Tigres UANL vs Toluca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 May

Tigres UANL

L W L W L

5th place in Primera Division de Mexico

4-1

11/05/2023 23:10

Toluca

L D L D D

6th place in Primera Division de Mexico

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Tigres UANL vs Toluca on 11 May 2023 (kick-off: 23:10) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Tigres UANL vs Toluca preview before placing your bet.

Tigres UANL are currently 5th with 30 points after 17 matches.
Toluca sit 6th with 27 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Tigres UANL to win with probability 47%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Tigres UANL and Toluca have each won 3 of the last 6 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

23:10

2023-05-11

Tigres UANL vs Toluca - Prediction & Odds

Tigres UANL

Toluca

2023-05-11 23:10

STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	38	17	12	2	3	38	17	21
02 Monterrey	35	17	10	5	2	29	13	16
03 Santos Laguna	33	17	10	3	4	38	21	17
04 Pachuca	32	17	9	5	3	28	15	13
05 Tigres UANL	30	17	9	3	5	24	14	10
06 Toluca	27	17	7	6	4	27	23	4
07 CDSyC Cruz Azul	24	17	7	3	7	26	34	-8
08 Puebla	22	17	4	10	3	25	23	2
09 Chivas Guadalajara	22	17	5	7	5	19	17	2
10 Club Leon	22	17	6	4	7	25	29	-4
11 FC Juarez	19	17	4	7	6	17	18	-1
12 Necaxa	19	17	5	4	8	19	26	-7
13 Atletico San Luis	18	17	4	6	7	15	23	-8
14 Mazatlan FC	17	17	3	8	6	17	24	-7
15 Club Tijuana	17	17	4	5	8	18	30	-12
16 Pumas U.N.A.M.	14	17	2	8	7	21	31	-10
17 Atlas	13	17	3	4	10	16	27	-11
18 Queretaro FC	9	17	1	6	10	18	35	-17

Head To Head

02/04/2023 14:00

Toluca

3 - 2

Tigres UANL

MEX D1

07/09/2022 20:00

Tigres UANL

3 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

16/04/2022 20:00

Tigres UANL

3 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

09/10/2021 21:00

Toluca

0 - 2

Tigres UANL

INT CF

01/08/2021 13:00

Toluca

3 - 1

Tigres UANL

MEX D1

02/03/2021 21:00

Tigres UANL

0 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

Tigres UANL

50%

Draw

Toluca

50%

Tigres UANL Last 6 matches

07/05/2023 23:10

Tigres UANL 1 - 0 Puebla MEX D1

03/05/2023 22:00

Club Leon 3 - 1 Tigres UANL CNCF CHL

30/04/2023 21:05

Club Leon 3 - 0 Tigres UANL MEX D1

25/04/2023 22:00

Tigres UANL 2 - 1 Club Leon CNCF CHL

20/04/2023 22:05

Tigres UANL 1 - 0 Puebla MEX D1

16/04/2023 19:00

Queretaro FC 0 - 0 Tigres UANL MEX D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Toluca

30/04/2023 14:00

Toluca 3 - 0 Necaxa MEX D1

23/04/2023 14:00

Toluca 1 - 1 FC Juarez MEX D1

16/04/2023 14:00

Pumas U.N.A.M. 3 - 1 Toluca MEX D1

07/04/2023 21:05

Puebla 1 - 2 Toluca MEX D1

02/04/2023 14:00

Toluca 3 - 2 Tigres UANL MEX D1

25/03/2023 20:30

Chivas Guadalajara 2 - 2 Toluca INT CF

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Played games

Tigres UANL

Toluca

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.39

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.78

Scored

Avg. per game

2.18

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.36

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 23 home matches

YesNo

16 (70%)7 (30%)

In last 23 home matches

NoYes

20 (91%)2 (9%)

Tigres UANL

Recent matches

Toluca

Under /Over

(57%)13 10(43%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(91%)20 2(9%)

Under /Over

(30%)7 16(70%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(64%)14 8(36%)

Under /Over

(22%)5 18(78%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(55%)12 10(45%)

/Yes

(39%)9 14(61%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(77%)17 5(23%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Tigres UANL

Toluca

Shots

Tigres UANL

Total shots

15.65 avg / game

Blocked

51 total

Avg. 4.64

Toluca

Total shots

15.00 avg / game

Blocked

35 total

Avg. 3.18

Tigres UANL Pass Toluca

Total passes

10519

Avg. 478 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

59%

Total passes

10663

Avg. 485 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

59%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Tigres UANL

Played games

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.48

Clean sheets

0.23

5.57

128

Corners

120

5.45

10.52

242

Throw-ins

175

7.95

2.30

Offsides

1.73

2.30

GK saves

3.14

Tigres UANL

DISCIPLINARY

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.13

2.41

0.17

0.23

11.17

257

Fouls

238

10.82

15.30

352

Tackles

296

13.45

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Tigres UANL vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Tigres UANL vs Toluca on 11 May 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Tigres UANL vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Tigres UANL's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Tigres UANL and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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