Toluca vs Atlas Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – March 14

Toluca

W W D D D

1st place in Clausura

1-1

14/03/2026 21:00

Atlas

W L W L D

14th place in Clausura

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Toluca vs Atlas on March 14, 2026 (kick-off: 21:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Toluca vs Atlas preview before placing for you.

Toluca are currently 1st with 37 points after 17 matches.
Atlas sit 14th with 17 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Toluca to win with probability 68%.
Head-to-head history favors Toluca, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Atlas have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:00

2026-03-14

Toluca vs Atlas - Prediction & Odds

Toluca

Atlas

2026-03-14 21:00

STANDINGS UP TO 14/03/2026

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Toluca	37	17	11	4	2	43	18	25
02 Tigres UANL	36	17	10	6	1	35	16	19
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	35	17	10	5	2	32	20	12
04 Club America	34	17	10	4	3	33	18	15
05 Monterrey	31	17	9	4	4	33	29	4
06 Chivas Guadalajara	29	17	9	2	6	29	22	7
07 Club Tijuana	24	17	6	6	5	29	23	6
08 FC Juarez	23	17	6	5	6	27	28	-1
09 Pachuca	22	17	6	4	7	21	21	0
10 Pumas U.N.A.M.	21	17	5	6	6	24	25	-1
11 Santos Laguna	20	17	6	2	9	22	28	-6
12 Queretaro FC	20	17	6	2	9	19	29	-10
13 Necaxa	17	17	4	5	8	24	32	-8
14 Atlas	17	17	4	5	8	24	35	-11
15 Atletico San Luis	16	17	5	1	11	25	29	-4
16 Mazatlan FC	14	17	2	8	7	20	29	-9
17 Club Leon	13	17	3	4	10	14	31	-17
18 Puebla	12	17	3	3	11	21	42	-21

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Pumas U.N.A.M.	36	17	10	6	1	34	17	17
02 Chivas Guadalajara	36	17	11	3	3	33	17	16
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	9	6	2	31	18	13
04 Pachuca	31	17	9	4	4	25	19	6
05 Toluca	30	17	8	6	3	28	16	12
06 Atlas	26	17	7	5	5	16	18	-2
07 Tigres UANL	25	17	7	4	6	28	18	10
08 Club America	25	17	7	4	6	20	17	3
09 Club Tijuana	23	17	5	8	4	19	17	2
10 Club Leon	22	17	7	1	9	22	32	-10
11 Queretaro FC	20	17	4	8	5	17	21	-4
12 FC Juarez	19	17	5	4	8	26	32	-6
13 Monterrey	18	17	5	3	9	22	24	-2
14 Atletico San Luis	18	17	5	3	9	24	27	-3
15 Necaxa	18	17	5	3	9	19	25	-6
16 Mazatlan FC	15	17	4	3	10	22	37	-15
17 Puebla	13	17	3	4	10	13	26	-13
18 Santos Laguna	12	17	3	3	11	20	38	-18

Head To Head

01/11/2025 19:00

Atlas

0 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

12/04/2025 21:05

Atlas

2 - 3

Toluca

MEX D1

28/09/2024 19:00

Toluca

4 - 1

Atlas

MEX D1

07/04/2024 14:00

Toluca

4 - 1

Atlas

MEX D1

26/08/2023 19:00

Atlas

0 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

01/02/2023 22:05

Atlas

0 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

Toluca

50%

Draw

50%

Atlas

Toluca Last 6 matches

11/03/2026 23:30

San Diego FC 3 - 2 Toluca CNCF CHL

08/03/2026 19:00

Toluca 3 - 1 FC Juarez MEX D1

03/03/2026 23:10

Pumas U.N.A.M. 2 - 3 Toluca MEX D1

28/02/2026 19:00

Toluca 2 - 0 Chivas Guadalajara MEX D1

21/02/2026 21:00

Necaxa 0 - 3 Toluca MEX D1

13/02/2026 23:00

Toluca 1 - 0 Club Tijuana MEX D1

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Atlas

07/03/2026 21:05

Atlas 1 - 2 Chivas Guadalajara MEX D1

04/03/2026 23:00

Atlas 2 - 1 Club Tijuana MEX D1

27/02/2026 23:00

FC Juarez 3 - 1 Atlas MEX D1

21/02/2026 19:00

Atlas 3 - 2 Atletico San Luis MEX D1

14/02/2026 19:00

Pachuca 3 - 1 Atlas MEX D1

07/02/2026 21:00

Atlas 2 - 2 Pumas U.N.A.M. MEX D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

261

Avg. per game

0.94

Conceded

187

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored

170

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

199

Avg. per game

0.73

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 278 matches

YesNo

165 (59%)113 (41%)

In last 278 matches

NoYes

118 (44%)153 (56%)

Toluca

Recent matches

Atlas

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Toluca

Atlas

Shots

Toluca

Total shots

12.64 avg / game

Blocked

470 total

Avg. 3.13

Atlas

Total shots

10.55 avg / game

Blocked

359 total

Avg. 2.58

Toluca Pass Atlas

Total passes

94768

Avg. 433 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

68154

Avg. 342 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Toluca

278

Played games

Atlas

271

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

0.29

4.22

1173

Corners

998

3.68

7.56

2102

Throw-ins

1661

6.13

1.31

364

Offsides

304

1.12

2.44

678

GK saves

595

2.20

Toluca

DISCIPLINARY

Atlas

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.85

513

502

1.85

0.10

0.15

9.93

2760

Fouls

2664

9.83

9.99

2778

Tackles

2579

9.52

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Toluca vs Atlas Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Toluca vs Atlas on 14 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Toluca vs Atlas Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Toluca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atlas's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Toluca and Atlas sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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