Tigres UANL vs Toluca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 May

Tigres UANL

W L D W D

4th place in Autumn

1-1

14/05/2025 23:00

Toluca

W W W W W

1st place in Autumn

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Tigres UANL vs Toluca on 14 May 2025 (kick-off: 23:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Tigres UANL vs Toluca preview before placing your bet.

Tigres UANL will face Toluca in Primera Division de Mexico on May 14, 2025 at 23:00.
Tigres UANL are currently 4th with 33 points after 17 matches.
Toluca sit 1st with 37 points from 17 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 1.98.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

23:00

2025-05-14

Tigres UANL vs Toluca - Prediction & Odds

Tigres UANL

Toluca

2025-05-14 23:00

STANDINGS UP TO 14/05/2025

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Toluca	37	17	11	4	2	41	22	19
02 Club America	34	17	10	4	3	34	10	24
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	9	6	2	26	16	10
04 Tigres UANL	33	17	10	3	4	24	14	10
05 Necaxa	31	17	10	1	6	36	29	7
06 Club Leon	30	17	9	3	5	24	21	3
07 Monterrey	28	17	8	4	5	32	23	9
08 Pachuca	28	17	8	4	5	29	23	6
09 FC Juarez	24	17	6	6	5	16	21	-5
10 Pumas U.N.A.M.	21	17	6	3	8	23	26	-3
11 Chivas Guadalajara	21	17	5	6	6	18	21	-3
12 Queretaro FC	20	17	6	2	9	17	24	-7
13 Club Tijuana	19	17	6	1	10	29	35	-6
14 Atlas	18	17	4	6	7	25	32	-7
15 Atletico San Luis	18	17	6	0	11	20	33	-13
16 Mazatlan FC	17	17	4	5	8	16	26	-10
17 Puebla	9	17	2	3	12	12	25	-13
18 Santos Laguna	7	17	2	1	14	15	36	-21

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CDSyC Cruz Azul	42	17	13	3	1	39	12	27
02 Toluca	35	17	10	5	2	38	16	22
03 Tigres UANL	34	17	10	4	3	25	15	10
04 Pumas U.N.A.M.	31	17	9	4	4	21	13	8
05 Monterrey	31	17	9	4	4	26	19	7
06 Atletico San Luis	30	17	9	3	5	27	19	8
07 Club Tijuana	29	17	8	5	4	24	25	-1
08 Club America	27	17	8	3	6	27	21	6
09 Chivas Guadalajara	25	17	7	4	6	24	15	9
10 Atlas	22	17	5	7	5	17	23	-6
11 Club Leon	18	17	3	9	5	21	23	-2
12 FC Juarez	17	17	5	2	10	22	36	-14
13 Necaxa	15	17	3	6	8	20	26	-6
14 Mazatlan FC	14	17	2	8	7	10	19	-9
15 Puebla	14	17	4	2	11	17	31	-14
16 Pachuca	13	17	3	4	10	20	29	-9
17 Queretaro FC	12	17	3	3	11	13	31	-18
18 Santos Laguna	10	17	2	4	11	12	30	-18

Head To Head

01/02/2025 23:15

Toluca

1 - 0

Tigres UANL

MEX D1

06/11/2024 21:00

Tigres UANL

2 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

02/03/2024 19:00

Toluca

2 - 1

Tigres UANL

MEX D1

04/10/2023 23:00

Tigres UANL

2 - 2

Toluca

MEX D1

14/05/2023 14:00

Toluca

3 - 1

Tigres UANL

MEX D1

11/05/2023 23:10

Tigres UANL

4 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

Toluca

83%

Draw

17%

Tigres UANL

Tigres UANL Last 6 matches

11/05/2025 23:10

Tigres UANL 2 - 2 Necaxa

MEX D1

08/05/2025 21:00

Necaxa 0 - 0 Tigres UANL

MEX D1

01/05/2025 22:00

CDSyC Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Tigres UANL

CNCF CHL

23/04/2025 22:00

Tigres UANL 1 - 1 CDSyC Cruz Azul

CNCF CHL

19/04/2025 23:00

Tigres UANL 2 - 1 Pumas U.N.A.M.

MEX D1

15/04/2025 21:00

Pachuca 0 - 0 Tigres UANL

MEX D1

Win

17%

Draw

67%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Toluca

10/05/2025 21:00

Toluca 2 - 1 Monterrey

MEX D1

07/05/2025 21:00

Monterrey 3 - 2 Toluca

MEX D1

19/04/2025 21:05

Toluca 2 - 2 CDSyC Cruz Azul

MEX D1

16/04/2025 22:00

Atletico San Luis 0 - 1 Toluca

MEX D1

12/04/2025 21:05

Atlas 2 - 3 Toluca

MEX D1

06/04/2025 20:00

Toluca 2 - 1 Santos Laguna

MEX D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Tigres UANL

Toluca

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.50

Scored

Avg. per game

1.05

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.69

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 40 matches

YesNo

22 (55%)18 (45%)

In last 40 matches

NoYes

26 (62%)16 (38%)

Tigres UANL

Recent matches

Toluca

Under /Over

(65%)26 14(35%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(88%)37 5(12%)

Under /Over

(23%)9 31(77%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(45%)19 23(55%)

Under /Over

(45%)18 22(55%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(57%)24 18(43%)

/Yes

(45%)18 22(55%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(57%)24 18(43%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Tigres UANL

Toluca

Shots

Tigres UANL

Total shots

14.55 avg / game

Blocked

32 total

Avg. 2.91

Toluca

Total shots

12.19 avg / game

Blocked

27 total

Avg. 1.59

Tigres UANL Pass Toluca

Total passes

17074

Avg. 427 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

17345

Avg. 413 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Tigres UANL

Played games

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

Clean sheets

0.33

5.75

230

Corners

172

4.10

18.08

723

Throw-ins

605

14.40

1.93

Offsides

1.40

3.00

120

GK saves

107

2.55

Tigres UANL

DISCIPLINARY

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.78

1.62

0.15

0.05

11.35

454

Fouls

419

9.98

13.48

539

Tackles

548

13.05

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Tigres UANL vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Tigres UANL vs Toluca on 14 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Tigres UANL vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Tigres UANL's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Tigres UANL and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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