Thun vs Lugano: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 25 April

Thun
DWWLL
1st place in League
1
0-1
FT
25/04/2026 14:30
Lugano
WLDDW
3rd place in League
Swiss Super League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Thun vs Lugano on 25 April 2026 (kick-off: 14:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Thun vs Lugano preview before placing your bet.

  • Thun will face Lugano in Swiss Super League on April 25, 2026 at 14:30.
  • Thun are currently 1st with 74 points after 33 matches.
  • Lugano sit 3rd with 57 points from 33 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.93.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
14:30

2026-04-25

Thun vs Lugano - Prediction & Odds

Thun
Thun
Lugano
Lugano
2026-04-25 14:30
48
24
28
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
3.00
1.93
FT
0-1 0-0
-
weather
14℃～15℃
STANDINGS UP TO 25/04/2026
League PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Thun Thun
74 33 24 2 7 75 37 38
02 St. Gallen St. Gallen
60 33 17 9 7 64 40 24
03 Lugano Lugano
57 33 16 9 8 50 38 12
04 Basel Basel
53 33 15 8 10 51 45 6
05 FC Sion FC Sion
52 33 13 13 7 51 35 16
06 Young Boys Young Boys
48 33 13 9 11 65 60 5
07 Luzern Luzern
40 33 10 10 13 64 61 3
08 Servette Servette
40 33 9 13 11 57 57 0
09 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports
39 33 10 9 14 47 57 -10
10 FC Zurich FC Zurich
34 33 10 4 19 45 63 -18
11 Grasshopper Grasshopper
27 33 6 9 18 40 65 -25
12 Winterthur Winterthur
19 33 4 7 22 35 86 -51
Championship Group PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Thun Thun
75 5 0 1 4 5 15 -10
02 St. Gallen St. Gallen
70 5 3 1 1 8 7 1
03 Lugano Lugano
67 5 3 1 1 9 4 5
04 FC Sion FC Sion
63 5 3 2 0 12 5 7
05 Basel Basel
56 5 1 0 4 4 13 -9
06 Young Boys Young Boys
55 5 2 1 2 15 9 6
Relegation PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Servette Servette
53 5 4 1 0 14 6 8
02 Luzern Luzern
53 5 4 1 0 12 5 7
03 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports
42 5 1 0 4 6 10 -4
04 FC Zurich FC Zurich
38 5 1 1 3 4 9 -5
05 Grasshopper Grasshopper
33 5 2 0 3 8 9 -1
06 Winterthur Winterthur
23 5 1 1 3 9 14 -5
Head To Head
04/04/2026 12:00
Lugano Lugano
1 - 0
Thun Thun
SUI SL
22/11/2025 15:30
Thun Thun
0 - 1
Lugano Lugano
SUI SL
27/07/2025 10:00
Lugano Lugano
1 - 2
Thun Thun
SUI SL
11/07/2025 08:00
Lugano Lugano
2 - 3
Thun Thun
INT CF
10/02/2022 13:30
Thun Thun
3 - 4
Lugano Lugano
SUI Cup
15/07/2020 14:30
Lugano Lugano
1 - 1
Thun Thun
SUI SL
Lugano
1
17%
Draw
1
17%
Thun
4
67%
Thun Thun Last 6 matches
18/04/2026 14:30
Thun 3 - 1 Basel
SUI SL
04/04/2026 12:00
Lugano 1 - 0 Thun
SUI SL
21/03/2026 13:00
FC Zurich 2 - 1 Thun
SUI SL
14/03/2026 13:00
Thun 5 - 1 Grasshopper
SUI SL
08/03/2026 11:30
Young Boys 1 - 2 Thun
SUI SL
05/03/2026 15:30
Thun 2 - 2 St. Gallen
SUI SL
Win
50%
Draw
17%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Lugano Lugano
11/04/2026 12:00
FC Zurich 0 - 1 Lugano
SUI SL
04/04/2026 12:00
Lugano 1 - 0 Thun
SUI SL
25/03/2026 06:00
Lugano 1 - 3 Taverne
INT CF
22/03/2026 11:30
Young Boys 1 - 1 Lugano
SUI SL
17/03/2026 14:00
St. Gallen 1 - 1 Lugano
SUI SL
07/03/2026 15:30
Lugano 1 - 3 Luzern
SUI SL
Win
33%
Draw
33%
Lost
33%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Swiss Super League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Thun
Thun
38
 Lugano
Lugano
38
Goals
Scored
46
Avg. per game
1.21
Conceded
27
Avg. per game
0.71
Scored
33
Avg. per game
0.87
Conceded
27
Avg. per game
0.71
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
6 (100%)0 (0%)
In last 38 matches
YesNo
27 (71%)11 (29%)
In last 38 matches
NoYes
26 (68%)12 (32%)
Thun

Thun

Recent matches

Lugano

Lugano

Under /Over

(84%)32 6(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)27 11(29%)

Under /Over

(50%)19 19(50%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)11 27(71%)

Under /Over

(55%)21 17(45%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)18 20(53%)

/Yes

(71%)27 11(29%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(61%)23 15(39%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Thun Thun
Lugano Lugano
Shots
Thun
Thun
Total shots
17.14 avg / game
Blocked
172 total
Avg. 4.78
Lugano
Lugano
Total shots
13.19 avg / game
Blocked
139 total
Avg. 3.76
Thun Thun Pass Lugano Lugano
Total passes
11723
Avg. 317 / game
Accurate
71%
Ball possession
46%
Total passes
17656
Avg. 477 / game
Accurate
85%
Ball possession
57%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Thun
Thun
3231
Avg. 85.03 / game
 Lugano
Lugano
3230
Avg. 85.00 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Thun
Thun
2090
Avg. 55.00 / game
 Lugano
Lugano
1686
Avg. 44.37 / game
OTHERS
Thun
Thun
38
Played games
Lugano
Lugano
38
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.16
6
Clean sheets
12
0.32
5.74
218
Corners
145
3.82
21.05
800
Throw-ins
644
16.95
2.08
79
Offsides
77
2.03
3.18
121
GK saves
137
3.61
Thun
Thun
DISCIPLINARY
Lugano
Lugano
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.29
87
Yellow card
85
2.24
0.11
4
Red card
5
0.13
15.21
578
Fouls
446
11.74
11.03
419
Tackles
355
9.34
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How We Build the Thun vs Lugano Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Thun vs Lugano on 25 April 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Swiss Super League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Thun vs Lugano Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Thun's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lugano's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Swiss Super League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Swiss Super League standings and the Swiss Super League form table to understand exactly where Thun and Lugano sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Swiss Super League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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