17	9	4	4	33	29	4
06 Chivas Guadalajara	29	17	9	2	6	29	22	7
07 Club Tijuana	24	17	6	6	5	29	23	6
08 FC Juarez	23	17	6	5	6	27	28	-1
09 Pachuca	22	17	6	4	7	21	21	0
10 Pumas U.N.A.M.	21	17	5	6	6	24	25	-1
11 Santos Laguna	20	17	6	2	9	22	28	-6
12 Queretaro FC	20	17	6	2	9	19	29	-10
13 Necaxa	17	17	4	5	8	24	32	-8
14 Atlas	17	17	4	5	8	24	35	-11
15 Atletico San Luis	16	17	5	1	11	25	29	-4
16 Mazatlan FC	14	17	2	8	7	20	29	-9
17 Club Leon	13	17	3	4	10	14	31	-17
18 Puebla	12	17	3	3	11	21	42	-21

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Pumas U.N.A.M.	36	17	10	6	1	34	17	17
02 Chivas Guadalajara	36	17	11	3	3	33	17	16
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	9	6	2	31	18	13
04 Pachuca	31	17	9	4	4	25	19	6
05 Toluca	30	17	8	6	3	28	16	12
06 Atlas	26	17	7	5	5	16	18	-2
07 Tigres UANL	25	17	7	4	6	28	18	10
08 Club America	25	17	7	4	6	20	17	3
09 Club Tijuana	23	17	5	8	4	19	17	2
10 Club Leon	22	17	7	1	9	22	32	-10
11 Queretaro FC	20	17	4	8	5	17	21	-4
12 FC Juarez	19	17	5	4	8	26	32	-6
13 Monterrey	18	17	5	3	9	22	24	-2
14 Atletico San Luis	18	17	5	3	9	24	27	-3
15 Necaxa	18	17	5	3	9	19	25	-6
16 Mazatlan FC	15	17	4	3	10	22	37	-15
17 Puebla	13	17	3	4	10	13	26	-13
18 Santos Laguna	12	17	3	3	11	20	38	-18

Head To Head

01/11/2025 19:00

Atlas

0 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

12/04/2025 21:05

Atlas

2 - 3

Toluca

MEX D1

28/09/2024 19:00

Toluca

4 - 1

Atlas

MEX D1

07/04/2024 14:00

Toluca

4 - 1

Atlas

MEX D1

26/08/2023 19:00

Atlas

0 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

01/02/2023 22:05

Atlas

0 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

Atlas

33%

Draw

50%

Toluca

17%

Toluca Last 6 matches

11/03/2026 23:30

San Diego FC 3 - 2 Toluca

CNCF CHL

08/03/2026 19:00

Toluca 3 - 1 FC Juarez

MEX D1

03/03/2026 23:10

Pumas U.N.A.M. 2 - 3 Toluca

MEX D1

28/02/2026 19:00

Toluca 2 - 0 Chivas Guadalajara

MEX D1

21/02/2026 21:00

Necaxa 0 - 3 Toluca

MEX D1

13/02/2026 23:00

Toluca 1 - 0 Club Tijuana

MEX D1

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Atlas

07/03/2026 21:05

Atlas 1 - 2 Chivas Guadalajara

MEX D1

04/03/2026 23:00

Atlas 2 - 1 Club Tijuana

MEX D1

27/02/2026 23:00

FC Juarez 3 - 1 Atlas

MEX D1

21/02/2026 19:00

Atlas 3 - 2 Atletico San Luis

MEX D1

14/02/2026 19:00

Pachuca 3 - 1 Atlas

MEX D1

07/02/2026 21:00

Atlas 2 - 2 Pumas U.N.A.M.

MEX D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Toluca

Atlas

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.55

Scored

Avg. per game

0.58

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.81

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 42 matches

YesNo

26 (62%)16 (38%)

In last 42 matches

NoYes

16 (44%)20 (56%)

Toluca

Recent matches

Atlas

Under /Over

(71%)30 12(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)25 11(31%)

Under /Over

(33%)14 28(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)15 21(58%)

Under /Over

(43%)18 24(57%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)15 21(58%)

/Yes

(55%)23 19(45%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)18 18(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Toluca

Atlas

Shots

Toluca

Total shots

15.48 avg / game

Blocked

161 total

Avg. 4.35

Atlas

Total shots

8.61 avg / game

Blocked

58 total

Avg. 1.87

Toluca Pass Atlas

Total passes

17599

Avg. 419 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

10631

Avg. 295 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

45%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Toluca

Played games

Atlas

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.28

5.07

213

Corners

109

3.03

17.43

732

Throw-ins

569

15.81

1.55

Offsides

1.44

2.12

GK saves

105

2.92

Toluca

DISCIPLINARY

Atlas

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.12

1.94

0.14

0.19

11.26

473

Fouls

400

11.11

8.62

362

Tackles

312

8.67

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Toluca vs Atlas Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Toluca vs Atlas on 14 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Toluca vs Atlas Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Toluca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atlas's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Toluca and Atlas sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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