Tigres UANL vs Toluca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 October

Tigres UANL

W W L D W

5th place in Autumn

2-2

05/10/2023 03:00

Toluca

W W W L W

3rd place in Autumn

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Tigres UANL vs Toluca on 05 October 2023 (kick-off: 03:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Tigres UANL vs Toluca preview before placing your bet.

Tigres UANL are currently 5th with 31 points after 17 matches.
Toluca sit 3rd with 32 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Tigres UANL to win with probability 51%.
Head-to-head history favors Tigres UANL, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Toluca have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

03:00

2023-10-05

Tigres UANL vs Toluca - Prediction & Odds

Tigres UANL

Toluca

2023-10-05 03:00

STANDINGS UP TO 05/10/2023

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	35	17	10	5	2	30	12	18
02 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	10	3	4	23	14	9
03 Toluca	32	17	9	5	3	38	23	15
04 Monterrey	32	17	9	5	3	32	19	13
05 Tigres UANL	31	17	9	4	4	34	23	11
06 Chivas Guadalajara	31	17	9	4	4	24	17	7
07 Pachuca	29	17	9	2	6	34	27	7
08 Pumas U.N.A.M.	27	17	7	6	4	27	22	5
09 Necaxa	27	17	7	6	4	30	29	1
10 Queretaro FC	24	17	6	6	5	22	21	1
11 Club Leon	24	17	7	3	7	23	25	-2
12 FC Juarez	16	17	4	4	9	19	26	-7
13 Atletico San Luis	16	17	5	1	11	25	35	-10
14 Mazatlan FC	16	17	4	4	9	21	32	-11
15 Santos Laguna	15	17	4	3	10	15	28	-13
16 Club Tijuana	14	17	2	8	7	21	30	-9
17 Atlas	14	17	3	5	9	21	31	-10
18 Puebla	5	17	1	2	14	18	43	-25

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	40	17	12	4	1	37	14	23
02 Monterrey	33	17	10	3	4	27	15	12
03 Tigres UANL	30	17	8	6	3	32	18	14
04 Pumas U.N.A.M.	28	17	8	4	5	27	18	9
05 Chivas Guadalajara	27	17	8	3	6	22	22	0
06 Puebla	25	17	7	4	6	24	25	-1
07 Atletico San Luis	23	17	7	2	8	31	26	5
08 Club Leon	23	17	6	5	6	23	22	1
09 Santos Laguna	23	17	7	2	8	31	34	-3
10 Mazatlan FC	22	17	6	4	7	25	27	-2
11 Pachuca	22	17	5	7	5	16	27	-11
12 Toluca	21	17	5	6	6	23	19	4
13 Club Tijuana	20	17	6	2	9	23	26	-3
14 Queretaro FC	19	17	5	4	8	18	29	-11
15 FC Juarez	18	17	5	3	9	24	34	-10
16 CDSyC Cruz Azul	17	17	5	2	10	21	29	-8
17 Atlas	17	17	4	5	8	14	24	-10
18 Necaxa	15	17	3	6	8	18	27	-9

Head To Head

14/05/2023 18:00

Toluca

3 - 1

Tigres UANL

MEX D1

12/05/2023 03:10

Tigres UANL

4 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

02/04/2023 18:00

Toluca

3 - 2

Tigres UANL

MEX D1

08/09/2022 00:00

Tigres UANL

3 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

17/04/2022 00:00

Tigres UANL

3 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

10/10/2021 01:00

Toluca

0 - 2

Tigres UANL

INT CF

Tigres UANL

67%

Draw

Toluca

33%

Tigres UANL Last 6 matches

01/10/2023 01:05

Mazatlan FC 2 - 3 Tigres UANL MEX D1

28/09/2023 03:10

Los Angeles FC 0 - 0 Tigres UANL NOR A CUP

24/09/2023 03:00

Tigres UANL 3 - 0 Monterrey MEX D1

18/09/2023 01:00

Atlas 2 - 0 Tigres UANL MEX D1

10/09/2023 21:30

Club America 2 - 1 Tigres UANL INT CF

03/09/2023 01:05

Tigres UANL 5 - 0 Queretaro FC MEX D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Toluca

01/10/2023 23:20

Toluca 1 - 1 Chivas Guadalajara MEX D1

24/09/2023 18:00

Toluca 1 - 1 Club America MEX D1

16/09/2023 03:00

Club Tijuana 2 - 1 Toluca MEX D1

03/09/2023 18:00

Toluca 5 - 0 Pachuca MEX D1

31/08/2023 01:00

Toluca 1 - 0 Monterrey MEX D1

26/08/2023 23:00

Atlas 0 - 0 Toluca MEX D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Tigres UANL

Toluca

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.64

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.43

Scored

Avg. per game

0.78

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 42 matches

YesNo

22 (52%)20 (48%)

In last 42 matches

NoYes

19 (53%)17 (47%)

Tigres UANL

Recent matches

Toluca

Under /Over

(83%)35 7(17%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)25 11(31%)

Under /Over

(33%)14 28(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)17 19(53%)

Under /Over

(55%)23 19(45%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)16 20(56%)

/Yes

(60%)25 17(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)21 15(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Tigres UANL

Toluca

Shots

Tigres UANL

Total shots

13.10 avg / game

Blocked

117 total

Avg. 2.93

Toluca

Total shots

11.53 avg / game

Blocked

93 total

Avg. 3.10

Tigres UANL Pass Toluca

Total passes

19551

Avg. 477 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

15743

Avg. 437 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Tigres UANL

Played games

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.28

4.81

202

Corners

155

4.31

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

1.52

Offsides

1.19

2.69

113

GK saves

104

2.89

Tigres UANL

DISCIPLINARY

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.19

1.72

0.12

0.17

11.45

481

Fouls

331

9.19

16.50

693

Tackles

529

14.69

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Tigres UANL vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Tigres UANL vs Toluca on 05 October 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Tigres UANL vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Tigres UANL's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Tigres UANL and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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