Thun vs Lugano: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 25 April

Thun

D W W L L

1st place in League

0-1

25/04/2026 14:30

Lugano

W L D D W

3rd place in League

Swiss Super League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Thun vs Lugano on 25 April 2026 (kick-off: 14:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Thun vs Lugano preview before placing your bet.

Thun will face Lugano in Swiss Super League on April 25, 2026 at 14:30.
Thun are currently 1st with 74 points after 33 matches.
Lugano sit 3rd with 57 points from 33 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.93.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:30

2026-04-25

Thun vs Lugano - Prediction & Odds

Thun

Lugano

2026-04-25 14:30

STANDINGS UP TO 25/04/2026

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Thun	74	33	24	2	7	75	37	38
02 St. Gallen	60	33	17	9	7	64	40	24
03 Lugano	57	33	16	9	8	50	38	12
04 Basel	53	33	15	8	10	51	45	6
05 FC Sion	52	33	13	13	7	51	35	16
06 Young Boys	48	33	13	9	11	65	60	5
07 Luzern	40	33	10	10	13	64	61	3
08 Servette	40	33	9	13	11	57	57	0
09 Lausanne Sports	39	33	10	9	14	47	57	-10
10 FC Zurich	34	33	10	4	19	45	63	-18
11 Grasshopper	27	33	6	9	18	40	65	-25
12 Winterthur	19	33	4	7	22	35	86	-51

Championship Group	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Thun	75	5	0	1	4	5	15	-10
02 St. Gallen	70	5	3	1	1	8	7	1
03 Lugano	67	5	3	1	1	9	4	5
04 FC Sion	63	5	3	2	0	12	5	7
05 Basel	56	5	1	0	4	4	13	-9
06 Young Boys	55	5	2	1	2	15	9	6

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Servette	53	5	4	1	0	14	6	8
02 Luzern	53	5	4	1	0	12	5	7
03 Lausanne Sports	42	5	1	0	4	6	10	-4
04 FC Zurich	38	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5
05 Grasshopper	33	5	2	0	3	8	9	-1
06 Winterthur	23	5	1	1	3	9	14	-5

Head To Head

04/04/2026 12:00

Lugano

1 - 0

Thun

SUI SL

22/11/2025 15:30

Thun

0 - 1

Lugano

SUI SL

27/07/2025 10:00

Lugano

1 - 2

Thun

SUI SL

11/07/2025 08:00

Lugano

2 - 3

Thun

INT CF

10/02/2022 13:30

Thun

3 - 4

Lugano

SUI Cup

15/07/2020 14:30

Lugano

1 - 1

Thun

SUI SL

Lugano

17%

Draw

17%

Thun

67%

Thun Last 6 matches

18/04/2026 14:30

Thun 3 - 1 Basel

SUI SL

04/04/2026 12:00

Lugano 1 - 0 Thun

SUI SL

21/03/2026 13:00

FC Zurich 2 - 1 Thun

SUI SL

14/03/2026 13:00

Thun 5 - 1 Grasshopper

SUI SL

08/03/2026 11:30

Young Boys 1 - 2 Thun

SUI SL

05/03/2026 15:30

Thun 2 - 2 St. Gallen

SUI SL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Lugano

11/04/2026 12:00

FC Zurich 0 - 1 Lugano

SUI SL

04/04/2026 12:00

Lugano 1 - 0 Thun

SUI SL

25/03/2026 06:00

Lugano 1 - 3 Taverne

INT CF

22/03/2026 11:30

Young Boys 1 - 1 Lugano

SUI SL

17/03/2026 14:00

St. Gallen 1 - 1 Lugano

SUI SL

07/03/2026 15:30

Lugano 1 - 3 Luzern

SUI SL

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Swiss Super League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Thun

Lugano

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.37

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.79

Scored

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.84

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

14 (74%)5 (26%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

13 (68%)6 (32%)

Thun

Recent matches

Lugano

Under /Over

(84%)16 3(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)16 3(16%)

Under /Over

(53%)10 9(47%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(37%)7 12(63%)

Under /Over

(58%)11 8(42%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(58%)11 8(42%)

/Yes

(74%)14 5(26%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(68%)13 6(32%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Thun

Lugano

Shots

Thun

Total shots

17.33 avg / game

Blocked

79 total

Avg. 4.65

Lugano

Total shots

11.79 avg / game

Blocked

59 total

Avg. 3.11

Thun Pass Lugano

Total passes

5629

Avg. 313 / game

Accurate

71%

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

8708

Avg. 458 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Thun

Played games

Lugano

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.11

Clean sheets

0.32

6.32

120

Corners

3.26

20.32

386

Throw-ins

327

17.21

1.79

Offsides

1.95

2.95

GK saves

3.58

Thun

DISCIPLINARY

Lugano

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.11

2.00

0.11

0.05

14.74

280

Fouls

216

11.37

10.16

193

Tackles

205

10.79

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Thun vs Lugano Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Thun vs Lugano on 25 April 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Swiss Super League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Thun vs Lugano Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Thun's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lugano's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Swiss Super League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Swiss Super League standings and the Swiss Super League form table to understand exactly where Thun and Lugano sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Swiss Super League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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